Trader & Investor | Economics, News, Bitcoin, Crypto & Stocks | In crypto since 2017

Altcoins may be entering their next big move. The same structure that kicked off the 2023 altcoin rally is showing up again.
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ALTSEASON IS HERE. Alts are about to go absolutely insane. The rotation has started.
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UPTOBER is coming. 🚀 Historically one of bitcoin:native strongest months, arriving right as the weekly trend flips green. Bear trend behind us. Buckle up — the next leg starts now.
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$ETH structure is getting interesting. The double bottom around $1.5K–$1.6K marked the base, followed by a clear stair-step recovery. $1.85K–$2K formed the first consolidation. $2.4K–$2.55K became the next. Now I’m watching whether $ETH can build the next step and continue the same structure toward $3.2K–$4K.
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Congress failed to pass the Clarity Act. But look at what happened in the 10 days after. Sep 15 — Senate fails to pass the Clarity Act. Sep 17 — SEC allows limited on-chain trading of tokenized US stocks. CFTC opens the door for developers to build passive derivatives software without broker registration. Sep 18 — CFTC sends new crypto market rules into White House review. Sep 23 — CFTC starts laying out clearer crypto market structure and plans for 24/7 on-chain financial markets. Sep 24 — New guidance on tokenized assets and blockchain recordkeeping. Fed proposes stablecoin rules under GENIUS. Sep 25 — SEC releases fresh guidance on how securities laws apply to crypto. The bill stalled. The infrastructure around crypto kept moving.
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$BTC is printing a clean inverse head and shoulders. A breakout there would complete the pattern and put the $87K–87.6K area back in focus as the key target zone.
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$SOL is back at the resistance that triggered the last major breakdown. The $121–$130 zone rejected SOL earlier this year and started the move toward the $60s. Now $SOL has recovered and is testing the same zone again.
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$ETH is now back at the same zone after the pullback. Hold it, and another leg higher stays in play. Lose it, and $2,380–$2,420 comes back into focus.
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$BTC is getting squeezed into a decision point. Bitcoin is forming a symmetrical triangle after the sharp move from $81K to $87K. A breakout above $85K–$86K opens the door for continuation.Lose $83K, and $81K comes back into focus.
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$BTC may need one more flush before it moves higher. Price pushed from $79K to $87.4K and is now pulling back above the $82K flip. If we get a sweep into the $79K POC and buyers step in, I’d look for a reclaim of $82K and another run at $87K+. That would be the clean shakeout. $79K is the line in the sand.
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🚨 US 10Y yields are breaking higher. Above 5% means tighter financial conditions and a stronger hurdle for risk assets. That puts pressure on $BTC in the short term. But if $BTC keeps holding its key levels while yields climb, that strength becomes important. This is the macro battle to watch.
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$BTC bull market is getting stronger by the day. Binance saw 13,800+ BTC leave in a single day, its biggest outflow since 2023. Reserves fell from 705K to 685K BTC in 4 days. BTC is holding above the $82K May high after a 45% rally from July. Strong accumulation, shrinking exchange supply, and FOMO coming in. This is how bull markets keep expanding.
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The bids are showing up across crypto. Major $BTC and $ETH ETFs are seeing green flows, with the broader market getting bought too. Whole market is getting bought. Could be the fuel for the next leg.
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bitcoin:native short-term holders are back in profit. STH-SOPR just hit a 14-month high after the capitulation earlier this year. bitcoin:native is also reclaiming the $84K resistance zone. On-chain is improving while price confirms it. This is the kind of confluence I want to see.
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Hey @grok,once and for all, where does bitcoin:native currently sit on this cycle?
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$BTC momentum is starting to turn. Price is still inside the descending channel, but MACD is printing higher lows while downside momentum fades. If $BTC breaks the channel, $87K comes back into play. Momentum is improving. Structure needs to confirm.
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$BTC just flipped a major level back into support. The $81K–$82K zone rejected $BTC during the May breakdown. Now Bitcoin has reclaimed it and is holding the retest.
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Yo @grok no cap, simplify this, where's bitcoin:native headed next?
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$BTC is sitting under a wall of sellers from $85K to $91K. First hurdle is $85K–85.8K, then $88K. $90K has the biggest wall sitting above. Clear these levels and the path opens up. Lose $85K and I’d expect a pullback toward $81K–82K.
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