Chris Bangert-Drowns retweeted
"Framed against the Trump administration’s missions of containing domestic inflation and sparking a manufacturing renaissance, a trade war with Canada is nothing short of self-sabotage." Read more from @cbdecon on how Section 338 tariffs are affecting U.S. and Canadian economies ⬇️ equitablegrowth.org/trumps-t…
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Canada's expected tariff retaliation today applies to only a slice of the country's total imports from the U.S., so immediate harm should be limited, but U.S. escalation could threaten a much wider economic base including the auto industry. (thread originally from two weeks ago)
The collapse of trade talks with Canada puts the U.S. on unsure footing with its second-largest trading partner. The over 10% of all U.S. imports originating from our northern neighbor have faced a lower average tariff rate compared to other countries, but that could soon change.
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The collapse of trade talks with Canada puts the U.S. on unsure footing with its second-largest trading partner. The over 10% of all U.S. imports originating from our northern neighbor have faced a lower average tariff rate compared to other countries, but that could soon change.
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U.S. manufacturers depending on parts from Canada, particularly in northern states, could be forced into procuring costly inputs from more distant sources, including Mexico and East Asia, just as the U.S. is threatening a “transshipment” crackdown on those areas.
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The threatened additional auto tariffs pose a real threat to the Canadian economy, whose auto exports comprise a large share of all trade to the U.S. Shrinking the Canadian economy would only hurt the U.S. by drying up demand for our exports and weakening a key geopolitical ally.
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U.S. manufacturers depending on parts from Canada, particularly in northern states, could be forced into procuring costly inputs from more distant sources, including Mexico and East Asia, just as the U.S. is threatening a “transshipment” crackdown on those areas.
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The threatened additional auto tariffs pose a real threat to the Canadian economy, whose auto exports comprise a large share of all trade to the U.S. Shrinking the Canadian economy would only hurt the U.S. by drying up demand for our exports and weakening a key geopolitical ally.
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🧵 Digging into this morning’s tepid jobs numbers highlights some key weaknesses in the U.S. economy. First, participation continues to erode - an estimated ~264k people left the labor force in July, following a ~720k decline in June.
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The U.S. economy is facing headwinds from elevated input costs, the seemingly intractable conflict with Iran, and policy uncertainty around trade and industrial investment. A weak labor market is both a symptom of those headwinds and a source of potential complications itself.
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The Federal Reserve faces a difficult balancing act in taming persistent inflation while maintaining full employment, and today’s numbers could strengthen the argument against a rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting. Inflation data released next week could provide clarity.
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🧵New tariffs taking effect this morning represent a deepening of this administration’s strategy of trade chaos and are a threat to U.S. workers and the economy under a thin justification of opposing forced labor.
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Tariffs and a seemingly intractable (and avoidable) war in Iran are combining to produce chaos in global trade, suppressing economic growth across the planet, and threatening the dynamism and hegemony of the U.S. economy.
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