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Tampa Bay's 324 rushing yards tonight on 56 carries are the Buccaneers' first 300-yard rushing game, beating their previous franchise high of 283 at Philadelphia on Nov 22, 2015 and topping Chicago's 291 for the NFL's biggest rushing day of the 2026 season.
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Joe Burrow finished with 435 passing yards, 5 passing touchdowns and 3 interceptions, the 5th game since 2000 with at least 5 TD passes and 3 picks. Only four other games have done it.
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Mahomes' 321 yards, 3 passing touchdowns and no picks tonight are now the 4th loss in 30 such games. He averaged 326.5 passing yards in the previous 29, winning 27.
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The Chargers are 0-7 for the first time in franchise history, after seven games this season. Their 99 points through seven are the fewest in any such season since 1990.
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Baker Mayfield finished 0-for-3 with minus-2 net passing yards, and no team since at least 1999 had won a regular-season game without a completion.
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We simmed Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread SEA -4.9 | O/U 51.0 (mkt 46.5) | SEA ML 66%
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Notre Dame beat Villanova 74-72 last night for its first win in the series since Jan 30, 2013. It was only the third neutral-site meeting ever and the 8th of 37 decided by two points or fewer.
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We simmed Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread PHI -3.4 | O/U 49.4 (mkt 46.5) | PHI ML 60%
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Denver entered tonight 1st in the NFL in sacks and QB hits, with 21 sacks and 66 QB hits, and Malcolm Roach's 4th-down sack at the 12 was Denver's 23rd of the season.
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We simmed New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread NE -6.8 | O/U 48.2 (mkt 43.5) | NE ML 72%
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The Buccaneers' 324 rushing yards on 56 carries tonight are their first 300-yard rushing game, beating their previous franchise high of 283 at Philadelphia on Nov 22, 2015 and topping Chicago's 291 for the NFL's biggest rushing day of the 2026 season.
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We simmed Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread KC -0.4 | O/U 45.9 (mkt 40.5) | KC ML 51%
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Mahomes is now 27-4 in his career when throwing for 321 yards, 3 passing touchdowns and no picks, averaging 326.5 passing yards in the previous 29 such games.
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We simmed Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread LAR -9.9 | O/U 49.6 (mkt 48.0) | LAR ML 79%
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Joe Burrow finished with 5 passing touchdowns and 3 interceptions, the 5th game since 2000 with at least 5 passing touchdowns and 3 picks.
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We simmed Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread CIN -5.2 | O/U 49.0 (mkt 49.0) | CIN ML 65%
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We simmed Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread DET -7.1 | O/U 46.0 (mkt 46.0) | DET ML 72%
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Baker Mayfield finished 0-for-3 with minus-2 net passing yards, and no team since at least 1999 had won a regular-season game without a completion.
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We simmed Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets 1,000 times. Here are the results:
Spread NYJ -3.6 | O/U 43.6 (mkt 41.0) | NYJ ML 62%
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