Geopolitical Analyst | Syria, Iran, Kurdish & MENA Affairs Wrote "From Flames to Fame" - performed to 1M in Damascus @CapitolInstitut | ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด/๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ | DM for media

Sverige
๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข retweeted
Replying to @ColdBrief
If the current Syrian state establishes any relations with Iran, it will be a betrayal of the Syrian people and the blood of martyrs
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โ€œ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ.โ€ That is probably the easiest part of @Aboyamen584019 argument to answer. Millions of Syrians now live in Europe. What happens in Syria does not magically stop mattering once you cross the Mediterranean. Syria's political, religious and social developments have consequences for the Syrian diaspora - and for the European countries where that diaspora lives. And I have been extremely consistent on this. I am probably one of the people who has been hardest on the Muslim Brotherhood and political Islam in Europe. I don't merely argue for banning individual organizations or designating particular groups as terrorist organizations. I have repeatedly argued for something much broader: ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜„๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ผ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—น ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐˜€, ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐˜๐˜‚๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€, ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—น๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€. That means confronting foreign financing. It means addressing Qatari and Iranian influence. It means ending foreign-controlled mosque structures. It means transparency about who owns, finances and controls religious institutions. And it means making sure a mosque in Europe is a European religious institution subject to European law - not an extension of another country's political or ideological infrastructure. I have repeatedly argued that Europe should develop its own version of the strategies used by several Arab states against political Islam, adapted to European law, democracy and freedom of religion. So no, I am not suddenly โ€œmeddlingโ€ because I have an opinion about the Muslim Brotherhood in Syria. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐—œ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€. And there is a very simple reason I care about what happens to the Brotherhood in Syria: ๐—œ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ป'๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—บ. A stronger and better-organized Brotherhood in Syria would not remain neatly inside Syria. The Brotherhood is a transnational movement. Its networks, ideology, financing, religious institutions and diaspora connections do not stop at the Syrian border. Europe already has documented concerns about foreign funding of mosques and Islamic institutions, and about organizations and networks associated with the Muslim Brotherhood. So yes, I have an interest in what happens. And I don't apologize for it. Now let's deal with your other arguments. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—˜๐—ด๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ. Yes. Nobody serious is claiming that the Syrian Brotherhood is simply the Egyptian Brotherhood operating under another name. The Syrian Brotherhood developed its own leadership and political history. But it was founded in 1946 within the wider Muslim Brotherhood movement created by Hassan al-Banna in Egypt, and developed within the broader Ikhwani ideological tradition. So yes, it is organizationally distinct. But that distinction does not magically sever its ideological and historical relationship with the wider Brotherhood movement. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ž๐—ต๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€. Again, far too simplistic. Yes, the Syrian Brotherhood has had serious conflicts with Iran and Hezbollah. That is particularly obvious because Iran supported Assad while the Syrian Brotherhood opposed Assad. But โ€œthey oppose Iranโ€ does not automatically make the Brotherhood something Syria must preserve. The relationship between Iran and the wider Brotherhood movement has always been much more complicated than that. There have been ideological contacts, political cooperation and tactical relationships between different Brotherhood currents and Iran. Hamas itself emerged from the Muslim Brotherhood and subsequently developed a major relationship with Tehran. So I am not going to pretend that the Syrian Brotherhood and Khomeinism are identical. But neither am I going to accept the idea that ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ด๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜†. Two Islamist movements can be enemies and still both be a problem. Being anti-Iranian is not a certificate of good governance, democratic credentials or loyalty to the Syrian state. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜† ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ผ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ, ๐˜€๐—ผ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—บ. So what? There are Syrians who support all kinds of political movements. That does not give any organization an automatic right to maintain an independent organizational structure inside the Syrian state. And this is where you keep confusing ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. I am not arguing that Syrians who once belonged to the Brotherhood should be hunted down. I am not arguing that they should lose their citizenship. I am not arguing that they should be prevented from working, worshipping or living normal lives. If individual Syrians support Brotherhood ideas, they remain Syrians. My argument is about the ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‡๐—ถ๐—บ. I don't want another organization sitting alongside the Syrian state with its own hierarchy, money, networks, foreign relationships and political machinery. We have just spent years arguing about why Syria cannot have multiple competing centers of power. The principle should be consistent: ๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ. ๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ. ๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐˜†. ๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ. ๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜†. And that is precisely why I reject the idea that Syria should simply give the Brotherhood a lifeline by telling it: โ€œFine. Rebrand yourself as a transparent Islamic democratic party.โ€ Why? The objective should be the ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐˜‚๐—น ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ผ๐—น๐˜‚๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป, not its rebranding. The Brotherhood has survived repression, exile, war and political upheaval precisely because it knows how to reorganize itself. Syria should not help it do that again. No Brotherhood headquarters. No Brotherhood political infrastructure. No opaque financial networks. No foreign organizational guidance. No secret hierarchy. No parallel command structure. No foreign pipeline financing a Syrian political organization outside Syrian state oversight. The organization should be dismantled peacefully and legally, and it should not simply reappear under another name. And this brings me to the religious sphere. Syria also needs to completely rethink how Sunni religious institutions are regulated. I would like to see Syria establish a clerical system broadly inspired by the state supervision of mosques, imams and preachers found in Saudi Arabia, but adapted to Syrian history, Syrian religious traditions and Syrian society. ๐—˜๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—น๐˜† ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ. That does not mean the state dictates what every Muslim privately believes. There is a fundamental difference between ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. A mosque should not become a recruitment center for the Muslim Brotherhood, jihadists or any other extremist political movement. Where an imam or preacher is demonstrably involved in extremist or Brotherhood organizational activity, the state should have the legal authority to remove that person from preaching and, where appropriate, place them in structured rehabilitation and re-education programmes. Not torture. Not executions. Not collective punishment. ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ-๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. ๐—”๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ. The purpose should be to break the organizational pipeline that allows political Islamists to recruit generation after generation. And the system must be Syrian. Syrian scholars. Syrian history. Syrian religious traditions. Syrian culture. But with one basic principle: ๐—ก๐—ผ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. ๐—ก๐—ผ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป-๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐˜€. ๐—ก๐—ผ ๐—•๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€. The same principle should apply to political organizations. Syria needs a serious parties and associations law that makes it impossible for organizations to operate as states within the state. Transparent financing. Disclosure of foreign funding. No foreign political direction. No secret oaths. No undisclosed leadership structures. Leadership resident in Syria and accountable to Syrian courts. Full registration of associations, schools, charities, clinics and media organizations. Beneficial ownership must be disclosed. Financial transfers must be traceable. And organizations that refuse those basic requirements should not be allowed to operate. Foreign governments can help rebuild Syria through legitimate state-to-state channels. Qatar can invest in reconstruction. Turkey can invest in reconstruction. Saudi Arabia and the UAE can invest in reconstruction. Western countries can invest in reconstruction. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐—น ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ. And this is where the European dimension becomes even more important. If Europe is already struggling with foreign influence, opaque Islamic organizations and Islamist networks, why would anyone deliberately want to strengthen the international ecosystem from which some of those networks can draw? That makes no sense. The answer cannot be: โ€œDon't worry, the Syrian Brotherhood is different.โ€ Fine. Then prove it by dissolving the organization. Let individuals remain. Let ideas be debated. Let Syrians participate in politics. But remove the organizational machinery. And finally, ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—บ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ. A pluralistic Syria can have different political opinions, different religious views and different political parties. But pluralism does not require Syria to preserve an opaque transnational organization with its own hierarchy, networks and foreign connections. The Brotherhood had its historical moment. It survived Hama. It survived exile. It survived Assad. It survived the war. ๐—œ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ. I don't want Syrians persecuted. I don't want another cycle of political violence. I don't want another Hama. I want something much more straightforward: ๐——๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ผ๐—น๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. ๐—˜๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ. ๐—–๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ธ๐˜€. ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ. ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป. And if that is โ€œmeddling,โ€ then apparently I have been meddling for yearsโ€”because I have been making essentially the same argument about political Islam and foreign-controlled religious infrastructure in Europe. The principle is the same in both places: ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐˜€. ๐—ข๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐—น ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€. Syria has already had enough organizations trying to become states within the state. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ - ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜€๐—ฒ!
