🔴🇺🇦🇷🇺UPDATE: I geolocated all of the impact points seen in the video. It's been reported that the facility was struck 23 times. I counted 16 unique impacts, but it's possible they may have cut from the video the remaining 7 due to redundancy.

🔴🇺🇦🇷🇺BREAKING: Earlier tonight, Ukrainian drones struck the Ilsky Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai, Russia. This facility processes ~6.6 million tonnes of crude oil annually (circa 138,000 barrels per day). 📍 44°51'36.99"N 38°36'49.31"E

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸NOW: Initial reports of a missile launch from southern Iran towards the Strait of Hormuz. The target is likely a vessel transiting through the Omani route, without IRGC coordination.

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸INTERESTING: Two US Navy assets dedicated to intelligence gathering are currently airborne above the Strait of Hormuz: - x1 MQ-4C reconnaissance UCAV - x1 P-8A maritime ISR Interestingly, today, a military analyst writing for IRIB suggested that the increased presence of reconnaissance aircraft around Iran could potentially indicate an imminent attack on the country. We just have to wait and see.

🔴🇮🇷🇸🇦BREAKING: The Houthis reportedly shot down 3 RSAF drones near Mount Naman, southwestern Yemen. Additionally, several vehicles belonging to Saudi-aligned forces were disabled in the same area. It’s unclear as of now the exact model of UAVs.

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸BREAKING: Iran’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) has ordered all Airlines to suspend the sale of tickets for flights to Iraq. This comes after Baghdad International Airport and Najaf International Airport both suspended flights to Iran. The UAE suspended all flights as well.

🔴🇺🇦🇷🇺Overnight, Ukrainian long range drones struck the LUKOIL-Permnefteorgsintez oil refinery in Perm, approximately 1500km from the Ukrainian border, sparking a large fire at the AVT-5 unit. The refinery is one of the largest in the country, with an annual refining capacity of approximately 13.1 million tonnes of crude oil. The facility was previously struck on August 21st, 2026.

🔴🇺🇦🇷🇺During the night of September 25 (from 18:00 on September 24) Russian forces launched towards Ukrainian territory: - x295 UAVs of various kinds As of 07:30 local time, 267 aerial threats have been intercepted, Impacts have been recorded at 16 locations.

🔴🇺🇸🇮🇷BREAKING: Local sources are reporting the launch of a cruise missile from southern Iran (likely Sirik) towards the Strait of Hormuz.

🔴🇪🇺🇪🇺BREAKING: An Italian Air Force RQ-4D operating under a NATO mission just changed its transponder code to 7600, indicating a communications failure. The aircraft was operating above the Black Sea, off the northern Turkish coast.

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸UPDATE: As I said earlier, the missile launches were tests. Translation: “Test missile launches in the sky of the Islamic Republic of Iran.”

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸Enough time has passed. These were either test launches or were heading towards the Strait of Hormuz, likely targeting US Navy vessels.

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸Initial reports are saying that the missiles are heading south. Here’s the estimated TTIs (Time to Impact): - Jordan (Azraq): ~8–14 min - Kuwait: ~6–10 min - Bahrain: ~9–13 min - Strait of Hormuz: ~10–16 min

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸INTERESTING: Initial reports of air defence activity above Sahab, Jordan. The reason is unknown as of now, but I would rule out any Iranian attack on US interests in the country.

🔴🇮🇷🇸🇦BREAKING: Houthi forces have just launched several ballistic missiles towards Saudi-backed forces. Earlier today, Saudi air defenses reportedly intercepted 6 ballistic missiles over Taif and Yanbu.

🔴🇷🇺🇪🇺INTERESTING: According to an article published by El Mundo, the CIA has warned that Russia may attempt to target Italy, France and Spain using drones launched from cargo vessels operating in the Mediterranean Sea. Lithuanian intelligence reported that the drone more likely to be used is the Gerbera, a low-cost Russian UAV often described as a smaller version of the Shahed-136. I’m writing an article assessing the potential targets of such an attack.

🔴🇮🇷🇺🇸BREAKING: Initial reports indicate that at least two explosions occurred near Qeshm Island in the early hours of today. These reports are unconfirmed right now, although they come from local sources.