Little late to the party, but here are my bullish and bearish thoughts on base:0xacfe6019ed1a7dc6f7b508c02d1b04ec88cc21bf (VVV)
The Blockchain Club considered pitching this at some point last year, but we thought we might be too early to the AI narrative. At the time, we were also pretty down on some TAO subnet positions
Nevertheless, we passed on it. Looking back, that was a horrible mistake. Won’t happen again
I still love Venice for several reasons long term, but I’m also skeptical about a few things. Here they are:
Pros:
-Venice sits at the intersection of two of the strongest narratives in the market right now: AI and privacy. The TAM for LLMs with a privacy layer is unfathomable IMO. Venice went from around 1.7 million registered users at the start of the year to 4 million by mid-August. At the end of the day, I believe crypto trades on attention, and right now Venice has all of it
-The tokenomics are also very attractive, especially the burn mechanism. New subscriptions trigger a buy-and-burn, and $5 out of every $100 in API credits does the same, on top of monthly buybacks funded by platform revenue. Emissions have also been cut repeatedly, from 14 million per year at launch to 2.5 million now, with another reduction to 2 million planned for October
-Revenue growth has been insane. Erik (CEO) said annualized revenue crossed $100 million in mid-August. Paid tiers have been growing faster than the free user base, and only around 8% of users pay in crypto. Most use a credit card, which is a good sign that the product is reaching beyond the usual crypto crowd
Cons:
-The price has moved massively over the past couple of weeks. VVV is up roughly 40–50% on the week and just printed an all-time high near $29. Buying here means you may be paying a premium
-The token model is difficult to understand and could be a threat to scaling. To use VVV properly, you have to buy it, stake it, and then lock that stake to mint DIEM if you want perpetual inference credits. IMO that’s a lot of steps for the average AI user. It could leave the token as a crypto-native layer on top of the product rather than something that scales alongside it
-There’s also team and governance risk. Voorhees is still the founder and CEO, but the co-founder and COO left in January to build a competing project. The team is small, VVV has no governance, and the mint authority was never renounced