Chief Analytics Officer @FTNFantasy. Creator of DVOA. ESPN+ NFL analyst. Ex-radio DJ. AP All-Pro/MVP voter. I specialize in nuanced, ice-cold NFL takes.
Auburn, MA
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This is a pinned tweet for people new to my work.
DVOA explainer: ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-explβ¦
Latest DVOA numbers: ftnfantasy.com/stats/nfl/teaβ¦
Stats content on FTN: ftnfantasy.com/stats/articleβ¦
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Aaron Schatz π retweeted
Can the Saints ride the schedule to an NFC South title? | @ASchatzNFL
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This is average DAVE of opponents next eight weeks. Oh man is it gonna be tough for the Chargers. Not much easier for Arizona.
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In case you missed this earlier.
New at @FTNFantasy @DanPizzuta goes deep into our Stats iQ tool to look at what's going right for three surprising early defenses: Jets, Bengals, and Raiders.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/surprise-β¦
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In case you missed this earlier.
New from @BryKno at @FTNFantasy: We've never seen anything like the Vikings' insane blitz rate so far this year.
ftnfantasy.com/the-vikings-iβ¦
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Aaron Schatz π retweeted
DVOA Breakdown NFL Brazil π§π· Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens | @realfrankbrank @ASchatzNFL
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New from @BryKno at @FTNFantasy: We've never seen anything like the Vikings' insane blitz rate so far this year.
ftnfantasy.com/the-vikings-iβ¦
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New at @FTNFantasy @DanPizzuta goes deep into our Stats iQ tool to look at what's going right for three surprising early defenses: Jets, Bengals, and Raiders.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/surprise-β¦
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Here's a fun tidbit from my defense stats.
In 2012, J.J. Watt had 16 passes defensed. That's the most PD by an interior DL since at least 1989 by 5. Cameron Heyward had 11 in 2024 for second place.
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Football Card of the Day: 1980 Topps Louis Wright
The 1980 cartoons are weird because they are based on team and sometimes have nothing to do with the player. Hey, did you know that this guy who played for Denver SIX YEARS AGO has a brother who plays baseball?
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NFL Week 3 Preview: Whoβs For Real? Biggest Games, DVOA & Playoff Stakes nitter.net/i/broadcasts/1pKdRDYMRβ¦
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Come join me and @MikeTanier to preview Week 3 at noon Eastern.
piped.video/live/4pV8ctJzHFQβ¦
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Oops! I gave the guy who puts this together the wrong pick for CLE-CAR. I would take the Panthers.
GO VEGAS!
Our crew locked in their NFL Week 3 picks π
π @JeffRatcliffe @ASchatzNFL @FFTylerO @Colin_McT @RealDealFantasy
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In case you missed this earlier.
New from @BryKno at @FTNFantasy: The annual DOOM Index, looking at the chances for all the 0-2 teams.
Based on Vegas spreads, the Chargers had the least likely 0-2 start since 1955! Read more about it here:
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/2026-doomβ¦
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New from @BryKno at @FTNFantasy: The annual DOOM Index, looking at the chances for all the 0-2 teams.
Based on Vegas spreads, the Chargers had the least likely 0-2 start since 1955! Read more about it here:
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/2026-doomβ¦
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Early leaders in Defeats
L.Van Ness GB 9
Z.Baun PHI 8
D.Lloyd CAR 8
E.Cooper GB 7
T.J.Watt PIT 7
Defeats: TFL + TO + plays to prevent conversion on 3rd/4th
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Current leaders in knockdowns (hits/sacks) including plays cancelled by penalties:
Dallas Turner MIN 11
Greg Rousseau BUF 9
Nobody else has more than 6.
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Football Cards of the Day: 1980 Topps Giants and Chiefs checklists
It's interesting to me how these old Topps checklists let you know who the popular teams were. Look how many more players got cards for NYG (6-10 in 1979) than for KC (7-9).
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Tidbits from the new DVOA commentary:
Ravens a surprising 3rd, outplayed Saints but lost
Rams top 10 in offense/defense, dead last in special teams
Falcons pass offense historically bad
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-2-dvβ¦
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A quick edition of Quick Reads, with the best and worst players of Week 2 by DYAR. It was a good week for Brock Purdy, and a surprisingly bad one for Ashton Jeanty.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-2-quβ¦
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DVOA playoff odds now updated. We give a 10.2% chance of the Marshawn Lynch Classic in Super Bowl LXI.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-playβ¦
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