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VIDEO: Can lead bear sectors shape up a weekly bounce to get SPY and QQQ into blue sky breakouts? My focus on the AI Biotech narrative. chartguys.com/watch?v=oQ829r…
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There’s a fine line between patience and hesitation. Patience is waiting for A-grade confirmation before entering. Hesitation is watching the A-grade set up, confirm, and move - while you sat on your hands waiting to feel “more sure.” One of them makes money. The other watches it happen.
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The breadth posts are back. These are my comments over the last 3.5 years about it. Not going to assume something different is going to happen, the market has to prove to me something different is happening:
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Simple statement: IF SPXEW is a 4H falling wedge, THEN breadth increases next week and SPY hits all time highs.
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Things were very different back then!
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"Some day that will change, but until then..." $SPY +39% in the 2 years 1 month since this post
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The S&P 500 is 0.7% below a record high, yet 430 of those stocks are 21.7% below their highs. That means on average 86% of the stocks are in a bear market. Breadth has only been this bad twice, in January 1973 and in 1999/2000. On both occasions, the S&P then crashed nearly 50%
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You just had your best trading week ever. What do you do Monday? A) Same size, same rules - nothing changes B) Take it lighter for a few days to stay grounded C) Size up - confidence is high
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$MSOS that needs to be the daily higher low, which means bulls will need to break high of today, on Monday.
$MSOS hourly oversold aligns with a back test of previous resistance zone in the low $ 5s. Bulls must hold the back test or we will start talking about a monthly lower high for continued equilibrium:
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TheChartGuys retweeted
$MRNA trying for a 4H cup and handle
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$MSOS hourly oversold aligns with a back test of previous resistance zone in the low $ 5s. Bulls must hold the back test or we will start talking about a monthly lower high for continued equilibrium:
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Bears used the Iran news bump to set hourly lower highs. $TRLV shown
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$11.94 break would confirm the hourly down trend
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Here's a useful infographic to help pinpoint your entries 🎯
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With this reaction follow through, is the Iran headline more real? Or is it because NQ, ES daily higher lows, and oil daily lower highs were the most likely technical scenario? Dont know, dont care.
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Sub sector standing out today for relative strength
Anthropic is sowing the seeds for AI/Biotech to be the hype narrative into their IPO imo. $ARKG $NTRA, $TEM
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$XBI would be the spoiler, about to confirm a weekly head and shoulders being rate sensitive.
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Said on the live stream I would have expected MSOS in the $ 5.teens with how the broader market traded yesterday... just took an extra day of weakness.
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$GLAS down with the sickness. $7.20 is 2026 low
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