Replying to @ColdBrief
ูƒูˆู„ุฏ ุจุฑูŠูุŒ ู„ุง ูŠู…ูƒู†ู†ุง ุฏุนูˆุฉ ุงูŠ ูุตูŠู„ ููŠ ุจู„ุงุฏูƒ ู„ู„ุงุฎุชูุงุก ุงูˆ ุงู† ุชุฏุนูˆ ูƒุฐู„ูƒ ุงู„ุงุฎูˆุงู† ุงู„ู…ุณู„ู…ูˆู† ู„ู„ุงุฎุชูุงุก ุจุณูˆุฑูŠุงุŒ ุงูˆู„ุง ุงุฎูˆุงู† ุณูˆุฑูŠุง ู…ุณุชู‚ู„ูˆู† ุนู† ุงุฎูˆุงู† ู…ุตุฑุŒ ุซุงู†ูŠุง ุงุฎูˆุงู† ุณูˆุฑูŠุง ู‡ู… ุงู„ุงุนุฏุงุก ุงู„ุญู‚ูŠู‚ูŠูˆู† ู„ู„ุฎู…ูŠู†ูŠุฉ ุซุงู„ุซุง ู‡ู†ุงูƒ ุงู„ูƒุซูŠุฑ ู…ู† ุงู„ุณูˆุฑูŠูŠู† ูŠุคูŠุฏูˆู† ุชู„ูƒ ุงู„ุฌู…ุงุนุฉ ูุฃู†ุช ุจุฐู„ูƒ ุชุณุชุนุฏูŠู‡ู…ุŒ ุชูˆู‚ู ุนู…ุง ู„ุง ุนู„ู… ู„ูƒ ุจู‡
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๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข retweeted
What is life like under Houthi rule? ๐Ÿ‘‡
The other day I got a message from @alsharabi31. I did not know him. He asked me, politely, to write about what life is actually like under the Houthis. Not the proxy war. Not the missiles. Not the shipping lanes. The people. He was right to ask, and he was right about me. I write about geopolitics. Fronts, supply chains, alliances, strategy. It is what I know. But the war is not happening to a map. It is happening to about 35 million human beings, and most of them live on the side of the line where almost nobody is allowed to look. So I spent the weekend on it. Here is what I found. One thing before I start, because it matters. There are two Yemens now, and they are not the same. The internationally recognised government has a war on its hands, a damaged economy and plenty of its own failures. I am not going to pretend otherwise. But in the government areas, aid workers are not in prison. Women can cross a provincial boundary without a male guardian's signature. Journalists are not disappeared for counting the hungry. Monitors can actually monitor. So when you read what follows, keep asking yourself one question. Is this a consequence of war, which would show up on both sides of the line? Or does it only happen where the Houthis are? Because almost all of it only happens where the Houthis are. Start with money, because everything else follows from it. In Sana'a, public-sector salaries have gone unpaid for years. Teachers, nurses, clerks, municipal workers. Sometimes a half payment appears. Then nothing again for months. Poverty estimates in some Sana'a reporting reach 75 to 80 percent. A casual labourer finds work somewhere between four and twelve days a month. Food prices in the capital rose 6 to 13 percent in the first months of this year. Now picture that as a household. One adult working a third of the month, at best. No salary arriving for the ones with a government job. Prices climbing. Nothing saved, because everything was sold years ago. And through all of it, the collecting never stops. Levies. Checkpoint fees. Zakat collections. Licensing rules. Business restrictions that have simply closed shops down. Hospitals run with unpaid staff and empty shelves, and some have cut admissions sharply. Power, water and sanitation are unreliable where they function at all. Nationally, 22.3 million Yemenis need humanitarian assistance, more than 18 million face acute food insecurity, and more than 2.2 million children under five are acutely malnourished. Those are country-wide numbers and I am not going to hang them all on the Houthis. But look at where the worst of it sits. FEWS NET projects Emergency conditions, IPC Phase 4, persisting in Houthi-held Hodeidah, Hajjah and Taiz. The deepest hunger in Yemen is concentrated in the areas the Houthis hold, in the part of the country with the most people and the most farmland. The 2026 humanitarian response plan is funded at somewhere around 15 to 20 percent. The world is not even paying for the part it is still allowed to see. Which brings me to the part that made me angriest as I read it. Seventy-three United Nations staff are currently in Houthi detention. Some have been held since 2021. Dozens of NGO and civil-society workers are held alongside them. One World Food Programme employee died in their custody in February 2025. The stated justification is espionage. No other actor in Yemen is doing this. Think about what it achieves, because it is not random cruelty. When you detain the people who assess need, you do not merely slow aid down. You blind the assessment. Independent monitoring in northern Yemen is now the weakest it has ever been, in precisely the place where most Yemenis live. That is not incompetence. That is the point. You cannot report a famine that nobody is permitted to measure. Then, in August, they made all of it worse on purpose. Since 6 August the WHO has recorded at least 674 people killed and close to 3,000 injured. IOM tracked between 128,000 and 133,000 people displaced between 1 August and late September, the overwhelming majority after 31 August, concentrated in Taiz, southern Hodeidah and Lahj. This was a Houthi offensive. Nobody forced it. The front lines had been broadly frozen since the 2022 truce, and they chose to break them. UN human rights officials documented 32 civilian deaths in the flare-up, 15 of them children, and three separate Houthi attacks on camps for people who had already been displaced once. Read that last part again. They shelled the places people had fled to. The families who got out carry nothing. Camps and host communities are packed far beyond capacity. There are reports of shared latrines, a communal meal every other day, and women giving birth with no medical care at all. Some have put to sea and crossed to Djibouti, which tells you exactly how much hope they have left in their own country. Now the part that gets the least coverage in the West, because it makes people uncomfortable. Houthi authorities enforce a mahram requirement. A woman needs a male guardian to travel between governorates, to reach an airport, to leave the country, and in many cases needs written permission on top of that. That single rule quietly removes half the population from the economy. It cuts women off from work, from hospitals, from any independent life at all. This is not a wartime shortage. It is a rule, written and enforced by them, and it does not exist in the areas they do not hold. Women have been barred or restricted from whole categories of public employment. There is dress-code enforcement, gender segregation and morality policing. Some local and tribal pacts have banned women from owning smartphones or singing at weddings. Landlords routinely refuse to rent to a woman who arrives without a man. There is no legal minimum age for marriage, and child marriage is widespread. Reproductive healthcare barely exists. Rights groups have documented thousands of violations against women since 2017, including killings and injuries from shelling and mines, abductions, torture, and the forced recruitment of girls. Recent reporting describes raids, disappearances, and unofficial detention sites that Yemenis call hidden houses. And then the children. The Houthis recruit them systematically. Through schools, through summer camps, through mosques, through the scouts. The recruitment drive intensified during this year's escalation. Boys as young as 15 have been sent to the front, and child soldiers have been captured in the current fighting. Schools are used for indoctrination and military training. Millions of Yemeni children are either out of education entirely or inside a system that exists to produce fighters. A movement that runs its recruitment through the classroom has told you exactly what it intends to do with the next generation. Then there are the people who simply do not fit the doctrine. The Houthis impose a narrow Zaydi-derived reading on everyone beneath them. The Baha'is who remain, Christians who are mostly converts, the last handful of Jews, and Sunni or dissenting Muslims all face harassment, detention, forced recantation, seized property, and propaganda painting them as foreign agents. Levi Marhabi, the last known Yemeni Jew, is still in detention despite a court order for his release. Converts risk violence from their own families. A Jewish community that lived in Yemen for more than two thousand years has been reduced to one man in a cell. Journalists, critics and human-rights defenders are arbitrarily detained. Protests are met with arrests, including around the anniversary of the 26 September revolution, which is no coincidence at all, because that revolution is the one that abolished the imamate the