Team in 2026 is (+118.0u)🟢 $10k Ladder Challenge up (+619.62u)🟢 Since 2023. 100% Transparent all results documented Start Cooking The Books Today

HISTORIC DAYšŸ§‘ā€šŸ³šŸ¤ÆšŸ“ˆ 228K In Profit🤯 +131480āœ… $150 āž”ļø 197K +17372āœ… $50 āž”ļø 8K +3900āœ… $200āž”ļø 8K +3875āœ… $250 āž”ļø 9K +700āœ… $400āž”ļø 3.4K +410āœ… $500 āž”ļø 2.5K 🦃 Thanksgiving is going to be a day of sharing!! Like/Comment/RT Appreciate all the lovešŸ™šŸ¼ā¤ļøšŸ§‘ā€šŸ³ Join The #1 Sports Betting Discord TodayšŸ“ˆā¬‡ļø whop.com/cook-the-books?acce…
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It’s 2026. The NFL is valued at $300+ BILLION, and somehow we STILL can’t consistently review critical moments and get the call right. With all the technology and resources available, there’s absolutely no excuse for this. It’s becoming a joke at this point.
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1ST SNAP OF THE GAME 😈 Travis Kelce 1Q ā€˜O’ 8.5 Rec Yds -118āœ… Analysis Posted In Discord I guess all Travis Kelce needed was OC Eric Bieniemy. That Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce connection looks back and it’s scary for the rest of the league. I found an interesting stat here as well Travis Kelce average route speed by season 2026: 11.56 MPH 2025: 11.22 MPH 2024: 11.04 MPH 2023: 11.40 MPH 2022: 11.82 MPH 2021: 11.92 MPH In 2026 he has received a team high 21.6% TGT% and is tied for a first read rate of 25.5% LARGE SPREAD CONCERN The Chiefs should have no issue with this Dolphins team and as -10 points favorites so I’m concerned about this game script. So I dug into the 1Q and I honestly love this even more. 1Q STATS Travis Kelce this year has gotten a 25.0% Tgt% in the 1Q and a 33.3% 1st read rate. Kelce has ran 100% of the Chiefs dropbacks in the 1Q. We can all agree that Kelce last year had a disappointing year but we can’t forget about one thing Eric Bieniemy Back in Town From 2018–2022, the Mahomes-Kelce connection was nearly unstoppable, and we’re seeing that same chemistry again this season. I went back and tracked every game from 2018–22 with Eric Bieniemy as OC, Patrick Mahomes starting, and Travis Kelce active. Across 78 games, Kelce averaged 19.4 receiving yards in the 1Q and cleared 9+ yards in 55/78 games (70.5%). Now obviously we’ve got completely different personnel but the books have not reacted to how big of a problem Travis Kelce is again. The line is 8.5 today for a reason. Last season, Kelce cleared this in just 5 of 14 games with Mahomes, but that’s exactly why we’re getting such a low number and I think there’s an opportunity to take advantage of it. One of the biggest differences is Rashee Rice’s 1Q usage. Last year, Rice commanded a massive 40% target share in the 1Q, with 57.1% of those targets coming on screens. That took a significant chunk of the early game opportunities away from Kelce. Under Bieniemy this season, KC has yet to throw a single screen pass in the 1Q. In the other 3 quarters? They’ve thrown 11. Does that trend continue tomorrow? We’ll see. But the change in early-game approach, combined with Kelce’s history with Mahomes + Bieniemy, makes me extremely confident we get some looks Kelces way early. MATCHUP VS DOLPHINS This is where it gets good. Miami has played Cover 3 or Cover 6 on 62% of opponent dropbacks in the 1st half. Against those looks, the Dolphins have allowed a 50% target share to Slot + Inline receivers, the 8th-most receptions to those alignments, and 2.10 YPRR 5th highest in the NFL. That sets up perfectly for Kelce. This season, when Mahomes has faced Cover 3 or Cover 6, Kelce has a ridiculous 30% TGT%, averaged 2.34 YPRR, and posted a 36.8% 1st-read rate. To put that in perspective among TEs this year only Trey McBride has a higher 1st-read rate against those coverages. Expand it to all receivers with 25+ routes against Cover 3/6, and Kelce ranks #8/50. This is a spot I’m willing to back. Kelce looks like Prime Kelce again, he gets Eric Bieniemy back, and KC hasn’t leaned on the screen game early like it did last season. Combine that with Miami’s coverage tendencies and vulnerability to Slot/Inline receivers. Feels like a perfect setup for Kelce 9+ 1Q receiving yards.
