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The recent bottom didn't follow the usual playbook. @dpuellARK breaks down what's actually different this cycle, and Bitcoin's biggest emerging risk: quantum computing. Watch the full episode ⤵️ piped.video/e4jl3TUqCoY
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Another sign of potential volatility. The number of Altcoin exchange deposits climbed yesterday to the highest since October 2025.
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After this recent rally, Bitcoin unrealized profit margins (33%) reached the highest level since December 2024, and profit taking, 25.7K, BTC spiked to the largest so far in 2026. These are typical signals of a rally losing momentum and risks of a correction.
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Bitget exchange announced "unauthorized transfers" from its hot wallets for about $351M. You can see the spike in outflows of USDC, ETH, USDT and others. According to the exchange, "The incident falls within the coverage of Bitget’s User Protection Fund".
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Binance sees record Outflows amid Bitcoin FOMO “Such a sudden development suggests a wave of FOMO among latecomer investors, particularly those who were expecting Bitcoin to drop further.” – By @Darkfost_Coc
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Miner Flows to Binance Approach 20K BTC for First Time Since August Spike “Historically, Bitcoin miners often monetize part of their production during stronger markets to cover the substantial operating and capital costs.” – By @AmrT_Heisenberg Link ⤵️ cryptoquant.com/insights/qui…
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Binance UNI Reserve Reaches 71,584,353 as Price Closes at a Six-Month High “For now, the clearest reading is that holders are depositing UNI onto Binance into strength to access spot liquidity.” – By @CryptoOnchain Link ⤵️ cryptoquant.com/insights/qui…
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Bitcoin demand remains negative, but it is recovering from the bottom. “The trend is shifting toward the positive. If the current momentum persists, spot demand will also flip to positive.” – By @CW8900
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Stablecoin inflows to Binance remain robust, and stablecoin inflows to Coinbase are rebounding “An upward trend driven by these two exchanges is once again underway.” – By @CW8900 Analysis ⤵️ cryptoquant.com/insights/qui…
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Metals Take 54% of Gate’s TradFi Volume “Estimated cumulative metals volume reached 18.3B so far this month, reinforcing the pickup in activity visible after the quieter summer period.” – By @MorenoDV_
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Analyst consensus on Ethereum: STRONG BUY
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Why This Rebound Is the Real One “The fact that the last two strong rebounds were driven not by these retail flows but by overseas whales suggests that market sentiment is shifting from a downward cycle to an upward one.” – By @DanCoinInvestor
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MVRV MA30d breaks out of the Accumulation Zone for second time in 2026 “For about 6 months in 2026, the MVRV traded within this range, a pattern that, throughout Bitcoin history has signaled periods of intense accumulation followed by excellent returns.” – By @gaah_im
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Fundamentally, Bitcoin > $80K right now is very different from Bitcoin > $80K back in May. Bull Score Index (BSI) is at 80 right now (extra bullish, green), whereas it was at 50 (neutral, gray) back in May. Bull Score Index: cryptoquant.com/community/da…
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I expect this Bitcoin bull cycle to deliver 3–5x rather than another 10x+ parabolic rally, followed by a milder bear market. When Bitcoin was smaller and retail dominated, hot money fueled explosive rallies and 80% crashes. Today, a much larger market and growing institutional ownership are dampening both extremes. The same forces that limit the upside also soften the downside. The PnL Index, which tracks aggregate holder profitability, reflects this: less extreme cycle tops and bottoms forming at higher profitability levels. This cycle, MVRV never fell below 1. Even at the lows, BTC stayed above holders' average on-chain cost basis. Some investors took losses, but holders as a whole never went underwater. Meanwhile: → Rising realized cap signals fresh capital inflows. → OG whales have stopped selling. → Futures whales built large longs near the bottom. Even the PnL Index's 365-day moving average, which typically lags at turning points, is forming a meaningful inflection right now. None of this means Bitcoin has a ceiling. It means the trade-off has changed. Giving up the 10x parabola also means giving up the 80% crash, and that is exactly what invites patient, long-horizon capital instead of hot money. The road here was messy and nothing like a straight line, but the destination may be closer to what Satoshi described than the speculative years ever were: an asset stable enough to actually be used as money. The vision shared by Satoshi and generations of Bitcoiners, once called a self-fulfilling prophecy, may finally be becoming reality. Once Bitcoin grows mature enough to serve as real money, internet-native capital could reshape the world in ways far beyond what you imagine.
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Bull market: confirmed. Bitcoin closed above its 365-day moving average for the first time since March 2023 — the line that has called every bull market since 2019. Next resistance: $88K–$90K.
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