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Average salary in 1970: ~172 oz of gold. Average salary today: ~15.5 oz of gold. 156 fewer ounces per year. In dollars, salaries went up. In gold, they collapsed. The dollar changed. Gold didn't. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #Inflation #PurchasingPower #AdvantageGold
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$100,000 in cash in 2000: purchasing power today, $50,600. $100,000 in gold in 2000: value today, $1,545,000. Same starting point. One decision. 26 years. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #Retirement #PurchasingPower #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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Gold: up 1,445% since 2000. Dollar purchasing power: down 49%. Same 26-year period. Gold's supply grows 1-2% annually. The dollar's grew much faster. Gold didn't change. The dollar did. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #Dollar #Inflation #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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Gold: $4,029. FOMC: tomorrow. Hike odds: 30%. Gold fell 1.8% last week. The debt didn't. $40T national debt. 18.5% of revenue to interest. Zero AAA ratings. Same case. Lower price. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #FOMC #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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Trump is threatening to halt $300B+ in monthly trade with ~50% of US trading partners if the Fed doesn't CUT on September 16. Warsh is expected to HIKE. Every scenario — hike, cut, hold — is historically favorable for gold. Trade war inflation. Dollar credibility erosion. Political pressure on the Fed. This is the most consequential Fed decision in decades. Gold does not care who wins. Past performance is not indicative of future results. #Gold #Trump #FederalReserve #FOMC #AdvantageGold
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August NFP: 162,000. Expected: 56,000. Nearly 3x the forecast. September hike odds immediately jumped to 60%. Dollar surged. Gold fell. But here is what the number did not change. $40T in debt. Zero AAA ratings. China just added the most gold since 2023. Iran Hormuz deal potentially days away. CPI drops Friday. September 16 is 8 days away. The structural case was not decided by one jobs number. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #NFP #FederalReserve #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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BREAKING: US annual interest expense just hit 18.5% of federal revenue. A new all-time record. Above the previous record of 18.4% set in 1991. That percentage has more than quadrupled in 4 years. Total interest bill: $1.25 trillion annually. 30Y Treasury yield: 5.21% — just 13bps from highest since 2007. In 1991 the 30Y yield was 8%. The debt burden today dwarfs it. Gold has no interest payments. Gold owes nothing.
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August 2026 final scorecard. Gold: +15.1% for the month. Silver: +19.0% for the month. Best month for precious metals since September 1999. The Treasury doubled bond buybacks. PCE ran hot. Warsh spoke at Jackson Hole. Dollar weakened. And the metals moved. September FOMC is 15 days away. The setup has never been more defined. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #AdvantageGold
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Gold: $4,712 this morning. Highest since May. Silver: $69. Up 18% month-over-month. The catalyst nobody's talking about: the US Treasury doubled its long-term bond buyback program to $4 billion per session. That's soft-form financial repression — the government trying to suppress its own borrowing costs. Dollar fell. Gold jumped. Jackson Hole this week. Warsh speaks Friday. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #Silver #Treasury #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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July retail sales: -0.6%. Biggest miss in months. Consumer sentiment: down 8% in August. Gold this morning: $4,440. The consumer that's been holding the economy together is showing cracks. Slowing growth plus above-target inflation isn't a data point. It's a setup. Historically, that setup has been constructive for gold. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #RetailSales #Economy #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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Trump paused planned Iran strikes after Saudi Arabia urged diplomacy. Peace talks resume today. Oil fell. Gold climbed above $4,050. This is the same cycle we've seen all year. Escalation suppresses gold via inflation-rate fears. De-escalation removes the geopolitical premium. Gold pulls back. Then the structural case reasserts. $4,000 held again. The floor is real. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #Iran #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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$100 oil. Tariffs on 60 countries. Active US-Iran military conflict. Treasury yields at 4.64%. Gold held $4,000 on every test — and is trading above $4,080 this morning. When an asset refuses to drop in the face of negative developments, that is a bullish sign. The $4,000 floor is structural. FOMC Wednesday. The week is just getting started. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #FOMC #Iran #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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Nine consecutive nights of US strikes on Iran. Three US service members killed over the weekend. Iran declared its ceasefire effectively collapsed. Oil up 30% from July lows. Gold: holding just above $4,000. The paper market is pricing rate hike fears from energy inflation. The structural case is being built by every single one of these events. FOMC is next week. This is the setup. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #Iran #FOMC #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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Retail sales dropped. Multiple Fed officials speak. After CPI, PPI, bank earnings, and two days of Warsh testimony — today is the verdict. Is the consumer holding up or cracking? Is Warsh hawkish or flexible? Is stagflation the story or not? Whatever the answer — $39 trillion in debt and the world's largest oil disruption in history haven't moved. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Gold #RetailSales #FederalReserve #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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Advantage Gold retweeted
Gold is entering a historically favorable period of the year: Gold prices have gained +1.5% in July on average over the last 20 years, making it the 2nd-strongest month of the year. Gold prices have also recorded positive returns in 65% of July months, the 2nd-best win rate of any month. The strongest July over this period was in 2020, when gold returned +10.7%. The only better month historically has been August, with an average gain of +1.6% since 2005. August also posted a 55% win rate, with its strongest year coming in 2011, when gold returned +12.1%. By comparison, June has historically been the weakest month, with an average decline of -0.4% and just 40% positive readings since 2005. Seasonality is turning in favor of gold bulls.
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Silver jumped nearly 7% last week. Its biggest weekly gain in months. The catalyst: 57,000 jobs vs 110,000 forecast. Rate hike odds fell. Dollar weakened. Silver runs hotter than gold both ways. When rate fears ease — it snaps back fast. The industrial demand story — solar, EVs, AI, 5G — never went anywhere. *Past performance is not indicative of future results.* #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #AdvantageGold #SilverInvesting
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June jobs: 57,000. Forecast: 110,000. Rate hike odds cut in half overnight. Dollar weakened. Gold posted its first weekly gain in five weeks — up 2% to $4,183. This is exactly the asymmetric setup we described last week. The downside was priced in. The upside wasn't. The thesis hasn't changed. The entry price just got better. *Professional projections, not guarantees.* #Gold #JobsReport #FederalReserve #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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The US dollar's share of global foreign currency reserves just hit its lowest level this century. Not this decade. This century. Central banks aren't selling the dollar in a panic. They're quietly, steadily replacing it — with gold. Gold now holds a larger share of global reserves than US Treasuries for the first time since 1996. The shift is happening. With or without headlines. #Gold #Dedollarization #CentralBanks #AdvantageGold #PreciousMetals
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The old Fed statement: 341 words. Full of nuance, caveats, and hints at future cuts. Kevin Warsh's first statement: 130 words. Every hint of rate cuts: gone. What replaced 341 words? Five: "The Committee will deliver price stability." 9 of 18 FOMC members now project a 2026 hike. September probability: ~60%. When a new Fed Chair rewrites the entire statement on day one — that's the signal. #Gold #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #AdvantageGold #Inflation
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The silver market is heading for its 6th consecutive annual structural deficit. The global silver deficit is projected to widen +15% in 2026 to 46 million troy ounces. Since 2021, global silver stocks have been depleted by 762 million troy ounces. Demand is outpacing supply — year after year after year. At some point, the market has to price this in. #Silver #PreciousMetals #SupplyDeficit #AdvantageGold #SilverInvesting
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