Houthis are busy rebuilding. Landmines they laid are still taking the legs off farmers and children. The National Commission to Investigate Alleged Violations documented thousands of incidents in the year to July 2026, covering killings, injuries, child recruitment, arbitrary arrest, disappearance and forced displacement. In the investigated cases of civilian casualties and recruitment, the large majority were attributed to the Houthis. So now let me say something about language, because the words we use are part of the problem. We keep saying the Houthis "control" territory. Houthi-controlled areas. Houthi-held governorates. You see that phrasing everywhere in the reporting, including in my own posts. It is the wrong word. Control implies governance. Governance is a bargain. Revenue goes up, services come down. Salaries. Water. Electricity. Courts. Schools that teach something. Hospitals with staff who get paid. Go back through everything above and find the return side of that bargain. It is not there. They collect at every checkpoint and they deliver nothing. They tax a shopkeeper who has no customers and pay a nurse nothing for a year. They do not govern that territory. They occupy it, and they farm the people living on it. I have seen this before, in a different country, wearing different colours. The PKK-aligned self-administration in northeast Syria could not govern either. It ran on conscription, on detention, on silencing local voices, on making sure that what actually happened inside its area never reached an outside newsroom intact. I lived there for months. I know how that machine works from the inside. The difference is that the Syrian project is being dismantled and folded back into a state. The Houthis are at the peak of their strength, better armed than they have ever been, holding a coastline they did not hold a month ago. And here is what makes all of this unforgivable rather than merely tragic. Yemen is the poorest country in the region. It has no business being poor at all. Coffee is Yemeni. Not figuratively. Literally. From the 15th century, Sufis in the Yemeni highlands brewed it to stay awake through night prayer. It travelled from there to Cairo, to Istanbul, to Venice, and into the coffee houses of London and Paris. For roughly two hundred years Yemen held a near monopoly on the world's coffee trade, and all of it left through one port on the Red Sea. The port was called Mocha. That is where the word comes from. Not a syrup. Not a drink with chocolate in it. A Yemeni harbour. The genetic ancestors of most of the Arabica grown on earth today came out of those mountains. Yemen caffeinated the planet. Now look at what grows in those same mountains today. Khat. A mild narcotic leaf that is chewed and spat out, that nobody can eat, that nobody exports, and that no one outside the region will buy. Roughly 90 percent of Yemeni men and around half of Yemeni women chew it daily. About a quarter of household income goes on it. Go back to that family I described earlier, the one with four days of work a month and no salary arriving. A quarter of what little comes in is spent on a leaf that is chewed for a few hours and thrown on the floor. Official figures put khat at around 15 percent of Yemen's agricultural land, roughly 166,000 hectares, and some agronomists believe the real number is closer to 300,000. It is the country's leading cash crop. And it drinks. Khat takes somewhere around 38 to 40 percent of all water used by Yemeni agriculture, in one of the most water-scarce countries on earth. Now hold the two crops side by side, because this is the whole argument. Coffee is production. Khat is consumption. Coffee gets picked, dried, sorted, bagged, trucked, inspected and shipped. Every one of those steps is a wage. It crosses a border, so it earns foreign currency. It passes a customs desk, so it pays the state. It builds a reputation abroad that raises the price of next year's harvest. Yemeni coffee sells at premium prices in Western markets today precisely because there is so little of it left. Khat does none of that. It is grown, cut and chewed within a day, inside the same country, by the same people. No export. No foreign currency. No customs revenue. No processing industry. No buyers abroad. Because it has to be fresh, it cannot even travel. Khat is money leaving a household. Coffee is money entering a country. Then there is the time. From around noon, most of Yemen stops. Offices, workshops, ministries, markets. Hours of working daylight, every day, across an entire nation, go into a session that produces nothing. A Yemeni who plants coffee is not only feeding his own family. He is funding a state. Wages, exports, customs revenue, a real economy that a real government could tax and spend on schools and hospitals. A Yemeni who plants khat is funding an afternoon. And a militia that lives off checkpoint levies on the khat trucks has no reason on earth to want that changed. Coffee is only the beginning of what Yemen actually has. There is oil and gas in Marib, Shabwa and Hadhramaut. There are minerals barely touched. There is one of the longest and richest coastlines in the Arabian Peninsula, with fisheries that could feed the country and export the surplus. And there is the position itself. Yemen sits on the throat of one of the most valuable waterways on the planet. Handled properly that is a permanent revenue stream, the kind of geography Singapore turned into a fortune. Coffee mountains, fish, gas, minerals, and a strait the whole world has to sail through. Plus 35 million people who would rather be working than queuing. So why is Yemen the poorest country in the region? It is not the land. It is what sits on top of the land. And if you want that in a single image, take the port. Mocha, the harbour that gave coffee its name, was captured by the Houthis this month. It is now a military position on the Red Sea, used to threaten the shipping passing through Bab al-Mandeb. That is modern Yemen in one place name. A harbour that once exported the world's most desired commodity now exports risk. So let me strip all of it down to what is specific to them. Not the war. Them. Your salary has not arrived in years, but the checkpoint still charges you every time you pass. Your wife cannot travel to a hospital in the next governorate without a male guardian and a signature. Your daughter can be married at any age, because there is no minimum age at all. Your son is being recruited at school, and the summer camp is part of it. Your sister cannot rent a room, because she turned up without a man. The nurse at your hospital has not been paid in over a year. The aid worker who came to count how hungry you are is in a cell. Some of them have been there since 2021. The journalist who tried to write about any of it is in the cell next door. The last Jew in Yemen is in prison too, despite a court order to release him. The field behind your house grows a leaf you will chew this afternoon instead of a crop you could have sold abroad. The mine in the road was laid by the people who govern you. And when you fled the shelling to a camp, they shelled the camp. Not one of those is a consequence of war in general. Every single one is a policy decision, taken by a named group of men, and enforced deliberately. And none of it is happening in the parts of Yemen the Houthis do not hold. There is no reform that fixes any of this while they are still there. No aid package, no donor conference, no clever humanitarian access arrangement. You cannot feed a country whose rulers imprison the people counting the hungry. You cannot rebuild an economy taxed by a militia that pays nobody. You cannot educate children in schools converted into recruiting stations. And you certainly cannot replant a coffee industry for a movement that profits from the leaf that replaced it. The Houthis did not inherit a poor Yemen. They are manufacturing one, deliberately, every single day, because a population that is hungry, uneducated, unpaid and frightened is far easier to rule than one that is not. Yemen gave the world its first cup of coffee. Today it cannot feed its own children. That is not fate, and it is not poverty, and it is not bad luck. It is a choice, made by specific men in Sana'a, and it will go on being made until somebody stops them. Thank you, @alsharabi31. You were right. This needed writing.
