๐ THE CRYPTO EDGE | DAILY MARKET BRIEF
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September 25, 2026
๐จ NEGATIVE FUNDING & INVERSE H&S: IS AN $89K SHORT SQUEEZE LOADING? ๐จ
Bitcoin bounced cleanly off the $83,000 Fair Value Gap as negative funding rates and an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern setup the next potential squeeze. Here is your essential daily market brief! ๐
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๐ชค NEGATIVE FUNDING & THE INVERSE H&S PATTERN
๐ Shorts Piling In: Funding rates flipped negative while open interest rebuilt after long liquidations, showing shorts are over-leveraged.
๐ Inverse Head & Shoulders: Lower timeframes are carving out a bullish Inverse Head & Shoulders structure.
๐ Trigger Level: Breaking above $84,800 triggers an explosive squeeze targeting $88,000 โ $89,000 (Red Box Resistance).
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โณ MAKE-OR-BREAK WEEKEND CANDLE CLOSE
๐ Crucial Friday Close: Today is the final official trading day before low-volume weekend action.
๐งฑ $85,000 Order Wall: Large sell orders ($10Mโ$20M) line the $85,000 zone. Reclaiming $85K opens a fast path to $86,000 โ $87,000.
๐ก๏ธ Weekly Candle Watch: A solid close above the May high keeps the macro trend bullish; avoiding a long upper-wick rejection is key for near-term momentum.
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๐ฅ $200M ETF INFLOWS & 2023 CYCLE RHYME
๐ฐ Institutional Buying: Spot ETFs pulled in +$200M in inflows despite the price drop, proving smart money is absorbing supply from weak hands.
๐ 2023 Divergence Rhyme: Like 2023's daily bearish divergence, BTC may push up to squeeze shorts one last time before entering a broader consolidation phase.
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๐ ETHEREUM: DAILY HIGHER HIGH
๐ Structure Intact: ETH is maintaining its daily higher-high structure following its May high breakout.
๐ฏ Entry Search: Patiently watching lower timeframes to lock in a high-conviction leverage long position.
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๐ก MY GAME PLAN
Holding core $58,000 long position (currently +$1.3M in profit). Running a tactical risk-free scalp long from $83,000 (stop-loss moved to breakeven). Planning a potential hedge short around $88,000 โ $89,000 if resistance holds.
๐ THE CRYPTO EDGE | DAILY MARKET BRIEF
๐
September 24, 2026
๐จ $450M FLUSH & DAILY BEARISH DIVERGENCE: THE ULTIMATE SHAKEOUT TRAP? ๐จ
Bitcoin confirmed its daily bearish divergence with a $450M long flush, but negative funding and a full open interest reset signal the setup for the next major leg up. Here is your essential daily market brief! ๐
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๐ชค THE 2023 BEARISH DIVERGENCE REPEAT
๐ Daily Bearish Divergence: BTC confirmed a daily RSI bearish divergence, pulling back from range resistance after a 40%+ rally over 35 days.
๐ 2023 Cycle Rhyme: In 2023, an identical daily bearish divergence fooled retail into shorting right before BTC launched into its main expansion phase.
๐งผ $450M Liquidation Flush: Over $450M in longs (~25,000 BTC) were wiped out in 24 hours, completely resetting open interest while funding rates flipped negative.
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๐งฑ KEY SUPPORT LEVELS & 200-DMA RETEST
๐ก๏ธ Immediate Support: $83,800 (Holding as local support; a break below opens room for lower targets).
๐ฏ The Ultimate All-In Zone: $70,000 โ $74,000 (Weekly Fair Value Gap + 200-Day Moving Average retest).
๐ 200-DMA Bounce: Retesting the 200-DMA after 35+ days above it historically marks the highest-conviction macro buy zone of the entire cycle.
๐ฅ Institutional Bid: Spot ETF cumulative inflows sit within 15% of all-time highs, proving smart money continues to absorb supply aggressively.
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๐ ETHEREUM: ETH/BTC BREAKOUT INTENSITY
๐งฑ Resistance Rejection: ETH saw a minor rejection at weekly low resistance, but its broader market structure remains intact.
๐ ETH/BTC Ratio: The ETH/BTC ratio continues to hold its major breakout pattern, setting up ETH for massive outperformance on the next market expansion.
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๐ก MY GAME PLAN
Holding my core $58,000 long position. If BTC dips into the $70,000 โ $74,000 zone, I am going all-in with massive new leverage long positions.
Are you getting shaken out by this $450M flush, or waiting for the $70K all-in entry? Let me know below! ๐