Mandy Freund@ClimateFreund

Climate scientist with a passion for the past, interest in future and concern about changes happening right now. Views are my own.

 Melbourne, Australia
Joined July 2009
The best! I had two tigers onboard this morning:)
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Not quite an egg anymore 😝#petsofAMOS2021
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#3 : No easy answer on future changes of El Niño. Both mean-state warming and decadal-scale natural variability are important.
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#2: Pacific decadal variability plays an important role determining the number of El Niño events: During positive decadal phases, more El Niño events occur.
Occurrence of different types of El Niño. Observed occurrence of EP and CP El Niño events according to Freund et al. (2019) during the instrumental period (1870–2018). Insets show the event occurrence frequencies during PDV positive phases (upper inset) and PDV positive phases (lower inset) based on shaded observed periods of PDV based on TPI index (Henley et al. 2015).

ALT Occurrence of different types of El Niño. Observed occurrence of EP and CP El Niño events according to Freund et al. (2019) during the instrumental period (1870–2018). Insets show the event occurrence frequencies during PDV positive phases (upper inset) and PDV positive phases (lower inset) based on shaded observed periods of PDV based on TPI index (Henley et al. 2015).

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#1 : Models with a projected La Niña–like mean-state warming pattern show a tendency toward more EP but fewer CP events compared to models with an El Niño–like warming pattern.
Trends and changes of the ZSG index smoothed by a 7-yr running mean following Kohyama et al. (2017) and the TPI index in observations (HadISST, 1870–2016) and CMIP models in the future scenario runs RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 until 2100. Two selected models from the CMIP5 and CMIP6 phase are shown that represent El Niño/La Niña–like warming trends estimated by the least squares best-fit trend line in the future scenario run. Shading highlights observed periods of positive/negative PDV phases based on the TPI index.

ALT Trends and changes of the ZSG index smoothed by a 7-yr running mean following Kohyama et al. (2017) and the TPI index in observations (HadISST, 1870–2016) and CMIP models in the future scenario runs RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 until 2100. Two selected models from the CMIP5 and CMIP6 phase are shown that represent El Niño/La Niña–like warming trends estimated by the least squares best-fit trend line in the future scenario run. Shading highlights observed periods of positive/negative PDV phases based on the TPI index.

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Replying to @AndrewKingClim
This breaks not only the longest run of continuous dry conditions in the instrumental record going back to 1900, but also the long-term paleo record going back to 1600
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Big mud paddle this morning in Princes Park
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Replying to @BOM_Vic
Princes Hill
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Over the past 400 years (not just last 120) the consecutive years 2017 & 2018 in the top 10 for worst droughts for the Murray Darling. Soon to be joined by 2019? abc.net.au/news/2019-07-19/m… via @ABCNews @ClimateCollege @climatrisk theconversation.com/recent-a…
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Using coral records, we show that the number of Central Pacific El Nino events has increased by the end of the 20th century, with fewer but stronger eastern Pacific El Niño events youtu.be/jJhLWW2Eguc

The changing patterns of El Niño

BREAKING: A new study has traced the history of El Niño climate pat...

youtube.com
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El Niño is one of the most important weather phenomena on Earth & comes in 2 types: warming occuring in the central Pacific vs strong traditional El Niño in the Eastern Pacific. How El Niño will behave with future climate change is an open question. rdcu.be/bAxOG
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Very excited to see our work on the different types of El Niño published today @NatureGeosci showing dramatic changes of El Niño towards more Central and stronger Eastern Pacific El Niño events @unimelb @Monash_Science @uow @anuearthscience @CSIROnews #climatechange @NASA @NOAA
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😂 Motzen fühlt sich manchmal aber auch verdammt gut an! My favourite- a bike bell that can complain: vimeo.com/183001800

Fahrradklingel MOTZI – #zumglückberliner

ZUM GLÜCK BERLINER auch auf dem Radweg. MOTZI, die Fahrradklingel mit Berliner Schnauze bringt Dich janz nach vorne: Wech da, kannste nich kiek´n! Dit is keen Fußwech! MOTZI macht kein normales...

vimeo.com
These illustrations are bang on #casualsexism in #science and a great way to communicate. Sad that I have witnessed & experienced every single cartoon. eos.org/articles/illustratin… #whatwouldyoudo
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It's taken 4 years to finally hold a coral in my hand rather than unravelling their stories of the past 400 years from my desktop @ClimateExtremes #clex18 #Climate @NatGeo #coral #PhD
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Great talk by @Bethany__Ellis on 350yrs of IOD variability - so excited to see this work coming together
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😂... Yes! #amos2018 #ICSHMO2018 #climatescience #CLIMATECHANGE
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Happy 60th Birthday to #SCAR Thanks for the cakes! #AMOS2018 #icshmo2018 @sonya_fiddes
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Great lectures bringing together so many different aspects about our climate system @ClimateSystem winter school
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@dylanjmcconnell major black out @Richmond @blamedylan @renewablesarethereason
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Stagwatch #possum #onehour #almostmeditation
Awesome Melbourne Uni team @AMOSupdates
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