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Imagine Yemen ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช without war, without Iran-backed terrorism, and with peace, stability and functioning institutions. A country with Socotraโ€™s extraordinary biodiversity, the ancient cities of Sanaโ€™a, Shibam and Zabid, the legacy of Saba, spectacular mountains and a unique Red Sea coastline could become an extraordinary destination for cultural, historical and nature tourism. The tourism potential is enormous! Yemen deserves the chance to show the world what it has to offer.
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๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข retweeted
Replying to @ColdBrief
Reports from international bodies and human rights organizations consistently confirm that the ruling regime in Iran commits widespread and grave human rights violationsโ€”including torture and inhumane practicesโ€”grounding its actions in superstition and a version of Ja'fari jurisprudence that holds that the more bloodshed there is, the closer the emergence of the accursed Mahdi becomes...
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When Assad fell, I expected the Muslim Brotherhood to make a serious comeback in Syria. Historically, the Brotherhood had deep roots in Hama, Aleppo, Homs, Idlib and elsewhere. Hama was its heartland. But thankfully, that comeback never happened! Instead, the Brotherhood was pushed back- not through another Hama, not through mass repression, but by making the organization politically irrelevant and powerless. And that is exactly why today's statement from the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood is important. Today, the Brotherhood's Shura Council issued its fifth ordinary session statement. It will not dissolve the organization! Instead, it reaffirmed that the Brotherhood would remain a โ€œnational Syrian group,โ€ independent in its decisions, committed to its โ€œmoderate Islamic approach,โ€ and would continue through dialogue and political participation. To me, this is classic Brotherhood manipulative rhetoric! The organization is trying to preserve itself while presenting itself as simply another legitimate political actor in the new Syria. But I don't think Syria needs that. In fact, I think Syria needs the opposite! Ahmad Muwaffaq Zaidan, an adviser to President Ahmad al-Sharaa, already called on the Syrian Brotherhood to dissolve in 2025. The Brotherhood rejected that idea and instead continued trying to preserve its organizational existence. That tells us something. The Brotherhood does not want to disappear. It wants to survive the transition. And this is where I see a serious problem! The Muslim Brotherhood is not simply a group of individuals who happen to share an ideology. It has historically operated as a structured tanzim- with hierarchy, internal organization, networks, financing and leadership extending beyond Syria. That structure has survived Hama, exile and war. It is built to outlast governments. Syria cannot afford that! We have spent years watching what happens when organized structures maintain their own political, military or financial networks alongside the state. The lesson from the SDF/PYD/PKK issue should be obvious: There cannot be a state within the state! One Syria. One army. One security structure. One foreign policy. One legitimate political system. Not a collection of organizations with their own hierarchies, foreign relationships, money and competing claims to represent Syrians! And no, I don't think the solution is to give the Brotherhood a lifeline by saying: โ€œFine, just become a transparent Islamic democratic party.โ€ Why? The objective should be the peaceful dissolution of the Brotherhood as an organization, not its rebranding. That does not mean persecuting every Syrian who has ever been associated with the Brotherhood. There is a fundamental difference between people and the organization. Individuals can remain Syrian citizens. They can live their lives, work, worship and participate in society. But the Brotherhood's organizational machinery should disappear. No Brotherhood headquarters. No Brotherhood political structure. No opaque financial network. No foreign organizational guidance. No secret hierarchy. No separate chain of command. No foreign pipeline financing a Syrian political organization outside state oversight. The tanzim should be dismantled peacefully and legally, and it should not be allowed to simply reappear under another name! And the same principle should apply to the religious sphere. Syria needs a serious reform of its Sunni clerical system. I would like to see Syria develop a system broadly inspired by the way Saudi Arabia has brought mosques, imams and preachers under state supervision- with the model adapted to Syrian history, religious traditions and society. Saudi Arabia today operates extensive qualification and training programs for imams and preachers, monitors their compliance with ministry regulations, and runs programs explicitly aimed at combating extremism, Islamism and promoting moderation. In Syria, that should mean that everyone who wants to preach publicly needs a state licence. Not because the state should control what every Muslim believes. But because preaching is not the same thing as private belief. A mosque should not become a recruiting ground for the Muslim Brotherhood, jihadists or any other extremist political movement. Brotherhood and other extremist preachers who refuse to abandon those networks should be removed from preaching and, where appropriate under Syrian law, placed in structured rehabilitation and re-education programs rather than simply being allowed to continue preaching. The purpose should be to break the organizational and ideological pipeline- not to create another generation of martyrs. The system should be Syrian. Syrian scholars, Syrian history, Syrian religious traditions and Syrian society should determine the content. But the principle is simple: No unlicensed political preaching. No foreign-controlled religious networks. No Brotherhood recruitment from Syrian pulpits. This is also important because Syria is currently writing the rules of its new political system. A future parties and associations law should make parallel organizations impossible. Transparent financing. Disclosure of foreign funding. No foreign political direction. No secret oaths. No undisclosed leadership structures. Leadership accountable to Syrian courts and resident within Syria. Full registration of associations, schools, charities, clinics and media organizations. Beneficial ownership must be known. Money must be traceable. Foreign transfers must be transparent. And organizations that refuse those basic requirements should not be allowed to operate. Norway, USA, Saudi Arabia, the UAE or anyone else can help rebuild Syria through legitimate state-to-state channels. They should not be financing a parallel political infrastructure inside Syria. The regional dimension matters too. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, Jordan and Bahrain have all historically taken a strongly hostile position toward the Muslim Brotherhood and its political networks. Syria cannot ignore the consequences of allowing the Brotherhood to rebuild itself while Damascus is trying to establish itself as a sovereign state and deepen relations across the region. And there is another point that is often missed: Pluralism does not require every existing organization to survive. A pluralistic Syria can have different political opinions, different religious views and different parties. But pluralism does not mean allowing an opaque transnational organization to maintain an independent organizational structure inside the state! The Brotherhood had its historical moment. It survived Hama. It survived exile. It survived Assad. It survived the war. It should not now survive the birth of the new Syria simply by changing its language! I hope the Syrian government finishes what has already begun. Not with executions. Not with another cycle of repression. But with law, financial transparency, political exclusion of the organization itself, proper regulation of religious institutions, and the peaceful dismantling of its networks. Let the individuals remain Syrian. Let people debate religion and politics freely within the law. But let the Muslim Brotherhood as an organization disappear from Syria. Syria has already had enough organizations trying to become states within the state! The new Syria needs one state- and nothing else!
