NEW: North Korean nuclear rhetoric is increasingly threatening escalation and retaliatory strikes if the United States crosses one of its “red lines.” North Korea is likely seeking to deter United States intervention during a conflict on the Korean Peninsula by threatening uncontrollable escalation and imposing increasingly high costs on the United States. (1/2)
Other Key Takeaways:
North Korea appears to be increasingly focusing on transitioning to unmanned and precision strike systems and away from more inaccurate tube artillery systems. This transition would provide a greater tactical firepower advantage for North Korean forces, enabling offensive operations and overcoming existing weaknesses in North Korea’s precision strike complex.
North Korea may have tested a hypersonic glide vehicle during its September 20 missile test. North Korea is likely pursuing hypersonic weapons systems to improve its ability to penetrate South Korea’s integrated air and missile defense network, as hypersonic glide vehicles are significantly harder to intercept than ballistic missiles. Hypersonic technologies remain nascent within even the most advanced militaries, so North Korea may require foreign assistance to advance its hypersonic technology.