The AI race isn’t really about who ships the best model anymore.
Innovation moves so fast that you can get disrupted in 6 months. Whoever has the best model today probably won’t hold the spot for long.
So I actually think that’s the wrong race to watch…
The race I’m watching is which country has sovereignty over the 4 most powerful resources in the world: AI, chips, energy, and manufacturing.
If a war starts or borders close, you can’t rely on another country.
Two things I’ve noticed:
1. Energy explains most of current world affairs.
It’s why the US cares so much about places like Iran and Venezuela. They’re not attacking them for fun or because Trump loves war. The people around him are business-minded, and they’re making sure the US controls its own energy.
2. Chips and manufacturing are where the US is exposed.
Nvidia is an American company, but its chips are produced in Taiwan (China’s opp). That’s exactly why Elon is pushing so hard to build chip manufacturing in the US.
We’re heading into a manufacturing renaissance because the US has to win.