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Masoud Pezeshkian says Iran has not been able to establish relations with Syria because of the โ€œperceptionโ€ created by Syriaโ€™s new leadership. He says Syria should act according to โ€œIslam, religion, justice and fairness.โ€ Then he says: โ€œWe are all Muslims.โ€ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฑ! Before lecturing Syrians about Islam, justice and brotherhood, Tehran should answer for what it did to Syria. When Bashar al-Assad unleashed one of the most brutal campaigns of repression in modern human history, Iran chose to stand beside him. Not just politically. ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐—ฅ๐—š๐—–. It brought the ๐—œ๐—ฅ๐—š๐—–-๐—ค๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ. It brought ๐—›๐—ฒ๐˜‡๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ต. It supported ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—พ๐—ถ ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐˜€. It recruited and deployed the Afghan ๐—™๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป. It recruited and deployed the Pakistani ๐—ญ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป. Iran effectively assembled an international network of armed forces and militias and put them into Syria to help Assad remain in power. And what was this machinery helping to preserve? A regime responsible for: ๐—ง๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ. ๐—˜๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€. ๐—˜๐˜…๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ท๐˜‚๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€. ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ. ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜. ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ. ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€. ๐—•๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€. ๐—”๐˜๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€, ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ. These were not isolated abuses. They were part of a system of repression that subjected millions of Syrians to terror. And yes, other factions committed atrocities in Syria. ISIS committed monstrous crimes. Al-Qaeda-linked groups committed crimes. Other opposition factions committed abuses. But let's not pretend there was moral equivalence. ๐—”๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป! That is not a slogan. That is the reality of the scale and nature of the atrocities committed during the Assad era. And Iran didn't merely watch it happen. ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—”๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. That is the point Pezeshkian wants everyone to forget! So when he talks about โ€œjustice,โ€ I ask: ๐—๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ผ? When he invokes the Sunnah and says Muslims are brothers: Where was that brotherhood when Syrians were being tortured in Assadโ€™s prisons? Where was it when families were searching for disappeared children, husbands, wives and parents? Where was it when civilians were deliberately starved? Where was it when Iranian-backed militias helped sustain the machinery responsible for this suffering? And this is my personal opinion: ๐—œ๐—ณ ๐—œ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ ๐— ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—บ, ๐—œ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ, ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐—ฅ๐—š๐—– ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜…๐˜† ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€ โ€” ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ, ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ถ๐˜! Not because they are Shia. Not because they are Iranian. ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฑ. Personally, I regard Iran as the de facto world's biggest state sponsor of terrorism. And the Iranian regime didn't merely sponsor terrorism somewhere far away. It used some of its most brutal terrorist and militia networks ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ! It helped bring them into the country. It helped sustain them. And it used them to defend Assad's regime while Syrians endured an unimaginable level of suffering. The people who lived under Assad and his allies experienced something inhuman on every level. Their homes. Their families. Their freedom. Their dignity. Their lives. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น! So when Pezeshkian asks why Syria is โ€œcoldโ€ toward Tehran, I have a very simple answer: ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ. They remember Assad. They remember the IRGC. They remember Hezbollah. They remember the Iraqi militias. They remember the Afghan and Pakistani militias. They remember the prisons. The torture. The disappearances. The starvation. The massacres. The chemical attacks. The destruction. The dead. And they remember who stood beside Assad. So no, Mr. Pezeshkian. ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ฝ. Before Iran talks about โ€œbrotherhood,โ€ it needs to confront its own role in Syria. ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€, ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†. ๐—™๐˜‚๐—น๐—น ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†! For the destruction it helped enable. For the lives destroyed. For the suffering inflicted on Syrians. And for the enormous cost of rebuilding what Assad and his allies helped destroy. ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ป๐—ผ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐˜†๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜! ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป.
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H.E. @AdelAlJubeir has long been one of my absolute favorite personalities in geopolitics. When he speaks, I listen. Brilliant mind. Straightforward. Honest. What he says behind closed doors is what he says publicly. You never need to analyze his words. And he is right: dialogue, coexistence and respect for religious and cultural diversity are foundations for peace and stability. At a time when the world seems to stand on the brink of a new World War every day, the answer is not more escalation. It is diplomacy. Respect for sovereignty. Zero tolerance for foreign-backed and state-sponsored terrorism, regardless of who is behind it. Energy security through renewables- just as Saudi Arabia is investing in hydrogen- and above all, dialogue. Because peace is not built through slogans. It is built through sovereign nations respecting one another, refusing to allow foreign powers and their proxies to destabilize entire regions, investing in a sustainable future, and keeping diplomacy alive even when relations are difficult. That is the vision I see in Saudi Arabiaโ€™s ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ engagement with @UNAOC ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ: dialogue over confrontation, coexistence over division, sovereignty over proxy warfare, and cooperation over endless escalation. In a world increasingly flirting with catastrophe, these are not naive ideals. They are necessities.
"The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ engagement with @UNAOC ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ is grounded in the conviction that dialogue, coexistence & respect for religious & cultural diversity are essential foundations for peace and stability." - H.E. @AdelAlJubeir, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs .
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The other day I got a message from @alsharabi31. I did not know him. He asked me, politely, to write about what life is actually like under the Houthis. Not the proxy war. Not the missiles. Not the shipping lanes. The people. He was right to ask, and he was right about me. I write about geopolitics. Fronts, supply chains, alliances, strategy. It is what I know. But the war is not happening to a map. It is happening to about 35 million human beings, and most of them live on the side of the line where almost nobody is allowed to look. So I spent the weekend on it. Here is what I found. One thing before I start, because it matters. There are two Yemens now, and they are not the same. The internationally recognised government has a war on its hands, a damaged economy and plenty of its own failures. I am not going to pretend otherwise. But in the government areas, aid workers are not in prison. Women can cross a provincial boundary without a male guardian's signature. Journalists are not disappeared for counting the hungry. Monitors can actually monitor. So when you read what follows, keep asking yourself one question. Is this a consequence of war, which would show up on both sides of the line? Or does it only happen where the Houthis are? Because almost all of it only happens where the Houthis are. Start with money, because everything else follows from it. In Sana'a, public-sector salaries have gone unpaid for years. Teachers, nurses, clerks, municipal workers. Sometimes a half payment appears. Then nothing again for months. Poverty estimates in some Sana'a reporting reach 75 to 80 percent. A casual labourer finds work somewhere between four and twelve days a month. Food prices in the capital rose 6 to 13 percent in the first months of this year. Now picture that as a household. One adult working a third of the month, at best. No salary arriving for the ones with a government job. Prices climbing. Nothing saved, because everything was sold years ago. And through all of it, the collecting never stops. Levies. Checkpoint fees. Zakat collections. Licensing rules. Business restrictions that have simply closed shops down. Hospitals run with unpaid staff and empty shelves, and some have cut admissions sharply. Power, water and sanitation are unreliable where they function at all. Nationally, 22.3 million Yemenis need humanitarian assistance, more than 18 million face acute food insecurity, and more than 2.2 million children under five are acutely malnourished. Those are country-wide numbers and I am not going to hang them all on the Houthis. But look at where the worst of it sits. FEWS NET projects Emergency conditions, IPC Phase 4, persisting in Houthi-held Hodeidah, Hajjah and Taiz. The deepest hunger in Yemen is concentrated in the areas the Houthis hold, in the part of the country with the most people and the most farmland. The 2026 humanitarian response plan is funded at somewhere around 15 to 20 percent. The world is not even paying for the part it is still allowed to see. Which brings me to the part that made me angriest as I read it. Seventy-three United Nations staff are currently in Houthi detention. Some have been held since 2021. Dozens of NGO and civil-society workers are held alongside them. One World Food Programme employee died in their custody in February 2025. The stated justification is espionage. No other actor in Yemen is doing this. Think about what it achieves, because it is not random cruelty. When you detain the people who assess need, you do not merely slow aid down. You blind the assessment. Independent monitoring in northern Yemen is now the weakest it has ever been, in precisely the place where most Yemenis live. That is not incompetence. That is the point. You cannot report a famine that nobody is permitted to measure. Then, in August, they made all of it worse on purpose. Since 6 August the WHO has recorded at least 674 people killed and close to 3,000 injured. IOM tracked between 128,000 and 133,000 people displaced between 1 August and late September, the overwhelming majority after 31 August, concentrated in Taiz, southern Hodeidah and Lahj. This was a Houthi offensive. Nobody forced it. The front lines had been broadly frozen since the 2022 truce, and they chose to break them. UN human rights officials documented 32 civilian deaths in the flare-up, 15 of them children, and three separate Houthi attacks on camps for people who had already been displaced once. Read that last part again. They shelled the places people had fled to. The families who got out carry nothing. Camps and host communities are packed far beyond capacity. There are reports of shared latrines, a communal meal every other day, and women giving birth with no medical care at all. Some have put to sea and crossed to Djibouti, which tells you exactly how much hope they have left in their own country. Now the part that gets the least coverage in the West, because it makes people uncomfortable. Houthi authorities enforce a mahram requirement. A woman needs a male guardian to travel between governorates, to reach an airport, to leave the country, and in many cases needs written permission on top of that. That single rule quietly removes half the population from the economy. It cuts women off from work, from hospitals, from any independent life at all. This is not a wartime shortage. It is a rule, written and enforced by them, and it does not exist in the areas they do not hold. Women have been barred or restricted from whole categories of public employment. There is dress-code enforcement, gender segregation and morality policing. Some local and tribal pacts have banned women from owning smartphones or singing at weddings. Landlords routinely refuse to rent to a woman who arrives without a man. There is no legal minimum age for marriage, and child marriage is widespread. Reproductive healthcare barely exists. Rights groups have documented thousands of violations against women since 2017, including killings and injuries from shelling and mines, abductions, torture, and the forced recruitment of girls. Recent reporting describes raids, disappearances, and unofficial detention sites that Yemenis call hidden houses. And then the children. The Houthis recruit them systematically. Through schools, through summer camps, through mosques, through the scouts. The recruitment drive intensified during this year's escalation. Boys as young as 15 have been sent to the front, and child soldiers have been captured in the current fighting. Schools are used for indoctrination and military training. Millions of Yemeni children are either out of education entirely or inside a system that exists to produce fighters. A movement that runs its recruitment through the classroom has told you exactly what it intends to do with the next generation. Then there are the people who simply do not fit the doctrine. The Houthis impose a narrow Zaydi-derived reading on everyone beneath them. The Baha'is who remain, Christians who are mostly converts, the last handful of Jews, and Sunni or dissenting Muslims all face harassment, detention, forced recantation, seized property, and propaganda painting them as foreign agents. Levi Marhabi, the last known Yemeni Jew, is still in detention despite a court order for his release. Converts risk violence from their own families. A Jewish community that lived in Yemen for more than two thousand years has been reduced to one man in a cell. Journalists, critics and human-rights defenders are arbitrarily detained. Protests are met with arrests, including around the anniversary of the 26 September revolution, which is no coincidence at all, because that revolution is the one that abolished the imamate the Houthis are busy rebuilding. Landmines they laid are still taking the legs off farmers and children. The National Commission to Investigate Alleged Violations documented thousands of incidents in the year to July 2026, covering killings, injuries, child recruitment, arbitrary arrest, disappearance and forced displacement. In the investigated cases of civilian casualties and recruitment, the large majority were attributed to the Houthis. So now let me say something about language, because the words we use are part of the problem. We keep saying the Houthis "control" territory. Houthi-controlled areas. Houthi-held governorates. You see that phrasing everywhere in the reporting, including in my own posts. It is the wrong word. Control implies governance. Governance is a bargain. Revenue goes up, services come down. Salaries. Water. Electricity. Courts. Schools that teach something. Hospitals with staff who get paid. Go back through everything above and find the return side of that bargain. It is not there. They collect at every checkpoint and they deliver nothing. They tax a shopkeeper who has no customers and pay a nurse nothing for a year. They do not govern that territory. They occupy it, and they farm the people living on it. I have seen this before, in a different country, wearing different colours. The PKK-aligned self-administration in northeast Syria could not govern either. It ran on conscription, on detention, on silencing local voices, on making sure that what actually happened inside its area never reached an outside newsroom intact. I lived there for months. I know how that machine works