That is correct. But seeing the units and knowing their intent are two different (and partly unrelated) tasks. This is something that has been demonstrated several times, including by the Soviet Union in Czechoslovakia and by Egypt and Syria in 1973.
Anything larger than a battalion sized SOF operation close to Russian military base should give a good warning to NATO intelligence. That said, Russia has a rebuilt mechanized corps that is trained, equipped and not engaged in Ukraine. It won't move "stealthy" though.

Sep 21, 2026 · 9:03 AM UTC

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The start of the Yom Kippur War is an extremely interesting study in how knowing things and getting the correct information up to the political leadership are two different things. There’s a lot to be learned from the war in general.
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