My CAGR is +92% since I started investing in 2020 with the savings from my W2 job. I reached my first major goal at the end of 2024. I call that Phase 1 of my investing journey. The goal then was simple: generate outsized returns by finding multi-baggers. Since then, my goals have changed, and so has my investing style. I became a learning machine and expanded my breadth as an investor. Today, I’m far more confident and optimistic about my ability to navigate markets than I was back then. My goal now is to outperform $SPY by a wide margin during bull years, protect capital during down years, and do it consistently over a very long period. Anything beyond that is a bonus. Being successful once, is great but it isn’t everything. Being successful consistently, across different market environments, for a very long time--that’s everything. To do that, you have to keep expanding your breadth, skillset and build a system that works across different kinds of markets. I found my system. How about you?

Since then, I’ve spent the past few weeks accumulating assets with strong fundamentals breaking out of strong levels and I'm now close to being fully invested. Quite bullish on Q4 for my portfolio. 🚀 Follow the tape. Ignore the noise. Most of X shows up to the party when it’s already at the peak. Learn how to find strong assets, read charts, and identify the trend. Develop a system that works for you. Conviction comes from a resilient system, not from faith and hope. $SPY $QQQ $BTC $MSTR $ASST $IBIT $RSKD $XGN

The market feels like a pulled rubber band waiting to be released. Any good news could send it snapping higher into a powerful rally. $SPY $QQQ $SMH $BTC $GLD $IGV

#Bitcoin breakouts on $BTC chart by @therationalroot

Added more to this position throughout the week. Consolidation above the 50-week SMA after the recent run up looks healthy, imo. As long as the SMA holds, I remain bullish. 🚀 $IBIT $MSTR $ASST

Crazy to think about how Trump could’ve had one of the most successful and popular presidential terms in modern American history… and they completely punted it. He was elected by a historic coalition and was the first Republican to win the popular vote in decades because of two issues: inflation and illegal immigration. Inflation was already falling after the Covid and Biden era spending. All he had to do was close the border, conduct mass deportations, and let the economy/AI cook while pushing through deregulation. Instead, after explicitly running on ending foreign wars, he immediately started a war with Iran which has taken over the entire term. Inflation, energy prices and mortgage rates have all climbed and are heading in the wrong direction. His approval is at an all-time low. He sacrificed his own domestic agenda for a war in the Middle East alongside Israel. Republicans are now going to lose the House, possibly the Senate, and the next 2 years will be nothing but DC gridlock and investigations. The odds of handing America to the far-left in 2028 have also dramatically increased.

I opened a new multibagger position in Riskified $RSKD. My thesis at a high level. Not financial advice.

$40,000,000,000,000. The U.S. national debt has gotten so large that the number almost loses meaning. So how big is the debt, really?

Crazy but true stat of the day: From 1800 to 1940 the annual inflation rate was just 0.2% per year Prices were just 28% higher in a 140 year time frame Since 1940 it's 3.7% annually or >2,200% in total awealthofcommonsense.com/202…

Except for black-swan events like the 2020 pandemic, the 50-week SMA has been a remarkably reliable indicator of a bull run for #Bitcoin, especially when it consolidates below the 200-week SMA before the $BTC breakout.

Finally, #Bitcoin closed the week above 50week SMA. Bullish! 🎉 I opened a massive position with stop loss at invalidation of this breakout. 🚀 I think this is an extremely attractive asymmetric risk reward set up. Not financial advice. 🤞 $BTC $IBIT $ASST $MSTR

This aged pretty well. I posted this back in June, when there was a lot of euphoria and X was full of “we’re going higher” posts. 3+ months later, markets are still roughly where they were then, volatility has persisted, and this week we got a rate hike. I wasn’t making some grand prediction. I was simply observing what the market was already showing: signs of a shift into a more volatile regime. That’s why I’m far more interested in observations than predictions. A good observation helps you understand the momentum, map the plausible paths ahead, and prepare for each of them. Making a prediction, boasting when you’re right, and quietly ignoring or deleting the ones that were wrong isn’t much of an edge. The real edge is in observing, noticing when the environment changes, and being prepared so that whichever path unfolds, you know what to do. $SPY $QQQ $SMH $BTC $IWM

#Bitcoin jumped above our 50 week SMA today. This is the 4th time in a row it’s testing this level. Will $BTC close above it this week? Let’s see! 2 days 9 hours to go. 🤞

Seinfeld: What If Kramer Had AI in 1991?

The key is full conviction when the trend is in your favor, and full patience when it isn’t. I can go from cash to fully invested very quickly, even add leverage when the trend is strong. And switch back to cash just as fast when it turns unfavorable. I think like a sniper: watch patiently and don’t pull the trigger when conditions aren’t favorable. But when they are favorable, act fast and with conviction to capture the target. My targets are fundamentally attractive assets presenting asymmetric risk/reward opportunities.