I don't doubt carbon emissions effects will raise temperatures in future but most of the climate change we so far see "out of our windows", as Tim's column's headline puts it, is a result of aerosols & particulates being removed from the atmosphere by regs from the 1950s to '80s.
Column: "climate change is real and the Right needs to get serious about it," It's killing everything we claim to love - landscape, tradition, millions of poor chickens - so why do some conservatives still call it a hoax?! telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/07…
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That’s just not true. The forced component of climate change, at least, is dominated by greenhouse gases, and just partly offset by aerosol cooling (with a declining cooling effect).
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A) Part of your claim is purely semantic. Whether we say aerosols/particulates "offset" rising & their removal takes away an offset or induces a rise is purely a matter of words. B) My "out of the window" was not empty. I'm referring to specifically Europe & specifically summers.
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Replying to @andrew_lilico
It’s not a matter of semantics, GHG forcing is large relative to the “declining aerosol cooling” (and its influence will continue to be in the future). This is global-mean (a lot of regional stuff scales with this) 1/

Jul 27, 2026 · 6:38 PM UTC

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Replying to @andrew_lilico
2/ if you look at spots emitting aerosols in summer, the “declining cooling” will be important, of course, but even here the GHGs matter a lot in absolute terms, and aerosols stand out relative to the global mean nature.com/articles/s41612-0…
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You aren't genuinely claiming it's simply not true that there are serious well-regarded studies suggesting much if not most of the additional rise in European summer temperatures over-&-above the global average is the result of reductions in aerosols & particulates?
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We’ve just been recovering from the last little ice age (1600’s-1850) The little ice ages are caused by Grand (Eddy) Solar Cycles CO2 is a product of warming.