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Trade any real-world outcomes across sports, politics, culture and more. Every moment is a market, with prediction markets on Coinbase. Legal stuff for all posts: Coinbase Financial Markets is a registered futures commission merchant with the CFTC and is a member of the NFA. Not investment advice or recommendation to trade a particular contract or to employ a particular strategy. Prediction contracts are high-risk; you could lose your entire investment. Payouts depend on specific events.
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Biggest news of the week ↓ • Solana reclaimed $120. • The total crypto market cap hit $3 trillion for the first time since January. • BlackRock says AI agents could become a 'major source' of stablecoin demand. • Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest launched a "tokenized venture fund" on Ethereum. • SEC Commissioner calls to end mass KYC data collection, warning it puts crypto holders at risk of phishing and physical attacks. ​​ • SpaceX released Grok 4.7 • Anthropic released Claude Opus 5.5 • Google is sending TPUs to space aboard SpaceX’s Transporter-18 mission to test whether they can survive and operate in orbit. • The U.S. national average price of diesel reached a record $6.45 per gallon. • The 30-year U.S. bond yield hit 5.525%, its highest level in 22 years. • The 10-year U.S bond yield hit 5.081%, its highest level in 19 years. Follow @CoinbasePredict for more daily recaps.
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Coinbase Predict retweeted
Corollary: AI agents will become a major source of U.S. Treasury demand, and help lower interest rates.
NEW IN: BlackRock says AI agents could become a major source of stablecoin demand.
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Friday's Biggest News ↓ • Solana hit $120 for the first time since January. • The SEC issues new guidance clarifying securities laws on crypto. • JPMorgan’s tokenized money market funds on Ethereum surpass $940 million in combined onchain AUM. • Top Chinese AI firm DeepSeek has reportedly hit a $1 billion annualized revenue run rate. • Microsoft is rebuilding Copilot into an “OS for work” that combines chat, coding, long-running agents, and Office into one platform. • The 30-year U.S. bond yield hit 5.525%, its highest level in 22 years. • SEC Commissioner calls to end mass KYC data collection, warning it puts crypto holders at risk of phishing and physical attacks. ​​ Follow @CoinbasePredict for more.
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New on the Science Blog: Yes, Claude can do Nine Loops. Theoretical physicists predict how particles behave using formulas called scattering amplitudes. These are notoriously hard to compute, so researchers work with layers of increasingly fine corrections called “loops”—each added loop makes the answer more precise but takes exponentially more computation. Most calculations stop at two or three loops. Eight loops was the previous record in a simplified model physicists use as a testing ground (planar N=4 super-Yang-Mills), set by SLAC's Lance Dixon and collaborators. Last month, physicist and science writer @4gravitons issued a challenge: could an AI push past eight loops in this model, using only the compute budget an academic could reasonably access? Given a single prompt describing the nine-loop problem, Claude ran largely unsupervised for days in Claude Science and solved it using methods developed by Dixon and his colleagues, at a total cost of a few thousand dollars. Dixon independently verified the result, and von Hippel wrote about the experience for our blog. Read more: anthropic.com/research/yes-c…
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NEW: SEC Commissioner calls to end mass KYC data collection, warning it puts crypto holders at risk of phishing and physical attacks.
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JUST IN: The 30-year U.S. bond yield hits 5.525%, its highest level in 22 years.
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Top Chinese AI firm DeepSeek has reportedly hit a $1 billion annualized revenue run rate.
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JUST IN: Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says crypto and stablecoins will become the go-to payment method for AI agents.
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Bullish news.
1) The number of agents will keep growing 2) The number of agents that need to transact then keeps growing 3) Crypto and stablecoins will be their go-to payment rail Yep.
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NEW: Microsoft is rebuilding Copilot into an “OS for work” that combines chat, coding, long-running agents, and Office into one platform.
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JUST IN: JPMorgan’s tokenized money market funds on Ethereum have surpassed $940 million in combined onchain AUM.
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JUST IN: Solana reclaims $120
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Thursday’s Market Recap ↓ 1. Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest launches a "tokenized venture fund" on Ethereum. 2. President Trump signals he would welcome Chinese automakers building cars in the U.S. 3. U.S. mortgage rates surpass 7% for the first time in nearly two years. 4. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.44%, its highest level since June 2004. 5. Morgan Stanley sees data center power demand growing 9x by 2029. 6. Meta overtakes SpaceX to become the 7th most valuable company as $META shares climb 39.1% over the past month. 7. Google is sending TPUs to space aboard SpaceX’s Transporter-18 mission to test whether they can survive and operate in orbit. 8. Elon Musk says SpaceX is accelerating AI development and could reach a “leading position” in six months if current progress continues. Follow @CoinbasePredict for more.
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JUST IN: Google is sending TPUs to space aboard SpaceX’s Transporter-18 mission to test whether they can survive and operate in orbit.
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NEW IN: U.S. mortgage rates surpass 7% for the first time in nearly two years.
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NEW: Mark Zuckerberg's Meta is now the 7th most valuable company in the world, overtaking Elon Musk's SpaceX.
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JUST IN: Elon Musk says SpaceX will overtake OpenAI and Anthropic in "about six months" as it rapidly brings more compute online.
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JUST IN: Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest launches a "tokenized venture fund" on Ethereum.
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NEW: Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic are pushing ahead with plans to launch a new AI safety standards body, per The Information.
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NEW: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman warns we could "lose control of the future" to AI.
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