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BANGā€¼ļøšŸ“ˆ Jaxson Smith Njigba 1Q 15+ Rec Yds -140āœ… Nobody puts in more work šŸ’Æ We cashed this easy with CeeDee Lamb in the 1Q against this Commanders defense last week as he had a ridiculous 89 yards on 5 targets in the 1Q….. The 2026 Washington Commanders defense looks substantially different from 2025. The biggest change is new defensive coordinator Daronte Jones, who came over after working with Brian Flores defense in Minnesota. Jones is bringing a much more aggressive, disguise-heavy approach. His background with Minnesota matters because that defense used simulated pressure, overloaded fronts, late safety movement and zone coverage behind pressure packages. Commanders Week 1 Coverage vs Eagles 84.8% zone 15.2% man 39.4% blitz rate 48.5% pressure rate. Commanders Week 2 Coverage vs Cowboys 75.0% zone 11.1% man 58.3% blitz rare 44.4% pressure rate When Prescott was blitzed last week, he averaged just 6.95 YPA, compared to 12.25 YPA when the defense didn’t blitz. Because of that, I think it’s pretty clear the Commanders will continue to bring pressure at a high rate. What’s interesting is that this wasn’t about exploiting a weakness in Prescott’s game. In 2025, Prescott ranked #5 among 24 QBs with 100+ dropbacks against the blitz. Instead, the increased blitz rate looks much more like a response to Washington’s own defensive struggles when they don’t bring pressure. The Commanders have allowed a massive 10.81 YPA without blitzing, compared to just 7.44 YPA when blitzing. JSN has been Darnold’s guy when defenses bring pressure. Last season against the blitz, he commanded a 31.3% target share, averaged an elite 3.86 YPRR, and accounted for 45.6% of Seattle’s receiving yards in those situations. That usage has only increased in 2026. JSN currently owns a ridiculous 44.4% target share against the blitz while averaging 4.80 YPRR. I understand last week’s production came with Drew Lock at QB, but we saw the same trend with Darnold in Week 1. JSN ran 13 routes against the blitz, had 4 targets, and turned them into 2 catches for 58 yards. When defenses send extra pressure, the ball consistently finds JSN. The Commanders through 2 weeks have allowed opposing QBs to go 40/56 (71.4%) for 482 yards, 7 TDs and 0 INTs. That works out to 8.6 YPA and an absurd 137.0 passer rating allowed. They have allowed a 51.0% Tgt% to wideouts 5th highest along with a 31.4% Tgt% to the Slot 10th highest. This game has a chance to be non competitive. I know Seahawks are only -7.5 point favorites but the game script could get bad for his game total 90.5 yards. That’s why I’m targeting the 1Q where the Commanders have allowed 87.5 receiving yards per game highest in the league through 2 games. I get they got a new DC but last year they allowed the 3rd highest receiving yards per game 62.9. JSN SPLITS BY QUARTER 1Q (35.8% Tgt%) 43.9% 1-Read% 3.85 YPRR 2Q (35.6% Tgt%) 47.6% 1-Read% 2.53 YPRR 3Q (26.5% Tgt%) 37.0% 1-Read% 4.02 YPRR 4Q (29.7% Tgt%) 43.4% 1-Read% 3.28 YPRR In the 1Q the last 2 seasons when Darnold he has had 15+ yards in 13/18 games 72.2%.
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Crazy I’ve never seen this…. @PatMcAfeeShow This is one of the MANY reasons I’ll always have respect for Pat McAfee. There are always going to be people on the internet who hate, criticize, and find something negative to say about everything you do. At the end of the day, Pat is just a dude who made it, never forgot where he came from and now uses what he’s built to help other people. Keep being you Pat. Indiana is lucky to have you. This is what it’s all about. 🫔
HEARTWARMING: #Colts icon Pat McAfee stepped in to help a military family after learning their vehicle had broken down. But he didn’t stop there. McAfee then surprised the family by reuniting them with their father, whom they hadn’t seen in a long time🄹
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Oregon QB Dante Moore gets knocked out by a USC defender. Prayers šŸ™šŸ¼
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What a joke.