from the inside. The difference is that the Syrian project is being dismantled and folded back into a state. The Houthis are at the peak of their strength, better armed than they have ever been, holding a coastline they did not hold a month ago. And here is what makes all of this unforgivable rather than merely tragic. Yemen is the poorest country in the region. It has no business being poor at all. Coffee is Yemeni. Not figuratively. Literally. From the 15th century, Sufis in the Yemeni highlands brewed it to stay awake through night prayer. It travelled from there to Cairo, to Istanbul, to Venice, and into the coffee houses of London and Paris. For roughly two hundred years Yemen held a near monopoly on the world's coffee trade, and all of it left through one port on the Red Sea. The port was called Mocha. That is where the word comes from. Not a syrup. Not a drink with chocolate in it. A Yemeni harbour. The genetic ancestors of most of the Arabica grown on earth today came out of those mountains. Yemen caffeinated the planet. Now look at what grows in those same mountains today. Khat. A mild narcotic leaf that is chewed and spat out, that nobody can eat, that nobody exports, and that no one outside the region will buy. Roughly 90 percent of Yemeni men and around half of Yemeni women chew it daily. About a quarter of household income goes on it. Go back to that family I described earlier, the one with four days of work a month and no salary arriving. A quarter of what little comes in is spent on a leaf that is chewed for a few hours and thrown on the floor. Official figures put khat at around 15 percent of Yemen's agricultural land, roughly 166,000 hectares, and some agronomists believe the real number is closer to 300,000. It is the country's leading cash crop. And it drinks. Khat takes somewhere around 38 to 40 percent of all water used by Yemeni agriculture, in one of the most water-scarce countries on earth. Now hold the two crops side by side, because this is the whole argument. Coffee is production. Khat is consumption. Coffee gets picked, dried, sorted, bagged, trucked, inspected and shipped. Every one of those steps is a wage. It crosses a border, so it earns foreign currency. It passes a customs desk, so it pays the state. It builds a reputation abroad that raises the price of next year's harvest. Yemeni coffee sells at premium prices in Western markets today precisely because there is so little of it left. Khat does none of that. It is grown, cut and chewed within a day, inside the same country, by the same people. No export. No foreign currency. No customs revenue. No processing industry. No buyers abroad. Because it has to be fresh, it cannot even travel. Khat is money leaving a household. Coffee is money entering a country. Then there is the time. From around noon, most of Yemen stops. Offices, workshops, ministries, markets. Hours of working daylight, every day, across an entire nation, go into a session that produces nothing. A Yemeni who plants coffee is not only feeding his own family. He is funding a state. Wages, exports, customs revenue, a real economy that a real government could tax and spend on schools and hospitals. A Yemeni who plants khat is funding an afternoon. And a militia that lives off checkpoint levies on the khat trucks has no reason on earth to want that changed. Coffee is only the beginning of what Yemen actually has. There is oil and gas in Marib, Shabwa and Hadhramaut. There are minerals barely touched. There is one of the longest and richest coastlines in the Arabian Peninsula, with fisheries that could feed the country and export the surplus. And there is the position itself. Yemen sits on the throat of one of the most valuable waterways on the planet. Handled properly that is a permanent revenue stream, the kind of geography Singapore turned into a fortune. Coffee mountains, fish, gas, minerals, and a strait the whole world has to sail through. Plus 35 million people who would rather be working than queuing. So why is Yemen the poorest country in the region? It is not the land. It is what sits on top of the land. And if you want that in a single image, take the port. Mocha, the harbour that gave coffee its name, was captured by the Houthis this month. It is now a military position on the Red Sea, used to threaten the shipping passing through Bab al-Mandeb. That is modern Yemen in one place name. A harbour that once exported the world's most desired commodity now exports risk. So let me strip all of it down to what is specific to them. Not the war. Them. Your salary has not arrived in years, but the checkpoint still charges you every time you pass. Your wife cannot travel to a hospital in the next governorate without a male guardian and a signature. Your daughter can be married at any age, because there is no minimum age at all. Your son is being recruited at school, and the summer camp is part of it. Your sister cannot rent a room, because she turned up without a man. The nurse at your hospital has not been paid in over a year. The aid worker who came to count how hungry you are is in a cell. Some of them have been there since 2021. The journalist who tried to write about any of it is in the cell next door. The last Jew in Yemen is in prison too, despite a court order to release him. The field behind your house grows a leaf you will chew this afternoon instead of a crop you could have sold abroad. The mine in the road was laid by the people who govern you. And when you fled the shelling to a camp, they shelled the camp. Not one of those is a consequence of war in general. Every single one is a policy decision, taken by a named group of men, and enforced deliberately. And none of it is happening in the parts of Yemen the Houthis do not hold. There is no reform that fixes any of this while they are still there. No aid package, no donor conference, no clever humanitarian access arrangement. You cannot feed a country whose rulers imprison the people counting the hungry. You cannot rebuild an economy taxed by a militia that pays nobody. You cannot educate children in schools converted into recruiting stations. And you certainly cannot replant a coffee industry for a movement that profits from the leaf that replaced it. The Houthis did not inherit a poor Yemen. They are manufacturing one, deliberately, every single day, because a population that is hungry, uneducated, unpaid and frightened is far easier to rule than one that is not. Yemen gave the world its first cup of coffee. Today it cannot feed its own children. That is not fate, and it is not poverty, and it is not bad luck. It is a choice, made by specific men in Sana'a, and it will go on being made until somebody stops them. Thank you, @alsharabi31. You were right. This needed writing.
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๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข retweeted
ุงู„ุตูˆุฑุฉ ุนููˆูŠุฉ ู‚ุจู„ ุฏู‚ุงุฆู‚ ู…ู† ุฎุทุงุจ ูุฎุงู…ุฉ ุงู„ุฑุฆูŠุณ ูˆ ู‚ุจู„ ูˆุตูˆู„ ู…ุนุงู„ูŠ ูˆุฒูŠุฑู†ุง ุงู„ุบุงู„ูŠ โ€ฆ ุฌู‡ุฏ ุฌู…ุงุนูŠุŒ ูˆุชู†ุณูŠู‚ ู…ุชูˆุงุตู„ุŒ ูˆุฑูˆุญ ูุฑูŠู‚ ุตู†ุนุช ุญุถูˆุฑุงู‹ ุณูˆุฑูŠุงู‹ ูŠู„ูŠู‚ ุจู‡ุฐู‡ ุงู„ู…ุญุทุฉ ุงู„ุฏูˆู„ูŠุฉ ุงู„ู…ู‡ู…ุฉ.
ุงู„ู…ุณุชุญูŠู„ !!!ุŸ ูƒุงู† ุฃู† ู†ุฌุชู…ุน ููŠ ุฏู…ุดู‚ ูˆุงู„ู…ุนุฌุฒุฉ !!!ุŸ ู‡ูŠ ุฃู†ู†ุง ุงุฌุชู…ุนู†ุง ู‡ู†ุง #ุณู‚ู_ุงู„ู…ู…ูƒู†_ู…ุฐู‡ู„
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Eleven days before the Oct. 7 Hamas terrorist attack, Egypt's intelligence chief made a secret mission to Israel to warn officials of a possible assault. He was on the ground just 67 minutes, so intent he had to come in person. @vmsalama has the receipts. theatlantic.com/national-secโ€ฆ
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A few years ago, the Sweden-Israel Friendship Association (VSI) put on a major exhibition in Malmรถ. It covered Israeli history, the Jewish contribution to our Judeo-Christian heritage, and by extension to the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. Five people showed up. Me and my family. Antisemitism in Sweden is not new. It has been a problem for decades, and in recent years it has become so severe that Swedish Jews - a recognised national minority - are leaving the country. It took Sweden until 2025 to adopt its first national strategy against it. In Malmรถ, the city paid millions to an Islamist preacher to fight antisemitism. Predictably, it failed. Antisemitism kept rising! Now comes the attack on VSI's event at the Gรถteborg Book Fair. It is stupid, backwards and idiotic. This year the Book Fair's theme is freedom of speech. If you dislike Israel, have a problem with Netanyahu, or believe Israel is a genocidal apartheid state, this is exactly the place to make that case! Debate it. Argue it. Instead, they disrupted a conversation about Israel with Widar Andersson. They threw ketchup. They threatened and intimidated participants. They tried to silence a message they did not like. At a book fair. Under a freedom of speech banner... ๐Ÿคฆ๐Ÿปโ€โ™‚๏ธ That is not activism. It is the opposite of everything the fair stands for!
Very concerned to hear about the attack on the Swedish-Israel Friendship Association (VSI) event at the Gรถteborg Book Fair. Relieved that nobody got hurt. This attack is not only an attempt to delegitimize Israel and the friends of Israel, it is an attack on free speech and open discourse.
