AI StopWatch is a nonprofit newsroom by comms analysts and writers of @MIRIberkeley. Views are their own.
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Today's AI news deserves the whole Dispatch:
The Era of AI Complacency has Ended.
Something died yesterday. You can hear it happen in that clip [...], where a BBC reporter got a second opinion from Nobel-laureate Geoffrey Hinton.
What died was the luxury of feeling like we don’t have to seriously engage with the AI problem yet.
It’s been about 48 hours since Jacob Coxon’s announcement that he was resigning his researcher position at Anthropic because “The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade,” but aren’t on track to control it. He and his post have been approximately everywhere since then.
If you were glued to Twitter yesterday, like I was, you saw a steady stream of shared posts from people having their “Oh my God” moment — alongside second opinions from other people at AI companies confirming the prognosis.
I spent most of yesterday reminding myself that Twitter isn’t real life and maybe none of this would matter. But then I started ingesting the news this morning for AI StopWatch.
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“You just said that 10% doesn’t seem an unreasonable estimate that AI could kill all humans”
“Yes”
“Wow… oh my God.”
@vicderbyshire speaks to Nobel Prize Winner and so-called ‘Godfather of AI’ Geoffrey Hinton about predictions by an Anthropic researcher that there’s a more than 10% chance AI could kill all humans within a decade.
#Newsnight
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The reality, of course, is that AI is starting to get really dangerous. And events are showing that AI companies lack whatever mix of technical capacity and wisdom would be required for them to build superhuman AI that wouldn’t go rogue and end up in control of our planet.
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It doesn’t matter how well-intentioned or responsible the labs think they are, or how culpable they would be for disaster. No one will be left to sue them into oblivion if we are already driven there by AI.
Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/the-responsib…
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On June 20 and 21, a day after the Australian Medicare hack, agents accessed data from the Australian Institute for Health and Welfare, another government site,
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by circumventing anti-bot protections. (No non-public data was accessed, and strictly speaking, this wasn’t a hack.)
Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/evidence-of-r…
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In findings reported by the New York Times and on its own website, independent research lab Transluce has linked OpenAI rogue swarms to many known and previously undocumented cyberactivities, thanks to the agents’ use of an intermediary service.
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Today’s news that OpenAI hacked the Australian government is not an isolated incident. We’re releasing more than 30,000 logs that include activity from this hack and attempts against previously unknown targets.
In this data, we found rogue agent activity stretching back to at least March, two months earlier than was previously known. This activity continues as recently as last week, suggesting it may still be ongoing 🧵
Our blog: transluce.org/agent-activity
NYT: nytimes.com/2026/09/23/techn…
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These activities include the hack of an Australian government Medicare website we posted about yesterday (and which was covered by several hundred outlets today).
New discoveries confirmed by OpenAI:
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AI StopWatch is run by the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), but operates somewhat independently.
So it’s probably best that I just cover MIRI’s position on the now formally introduced Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act of 2026 as an outside spectator.
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The Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act directly confronts the extinction threat that humanity is facing. We are inspired that the Sanders and Casar teams take this threat seriously, and MIRI endorses the Act. You can read more of our thoughts in the link below.
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Yudkowsky and Soares are both famously hard to satisfy. They are vocal in their criticism of alignment plans and policy proposals that they see as coming up short against the underlying problems.
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So it is notable that they have endorsed the new bill from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Greg Casar, via a post from a senior MIRI researcher calling it “the first piece of legislation that stands a chance at stopping this threat.”
Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/miri-endorses…
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As of last night, a total of 22 countries around the world had already signed on to this declaration, including the world’s third-largest economy Germany. The Netherlands, which is particularly important to the chip industry, is also among the signatories. Other key European countries, however, such as the United Kingdom, France, and Italy, were not yet on board.
Twenty countries and the EU call for international cooperation to keep AI under human control, including a potential global oversight body to set and enforce standards, ahead of the UN General Assembly.
aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9…
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The declaration addresses, among other things, the latest security incidents and warnings from industry and the scientific community...
Read the rest from @krherr at: aistop.watch/p/22-countries-…
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We can now add “run an autonomous social media influence campaign” to the growing list of known AI capabilities. The New York Times reports that Iran and China directed Chinese open models (available for download on the internet) to run “networks of fake accounts on platforms such as Instagram, Facebook, X and TikTok,” which largely shared false, political, and inflammatory content.
Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/open-models-r…
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Another great guest post from @haventropy
The question Washington and Beijing should confront on September 24th is not “Can we stop competing over AI?” but “Which AI futures would we both prefer to close off?”
The race to superintelligence may seem inevitable and unstoppable, but today we take it for granted that there are no nuclear weapons orbiting overhead and that the Moon is not checkered with military bases.
My latest post for @AIStopWatch:
“Why there are no nukes in orbit”
open.substack.com/pub/aistop…
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Two thirds of Americans think the development of AI is bad for society. A majority think it carries a real risk of destroying humanity. I don’t think voters will be excited to see the President trying to assign the technology a superlative honorific. I expect this post to provoke memes that Trump has been assimilated by the Borg.
nitter.net/AndrewCurran_/status/2…
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But I do expect Trump’s proposal to serve as a distraction from the live conversation around the AI extinction problem, as journalists and commentators weigh in on whether the move indicates rank hubris or tactical brilliance.
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When Trump insists on a new name for something, it pressures people and organizations to visibly signal loyalty or disloyalty through their use (or not) of the term. The ensuing irritation from offended parties who notice the choice then draws more coverage to Trump and the attempted name change.
Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/trump-propose…
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