This is something that really annoys me the most: seeing how 99% of CT and especially big KOLs have been parroting the same 4yr cycle bullshit and calling for bottom by October with 30k, 35k or whatever k, but now?
Now suddenly it never happened.
And NOT JUST THAT.
These absolute disgusting people are suddenly claiming they called the bottom or they called this and that – THE AUDACITY.
Their followers were led to the slaughterhouse, and now everything’s golden again. The bull is here and let‘s just flip bullish and continue to give advice, right?
Un-fuckin-believable.
It's very funny to see.
For months, many of the 4 year cycle guys were arrogant and certain.
Happily pushing $35k targets over and over.
But this is not how the overall market looked.
Now, after Bitcoin has made its low long before they expected, they are pretending they called it.
And when they get a little push back now on their previous arrogance, they can't take it.
The fact of the matter is that Bitcoin IS mid cycle.
It is not a debate anymore.
When you look at the charts below, that show us the overall market dynamic, with:
- Bitcoin(main player)
- ETH/BTC(dominance between the top 2)
- OTHERS.D(dominance of altcoins)
- OTHERS(actual altcoins chart)
It is very very clear.
Going into the mid cycle correction of 2019:
- ETH/BTC downtrend
- OTHERS.D downtrend
- OTHERS downtrend
Going into the full cycle high of 2021:
- All in an uptrend
Now, look at the correction of 2025/2026 - it is the exact same as 2019/2020.
Same length, almost same depth.
Each full cycle high is followed by a much longer and deeper correction.
The anatomy of the overall market shows you, clear as day, that the 2025 high was not a full cycle high.
I do not understand how anyone can look at this chart, and tell me it is not so.