The Finnish Future Operating Environment Study 2040 is an interesting document. Not necessarily because it feature any new earth-shattering ideas, but because they appear in an open document made by the Finnish Defence Forces' Research Agency. puolustusvoimat.fi/-/pitkan-…
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The risk of the transatlantic link being cut, Svalbard- and Suwałki-scenarios, the north-south divergence in NATO, need for reform in the conscription system, lack of trust and societal trends lowering the will to defend the country, ...
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This is without doubt the best page of the study. Nailing down several important points, including how to adapt communications to today's society in general and to our role as a NATO member, as well as asking whether simply hoping to survive is enough of a national goal.

Aug 31, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC

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However, it does run somewhat contrary to this earlier passage, which caused me to question whether the idea really was to sit and watch Russian tanks roll into the Suwałki-gap and then we'd sit down to think about a response...
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...rather than acting decisively to leverage our capabilities to ensure as positive an outcome as possible, and to ensure that the alliance remains strong in case we would need it.
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All in all, a really interesting document for anyone wondering about how the future trend material fed to the Finnish civilian and military leadership looks.
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