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This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Arbitrage system that made $8,045 a day on Polymarket The result is already +$1,262,999 PnL in 157 days with about $873 per average trade, repeating the same setup 41 times every hour across crypto "Up or Down" markets Several AI agents work together as one system: 1. The bot continuously tracks the average cost of both outcomes Instead of looking at one fill, it recalculates the weighted average after every order: Average Up = Total Up Cost / Up Shares Average Down = Total Down Cost / Down Shares So dozens of small fills gradually change the real cost of the position 2. Arbitrage appears only when the matched inventory costs less than 100¢ For equal amounts of Up and Down: Arb Edge = 100¢ - (Average Up + Average Down) If: Average Up + Average Down < 100¢ → locked arbitrage Average Up + Average Down > 100¢ → no locked edge The bot keeps repricing and adding orders until part of its Up and Down inventory can be paired below the 100¢ settlement value This trader’s Polymarket account:polymarket.com/@0xb55fa1296e… Most profitable trades: $20,877 → $30,781 (+$9,904) $1,767 → $10,655 (+$8,888) $5,058 → $12,800 (+$7,742) The strategy is built around the average cost of both sides rather than the result of any single trade