The field in Brazil where the Ravens & Cowboys will be playing looks unplayable 😳
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Indiana Hoosiers ALT Rush Yds Ladder 🪜 175+ (+134)āœ… 200+ (+235)āœ… 250+ (+680)āœ… IU should have win that game by 20+ points SMH
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Curt Cignetti is PISSED after 2 false start penalties before the first play of the game šŸ˜‚
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HERE WE GO
CFB FREE POTD 🌟 Indiana Hoosiers -19.5 -120 Cignetti Will Be Prepared If you’re siding with Northwestern, you’re going against Curt Cignetti at home on a Friday night. Let’s dig into why I think this matchup favors Indiana. Northwestern Defense Northwestern has allowed just 18 points to South Dakota State and 7 to Colorado, but those scores don’t tell the full story. The Wildcats have generated pressure on only 26.9% of opposing dropbacks while allowing 147 and 180 rushing yards. Colorado averaged 5.5 yards per carry last week but scored only 7 points because drives stalled. Julian Lewis finished 19-of-29 for 168 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs, despite Northwestern generating pressure on only 29.0% of his dropbacks. From a clean pocket, Lewis averaged just 6.7 YPA with a 29.8 PFF grade, with both INTs coming without pressure. That’s why I’m not treating Northwestern’s low points allowed as proof of an elite defense. Teams have moved the ball, while poor QB play has helped keep points off the board. Northwestern’s defensive line is my biggest concern. They’ve allowed runners to reach the 2nd level while giving QBs clean pockets. That’s dangerous against Josh Hoover, Charlie Becker and Nick Marsh Hoover owns a 91.0 PFF grade from a clean pocket while averaging 12.7 YPA. For comparison, Fernando Mendoza posted a 92.5 grade and 9.7 YPA when kept clean last season. Northwestern will also be without DB Braden Turner, its highest-graded PFF defender and 3rd-leading tackler. What I Expect I expect Indiana to move the ball on the ground and through the air. Northwestern’s inability to generate pressure is concerning. I expect Indiana to clear 30 points with a legitimate opportunity to reach 40+. Northwestern Offense vs Indiana Northwestern is playing its first road game on a short week in a sold-out environment against the defending national champions. O-Line vs D-Line Over the past 2 games, Indiana has generated 30 pressures on 61 dropbacks a 49.2% pressure rate. On 22 pressured attempts, opponents completed just 6 passes (27.3%). That’s a major concern because Aidan Chiles has been pressured on 40.3% of his dropbacks. He’s completed 9-of-14 for 171 yards under pressure this season, but that’s not sustainable. At Michigan State last season, Chiles completed just 21 of 55 passes (38.2%) under pressure, averaged 5.9 YPA and earned a 31.6 PFF grade. If Indiana continues generating pressure, Chiles will have trouble Indiana Gets Better Indiana is getting 2 important defensive linemen back. DE Stephen Daley — RETURNING: 19 TFL, 41 pressures and 5.5 sacks in 2025. DL Kellan Wyatt — RETURNING: 27 tackles, 8.5 TFL and 2.5 sacks in 7 games last season. That strengthens a front already generating pressure at an elite rate. Northwestern Receivers Griffin Wilde is the clear standout with a 76.3 PFF grade and 8 catches for 189 yards (23.6 YPR). After Wilde, production drops. Drew Wagner has 5 catches for 59 yards, while Ricky Ahumaraeze has just 2 for 40. If Indiana limits Wilde’s explosives, Chiles may be forced to rely on receivers who haven’t consistently produced, especially under pressure. Indiana starts 0-3 ATS while Northwestern enters 2-0, which I believe has helped keep this spread at only 19.5. The matchup heavily favors Indiana. Chiles faces a defensive front generating pressure at an absurd rate, while his offensive line has struggled to protect him. Hoover should have a cleaner pocket, and Indiana should find running lanes against a defense that has allowed 147+ rushing yards in both games. Indiana has significant matchup advantages on both sides, and I think this game has the potential to get out of hand quickly Link Here šŸ”— sportsbook.fanduel.com/addTo…
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CFB FREE POTD 🌟 Indiana Hoosiers -19.5 -120 Cignetti Will Be Prepared If you’re siding with Northwestern, you’re going against Curt Cignetti at home on a Friday night. Let’s dig into why I think this matchup favors Indiana. Northwestern Defense Northwestern has allowed just 18 points to South Dakota State and 7 to Colorado, but those scores don’t tell the full story. The Wildcats have generated pressure on only 26.9% of opposing dropbacks while allowing 147 and 180 rushing yards. Colorado averaged 5.5 yards per carry last week but scored only 7 points because drives stalled. Julian Lewis finished 19-of-29 for 168 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs, despite Northwestern generating pressure on only 29.0% of his dropbacks. From a clean pocket, Lewis averaged just 6.7 YPA with a 29.8 PFF grade, with both INTs coming without pressure. That’s why I’m not treating Northwestern’s low points allowed as proof of an elite defense. Teams have moved the ball, while poor QB play has helped keep points off the board. Northwestern’s