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About 70% of short-term holders' bitcoin sits in profit, per Glassnode, down from close to 100% in late September. Early October then brought some of the year's highest exchange inflows. Selling winners quickly is the disposition effect (Odean, 1998).
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Kalshi's odds that the US Treasury buys bitcoin before 2028 touched 21% on $1,617 in volume, then traded at 11%. The order behind the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bars open-market purchases. Anchoring (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974) works even when one small trade set the number.
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CryptoBot Pro daily update: 4,477 completed cycles, +525.01 USDC net realized (real fees deducted). Yesterday: +0.90 USDC. Open cycles: estimated net potential +46.32 USDC.
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US spot bitcoin ETFs took in about $110.3M on October 26 while spot ether ETFs lost $88.6M. BlackRock led both moves, IBIT in and ETHA out. Ether funds have now shed over $1.1B in October, their largest monthly withdrawal this year.
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Grayscale Research puts bitcoin's one-year realized volatility at 43%, down from 81% five years ago and below its ten-year average of 64%. By that measure it swings less than 57% of S&P 500 stocks. Coinbase runs at about 70%. 1/3
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Five years ago bitcoin's volatility was 81%. People judge risk by how easily examples come to mind, the availability heuristic (Tversky & Kahneman, 1973). Swings from that era are easier to recall than a quiet 43% year. 2/3
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One full cycle of my grid bot, in the order it happens. It reads no indicator at any point. 1/3
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A cycle starts with a limit BUY posted below the current price. Then nothing happens until the market comes down to it. If price runs away instead, the bot cancels the order after a set time and posts it again at a new level. 2/3
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Timothy Wadsworth got 51 months in prison for pushing unauthorized card charges through Stripe. 116 of 310 went through, worth $730,728. He bought bitcoin on Coinbase with part of it and sent it to co-conspirators. Each transfer is on bitcoin's public ledger.
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Stacks co-founder Muneeb Ali gives bitcoin about two years to adopt quantum-resistant signatures and two more to move coins. NIST wants ECDSA retired by 2035. People underestimate how long their own projects take, the planning fallacy (Buehler, Griffin & Ross, 1994).
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The 7-day average hashrate is back above 1 ZH/s, first time since March 3, with bitcoin near $80,000. Hashprice slid from $40.42 to $36.04 per PH/s a day since September 25, and difficulty rose 5.92%. Miners earn less per unit of work and keep adding more of it.
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CryptoBot Pro daily update: 4,471 completed cycles, +524.11 USDC net realized (real fees deducted). Yesterday: +0.15 USDC. Open cycles: estimated net potential +44.56 USDC.
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Ducat is putting its bitcoin-backed UNIT stablecoin on Cashu ecash as Turbo UNIT. Minting takes 160% collateral and liquidation starts at 135%, so a loan opened at the minimum sits about a 16% BTC drop from a forced sale. A spot grid with no loan has no such line.
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Bitcoin slipped 1.1% in 24 hours to about $80,490. On Myriad, a prediction market, the odds of a drop to $77,500 before October ends rose from 32% to 43% in a day. A grid's buy orders below price sit at the same levels whatever those odds say.
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One plain config file on your disk holds every exchange key my bot uses, so that file deserves some care. 1/3
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On Linux and macOS the app writes the config file readable by your user only, since the 4 October 2026 update. Any program running under your account can still read it, which is one more reason to keep withdrawals off. 2/3
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