Creator of CSROI.com: View and simulate your unboxing odds for cases, stickers and souvenirs. Try simulating receiving your favourite skin for free!
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Brand NEW simulator on CSROI!
Slowly trying to modernise and improve the website, first with the history graphs, now with the simulator.
Try it out!
New CSROI Update
- Simulator V2
- Terminal History
- Terminal Buddy Graphs
Trying something new with a video to show the features, hope you guys like it 😁
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As someone with a Samsung Odyssey+ I'm super excited for the Steam Frame
Wireless + 144hz + Finger tracking
Sure, the price is rough.
Sure, I don't care for the mobile chip + 16GB of RAM.
Sure, the handstraps are required and cost more.
Wireless streaming is a game changer.
How does ~$750 sound for the Steam Frame?
Simply buy CS2 cases (or items) on a third party market, resell on steam and save! This applies for EVERYTHING you can buy on steam.
A ~30% discount on everything on steam!
Our CSROI Deals page shows great examples
(cs2 cases are best)
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I highly doubt Valve would've made this new Overwatch system with the same issues as the one in CS:GO regarding data poisoning.
Trust factor can somewhat work to group players into pools of trust, what if there's pre-labeled data to determine who's mislabelling data?
Cheaters are already trying to abuse CS2's new Overwatch system ‼️
> As shown in the clip, they are labeling cheating clips as "not cheating"
> It's also reported that cheaters are inviting other cheaters in order to increase the number of fake labels
It was pretty expected this was going to happen tho, so it's unknown how effective this is going to be
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Brongo retweeted
NEW CSROI UPDATE! 🥳
Among many other changes, Terminal Buddy got a massive improvement, a popover player!
Get a live recommendation on your offer instantly, next to your offer!
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Brongo retweeted
A "sticker sale" came, but not in the normal 75% off format
Lower token costs targeted 75% off, but after 2.5k tokens it begins discounting even more, over 95% in some cases
While the exact formula is unclear, its likely Valve is using a recent averaged price as baseline
Cologne ranked foils seem to be exactly 75% off in all cases; whereas holos vary a bit but average is 82% off
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I don't think it'll save the stickers, but there is no "sale" yet like previous years. They target roughly the same value of a capsule pre sale for these sticker prices.
If a previous major had no sticker sale it'd also have produced very little revenue for teams.
"A catastrophe": How the new Major sticker system is impacting the CS scene hltv.org/news/45159/a-catast…
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In the Spy Tech Collection, Mil-Spec improved the most, 193%!
If you're aware of the market this could've lead to a simple 2x (if prices hold after tradehold)
I hope you all like the new graphs, many more features OTW for CSROI!
A few days later update for the NEW armory collections
Unbox ROI:
Spy Tech - 61%➡️90%
Arabesque - 53%➡️69%
Fruits & Veggies - 39%➡️61%
Auto Racing - 30%➡️53%
Being aware of redemption cost ➡️ unbox value can pay off, many collections improving by 50%.
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Brongo retweeted
A few days later update for the NEW armory collections
Unbox ROI:
Spy Tech - 61%➡️90%
Arabesque - 53%➡️69%
Fruits & Veggies - 39%➡️61%
Auto Racing - 30%➡️53%
Being aware of redemption cost ➡️ unbox value can pay off, many collections improving by 50%.
The NEW Armory Collections are finally tradable, with some abysmal returns...
Unbox ROI:
Spy Tech - 61%
Arabesque - 53%
Fruits & Veggies - 39%
Auto Racing - 30%
It seems that all the stars saved for this update produced way too many items for their demand...
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Personal opinion, prices won't sit THIS LOW for too long
Bot farms won't buy and redeem armory stars for at best -40% return.
Real players may, but likely less and less as they see how little return they receive, even when they are lucky.
I estimate >80% ROI by end of month
The NEW Armory Collections are finally tradable, with some abysmal returns...
Unbox ROI:
Spy Tech - 61%
Arabesque - 53%
Fruits & Veggies - 39%
Auto Racing - 30%
It seems that all the stars saved for this update produced way too many items for their demand...
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Brongo retweeted
The NEW Armory Collections are finally tradable, with some abysmal returns...
Unbox ROI:
Spy Tech - 61%
Arabesque - 53%
Fruits & Veggies - 39%
Auto Racing - 30%
It seems that all the stars saved for this update produced way too many items for their demand...
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Full float + 2 coverts = deflationary for the collection.
Valve must be studying the armory, seeing an oversupply of good wear coverts, so to appease the demand they lowered the supply.
Compared to the M4 Fade Factory New every 811 unboxings, each new FN covert is 1 in 52k
The new skins are FULL FLOAT.
This means: To unbox the red you want (1 in 1562, as any covert is 1 in 781) means the exact red you want, then it being a 3% chance to get it in FN.
It's a 1 in 52,066.67 or (0.00192%) chance to get a FN Specific Armory NEW RED.
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Brongo retweeted
The new Cologne Highlight Charms and Champions stickers looked like they might dilute the sticker pool and act as a hidden sale.
They don’t.
Early data suggests Champion stickers and Highlight Charms have their own separate value pools, leaving the original sticker pool intact.
With the Cologne Major over, will the stickers naturally get cheaper as they lose demand in the shop?
Probably not.
After analysing the data, the shop appears to work like one giant direct-buy capsule, with a 5x rarity ladder and a shared value pool between all stickers
A🧵
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Are you wondering whether the stickers in the Cologne sticker shop will slowly go down over time?
I've written a whole article about it:
Spoiler, they won't. They share a rarity balanced price pool, very similar to a capsule.
If they're going to drop in price it'll be a sale.
With the Cologne Major over, will the stickers naturally get cheaper as they lose demand in the shop?
Probably not.
After analysing the data, the shop appears to work like one giant direct-buy capsule, with a 5x rarity ladder and a shared value pool between all stickers
A🧵
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Brongo retweeted
Ever wondered why Knife/Glove tradeups need only 5 inputs rather than 10?
It's not a random choice. Each rarity is 5x rarer than the last... except golds, 2/5x rarer.
Instead tradeups require double.
This is a genius deflationary measure that's helped discontinued collections.
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