defensive line is my biggest concern. They’ve allowed runners to reach the 2nd level while giving QBs clean pockets. That’s dangerous against Josh Hoover, Charlie Becker and Nick Marsh Hoover owns a 91.0 PFF grade from a clean pocket while averaging 12.7 YPA. For comparison, Fernando Mendoza posted a 92.5 grade and 9.7 YPA when kept clean last season. Northwestern will also be without DB Braden Turner, its highest-graded PFF defender and 3rd-leading tackler. What I Expect I expect Indiana to move the ball on the ground and through the air. Northwestern’s inability to generate pressure is concerning. I expect Indiana to clear 30 points with a legitimate opportunity to reach 40+. Northwestern Offense vs Indiana Northwestern is playing its first road game on a short week in a sold-out environment against the defending national champions. O-Line vs D-Line Over the past 2 games, Indiana has generated 30 pressures on 61 dropbacks a 49.2% pressure rate. On 22 pressured attempts, opponents completed just 6 passes (27.3%). That’s a major concern because Aidan Chiles has been pressured on 40.3% of his dropbacks. He’s completed 9-of-14 for 171 yards under pressure this season, but that’s not sustainable. At Michigan State last season, Chiles completed just 21 of 55 passes (38.2%) under pressure, averaged 5.9 YPA and earned a 31.6 PFF grade. If Indiana continues generating pressure, Chiles will have trouble Indiana Gets Better Indiana is getting 2 important defensive linemen back. DE Stephen Daley — RETURNING: 19 TFL, 41 pressures and 5.5 sacks in 2025. DL Kellan Wyatt — RETURNING: 27 tackles, 8.5 TFL and 2.5 sacks in 7 games last season. That strengthens a front already generating pressure at an elite rate. Northwestern Receivers Griffin Wilde is the clear standout with a 76.3 PFF grade and 8 catches for 189 yards (23.6 YPR). After Wilde, production drops. Drew Wagner has 5 catches for 59 yards, while Ricky Ahumaraeze has just 2 for 40. If Indiana limits Wilde’s explosives, Chiles may be forced to rely on receivers who haven’t consistently produced, especially under pressure. Indiana starts 0-3 ATS while Northwestern enters 2-0, which I believe has helped keep this spread at only 19.5. The matchup heavily favors Indiana. Chiles faces a defensive front generating pressure at an absurd rate, while his offensive line has struggled to protect him. Hoover should have a cleaner pocket, and Indiana should find running lanes against a defense that has allowed 147+ rushing yards in both games. Indiana has significant matchup advantages on both sides, and I think this game has the potential to get out of hand quickly Link Here šŸ”— sportsbook.fanduel.com/addTo…
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NORTHWESTERN vs INDIANA šŸˆ COMPLETE GAME PREVIEW Full matchup breakdown, key advantages, and what to expect tonight. 100% FREE — Sign up below to read the full preview ā¬‡ļø just-bet-it.com/northwestern…
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Packers not listening to Micah Parsons😬
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Had breakout potential written all over today For Weekly Breakdowns sign up for FREE just-bet-it.com/
Let’s talk about Drake London Today Public loves his overs so I broke it down for you with everything you need to know ā¬‡ļø Drake London’s first 2 games have been quiet by his standards: 6 catches for 80 yards and 0 touchdowns on 10 targets. The quarterback change is the biggest reason to expect a different opportunity against Green Bay. Michael Penix is making his first start of 2026 after Atlanta opened 0–2 without reaching the red zone, so the question is whether his return can turn London’s routes into the steady targets and scoring chances we saw last year. The 2025 sample shows just how heavily Atlanta used London in the 9 games Penix started. London drew 30.3% of the team’s targets, was targeted on 32% of his routes, and produced 2.90 yards per route run. He ran a route on 86.4% of passing plays and finished that stretch with 60 catches, 810 yards and 6 touchdowns. His 10.23-yard average target depth matters here: he was getting opportunities beyond short, low-yardage throws while still catching 66.7% of his targets. Those are team receiving numbers from Penix-started games, rather than a count of passes thrown exclusively by Penix, but they make the broader point clear. London was the focal point of that offense. vs Zone Coverage 
31.8% TGT%
3.76 YPRR vs Man CoverageĀ  
23.4% TGT%
0.94 YPRR vs 2-HI
31.1% TGT%
2.78 YPRR vs 1-HI
29.7% TGT%
3.01 YPRR As you see the Packers running Zone coverage & 2-HI is a major advantage for London. Penix goes to the Wideout & Slot at a ridiculous rate and on the flip side doesn’t target Inline & Backfield receivers. Green Bay’s opponents have targeted wideout alignments on 46.6% of throws through 2 weeks 8th highest rate, allowing 1.86 yards per route run there, while slot targets have produced a 80% catch rate. Taken together, those numbers give London several ways to be heavily involved. Drake London’s last 6 games that Michael Penix started in 2025, listed from most recent to oldest 
7/119/0
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yeah 6 games 651 receiving yards Insane.
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