Not actually an HVAC professional. Heritage American with a touch of Campania. Longing for Constantinople since age 8.
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Dating myself here, but I think these were the top franchises in terms of playing time. Honorable mentions to several EA Sports games, TIE Fighter, and omitting same-franchise entries.
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For Mexico, births registered in 2025 that also occurred in calendar year 2025 totaled 1,058,332, compared to 1,086,087 for 2024 (as of 2025's report) and 1,157,443 for 2023 (as of 2024's report). Births delayed by a year have been declining as well. For example ...
Just released: Mexico's INEGI reports 1,678,532 birth registrations in 2025, up from 1,672,227 in 2024. Note: this captures all births registered in 2025, regardless of the year in which the births occurred.
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...in 2024's report, 375,587 births were added to 2022. This declined to 323,746 births added to 2023 in 2025, and 295,370 added to 2024 in this year's report.
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Just released: Mexico's INEGI reports 1,678,532 birth registrations in 2025, up from 1,672,227 in 2024. Note: this captures all births registered in 2025, regardless of the year in which the births occurred.
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Argentina reports 384,042 registered births for 2025, the lowest number since 1944. Only ten years ago, 770,000 births were registered. Total fertility may be hovering just above 1.0, which is still not the lowest among Latin American nations.
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Mexico's just-published Encuesta Intercensal (EIC) 2025 contains some interesting baseline data on aging and ethnicity. From 2020 to 2025, the median age of Mexicans rose from 29 to 32, with a rapid contraction of the under-10 population over those five years.
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The Afro-Mexican population, by contrast, has gone from having higher fertility than average as recently as the 1990s to having much lower fertility today. The decline among Afro-Mexicans appears to have started about ten years earlier than for the rest of the country.
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While these incomplete data call the accuracy of the number into question, the 2025 intercensal survey nonetheless showed a Mexican TFR of 1.23 for 2024.
Mexican fertility in free fall!!!
According to the 2025 intercensal survey, Mexico had 130,393,389 inhabitants, 3.5% more than in 2020.
The survey found a TFR of 1.23 children per woman for 2024, down from 1.60 in the 2020-22 period.
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The data show a typical pattern in which live births experience a lessening lag over time, as reporting improves and an increasing proportion of births are registered in the year in which they occur. This trend is reversed temporarily during COVID.
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Note that in the 1990-2010 period, there are clearly many births that occurred far earlier that are being belatedly registered, and that the registration numbers substantially overstate the number of actual births in this period. Likewise, births before 1985 may be understated.
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Mexico's birth registration numbers for 2025 should be released by INEGI later this week, but in the interim, it has released updated birth registration data going back to 1985, which allows us to calculate the actual number of births per year rather than registrations alone.
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Echoing these comments. Whether or not Bolivia is just above or just below American total fertility, the fact that it's even in the vicinity is stunning. These numbers were unthinkable, even unimaginable, even a decade ago.
Is Bolivia’s total fertility rate below the U.S. rate?
In a new data release, the National Institute of Statistics of Bolivia reports the country’s total fertility rate at 1.56 in 2026. The U.S. will be around 1.57.
This is NOT my estimate. I am just copying and pasting a table from nimbus.ine.gob.bo/index.php/… (Appendix 1, page 68). Can I say it again? This is the official data.
If I had been told 10 years ago that, by 2026, Bolivia’s total fertility rate would be below the U.S. rate, I would not have believed it. I would have happily bet $1 against $1 million that it would not happen. In fact, I look at the table, and I still need to pinch myself. Bolivia was around 6.5 in the mid-1980s and around 3 in 2010 or so.
I don’t know. Sometimes I wish I were a better writer, so I could express what I am feeling right now. More than anything, the sense that ten years ago I missed a fundamental change in humanity. What else can I be missing now?
Thanks to @LibCarlos for the link and the information..
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It shouldn't be overlooked that there are compelling economic, logistical, and even psychological reasons for limiting family size to two children. Not the least of which is that two feels like replacement!
It's hard to imagine a world where we get back to replacement fertility.
Consider:
Due to infertility, homosexuality, and disability, a lot of people aren't having kids. Throw in voluntary childlessness, and the remainder will need at least two kids, and 80% will need three!
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When Australian treasurer Peter Costello urged families to have “one for Mum, one for Dad, and one for the country” in the early 2000s, he inadvertently reinforced this outlook. The third child required some motivation other than self-interest.
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