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Saudi Arabia hosted an important meeting in Riyadh today. The commander of the Saudi-led Joint Forces, Lt. Gen. Fahd bin Hamad Al-Salman, met Tareq Saleh. Saleh is a member of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council and leads the National Resistance Forces on Yemen's west coast, facing the Houthis. The key point came at the end of the statement. Both sides agreed on three things: 1. Yemen's anti-Houthi forces must stand united. 2. Units will be rebuilt and retrained. 3. Combat readiness will be raised. The stated goal is to restore the Yemeni state and its institutions. This is not how you talk about a frozen conflict. This is how you prepare for the next phase! The date matters too. 26 September marks Yemen's 1962 revolution, which ended the rule of the Imams. The Houthis want that kind of rule back. Riyadh is sending a clear message to Sanaa!
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It's Saturday. So let's do something other than war for once. Here's what might be the world's first bluegrass song about Syrians. A church bell in the valley, a minaret on the hill, and the God who lives on the small roads rather than in the capital. Turn it up. ๐ŸŽป๐Ÿช•๐Ÿค 
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Iran says it has invested nearly $10 billion in Iraq!? Look at who said it, and then look at which way the money actually moves. The figure comes from Jahanbakhsh Sanjabi Shirazi, secretary-general of the Iran-Iraq Joint Chamber of Commerce, speaking to ILNA in July 2025. Power plants, electricity, gas, food, pharmaceuticals. Basra, Samawah, Hillah, Karbala, Najaf, Sulaymaniyah, Erbil, Halabja. That is not an audit. That is the seller describing his own shop. No Iraqi ministry has confirmed it and no independent body has verified it. And notice what is inside the number. Power plants. Electricity. Gas. Iraq does not receive those as gifts. Iraq buys them. Roughly $25 to $30 billion in energy bills over two decades, with Baghdad frequently behind on payment and funds parked at TBI under American restrictions. Selling a country electricity is not investing in it. It is having a customer! Now the other direction, where the documentation is far better than anything the chamber of commerce has produced. The US Treasury says the owner of Al-Huda Bank set it up in 2008 on guidance from the IRGC Quds Force, and used forged documents to move at least $6 billion out of Iraq, including money for the IRGC and Kataib Hezbollah. An Iraqi parliamentary inquiry in 2015 reached a similar figure for the bank's take from the dollar auction. One bank. More than half of Iran's entire claimed investment in the country! Then look at the trade figures, because they are almost funny. In 2017 Iraq officially imported $1.66 billion of tomatoes from Iran. And $2.86 billion of watermelons. Nobody in Baghdad ate that. Those are not invoices for fruit. They are cover for moving dollars! Fuel oil is the same story with bigger numbers. Reuters documented a smuggling network generating at least $1 billion a year for Iran and its Iraqi proxies. An Asharq Al-Awsat investigation this year put the "double smuggling" trade, Iranian fuel oil blended with Iraqi product and exported on Iraqi papers, at around $2.6 billion a year between 2023 and 2025. Read that again. Iranian oil, sold to the world under Iraq's name, using Iraq's reputation to beat Iraq's own competition. Then the borders. Iraq loses somewhere between $2 and $5 billion a year in customs leakage, much of it at crossings that spent years under militia influence. In 2020 Kadhimi put Rapid Reaction Forces on those gates. Official crossing revenue doubled in a single month. The money was always there. Somebody else was collecting it. And then the part that is not even hidden. The Popular Mobilization Forces budget went from about $1.7 billion in 2019 to $3.4 billion in 2024. Cumulatively somewhere around $20 to $25 billion of Iraqi public money over a decade, paying a force whose strongest factions answer politically to Tehran! Iraq is funding its own capture out of its own treasury, and the line item is in the budget. Even the shrines belong in this ledger, and this is the part Iranians are told is charity. Reuters documented roughly $600 million of expansion at the Imam Hussein shrine in Karbala and about $500 million around the Imam Ali shrine in Najaf, built by Iranian contractors, some of them the same firms doing power plants and hotels. A Kawthar employee told Reuters that a project that size "can't just come from donations." Back in 2008, when the Setad chairman claimed Iran had donated nearly $1 billion to Iraqi shrines, Karbala shrine officials called the figure highly exaggerated. American designations have linked some of these entities to Quds Force networks. That is not pilgrimage. That is a contracting arm with a halo on it. Now let me be straight with you, because the exaggeration is what lets Tehran off the hook. I am not going to tell you Iran stole $100 billion from Iraq. Nobody has audited that. The biggest serious official figure, President Barham Salih's $150 billion, describes Iraqi money smuggled out to everywhere, London and Dubai and Amman included. Most Iraqi corruption is Iraqi. Anyone who folds every stolen dinar since 2003 into one Iranian invoice is handing Iran's defenders an easy way to dismiss the whole case. The documented Iran-linked extraction is in the tens of billions over twenty years. That is enough. It does not need inflating. And the mechanism matters more than any single number. Iraq's oil dollars sit at the New York Federal Reserve. They come home through the Central Bank of Iraq. Iran-aligned banks, exchange houses, militia economic offices and fake importers take their cut on the way through. The crossings and the fuel papers turn the rest into untraceable cash. That is the whole machine. Iran does not need to invest in Iraq. It found a way to tax it. So when Tehran talks about $10 billion of brotherly investment, understand what is being described. Not factories built for Iraqis. A position inside Iraq's banking system, its border posts, its oil exports, its payroll and its holy cities. Iran did not invest in Iraq! It bought a seat at the till!
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ูˆูุฏ ุฅูŠุฑุงู† ุนุงู„ู‚ ููŠ ุฃู…ุฑูŠูƒุง ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ุญุธุฑ ุงู„ุทูŠุฑุงู† ุฃูˆู‚ูู‡ู…. ูˆู†ุตูŠุญุฉ ูˆุฒูŠุฑ ุงู„ุฎุฒุงู†ุฉ ุงู„ุฃู…ุฑูŠูƒูŠ: ุนูˆุฏูˆุง ุจุฑุง. ุฃุญุฏ ุนุดุฑ ุฃู„ู ูƒูŠู„ูˆู…ุชุฑุŒ ุชุจุฏุฃ ุจุนุจูˆุฑ "ุงู„ุดูŠุทุงู† ุงู„ุฃูƒุจุฑ" ู†ูุณู‡. ุฃุฑุจุนูˆู† ุนุงู…ุง ู…ู† ุงู„ู‡ุชุงูุŒ ูˆุงู„ู…ุฎุฑุฌ ุงู„ูˆุญูŠุฏ ูŠู…ุฑ ุนุจุฑ ูˆุงุดู†ุทู†.
Iran's delegation came to New York to threaten the world. They're leaving by minibus. ๐Ÿš #UNGA #Iran
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Iran's delegation came to New York to threaten the world. They're leaving by minibus. ๐Ÿš #UNGA #Iran
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Two Houthi drones intercepted heading for #Riyadh. Ballistic missiles intercepted over Khamis Mushayt. Ten days ago it was a drone headed for Mecca. Remember this the next time somebody tells you Yemen is a Saudi war of aggression. An Iran-backed militia is firing drones and ballistic missiles at the capital city of a country it does not border a dispute with, at a southern city full of civilians, and at the holiest site in Islam. That is not resistance. That is not self-defence. That is not a response to anything. That is what the supply chain from Tehran was built to do, and it will keep doing it for as long as the world keeps treating the Red Sea as the only part of this that matters. Saudi air defences worked last night. They have to work every night. The people firing only have to get through once.
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