本人创建了东半球最理性的投资群。本群不向群友乞讨$5刀每月，欢迎大家加入共同讨论、分享和进步，discord.gg/YFmy9D5vPW 。任何推文均为个人看法，不构成投资建议。
Flushing, NY
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戒网行动，正式启动！
尽量减少在推特上发帖，集中精力去好好研究下如何建立一个更准确、更量化的思考市场的交易体系。
以后每周一注销账号、周末回来锤SB😜
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这是我的数据回测的这个credit spread达到峰值之后的市场表现。历史回测选取峰值的条件很简单：只要当天的值比它前后20天都高就行。但是这个回测结果是基于已知了20天后的数据。所以在实时交易过程中的难点是：你如果在判断这是个峰值，而不是等之后的数据。🤣
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Make your bet: further up or turn around? 🤣
There is an old saying in markets: The correction is not over "until all the working girls have been escorted out of the brothel". This means when all the speculative, crowded trades get walloped. These weeks Mr. Market annihilated the gold/silver/copper bugs, it crushed the AI Mo-MO trade (look at BE today after stellar earnings) and it carried out the shorts in the 30Y bonds (from 5.67% to 5.31%-boom!). It is the kind of the period that makes you want to vomit in a bucket and Google, 'how in the heck is the S&P 500 still up 11% YTD?). In my humble view, it all comes down to Credit stress, supply and fundamentals". If credit spreads calm down, we can breathe again. If not, buckle up for more pain. History shows that credit events tend to be short heart attacks, given the risk they pose to sanctity of the global financial system. AI can't do its stuff if there is no money to fund it.
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上周末的时候，我放进来了一批人到我的收费群里。这个操作其实是个很大胆的决定，因为当时市场非常差。而且我给所有人一个月免费，别人进来一看跟想象的不一样，可以随时退出。如果市场走的不好，那基本也不可能付费了。
果然，这周市场波动非常大，甚至出现纳指一天跌3%的情况，群里出现了很多情绪。有好几个以前的会员怕我压力太大，私聊我帮我缓解压力。
但这次开群对我来说，其实压力并没有很大。因为我开发了一套很复杂的数据体系，能够帮我了解市场在交易什么，而我也相信我自己的数据。
最终，我相信经过这一段的波折，相信我的会更加相信我，这反而有利于群的长期发展🔥
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