Fulltime Crypto Trader & Investor 📈 | Tweets are not financial advice | TG: t.me/DaanCryptoTG | YT: piped.video/@daancrypto |
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Educational Thread Overview 📚
Below, you can find all my educational threads about subjects like Profit Taking, Risk Management and others. 👇
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$BTC Broke out and is retesting its breakout level the past 2-3 days.
This is the level where the bulls need to come in and push for continuation to keep it above the green zone.
Weekend is here so not expecting to see much action until Monday again to be honest.
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$BTC With these two legs up, Bitcoin fully closed its last major CME gaps left above that were still there.
Nowadays no new gaps are created as CME trades 24/7 as of the end of May.
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$BTC Consolidating between $83.5K-$85K the past 2 days.
Keep an eye out on a break of either of these levels as it likely kicks off the next bigger move.
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Narratives don't die instantly. They fade slowly while most people are still holding the bags of the last one.
When coins start going from outperformance and relative strength to the opposite, it is often a reason to reassess the thesis.
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$BTC September has been a rollercoaster so far but the past week has seen a big turn around.
And Q4 is coming up. And Q4 is what is historically Bitcoin's best quarter.
But in a bear market year, Q4 is also when BTC sets its bottom.
This is why a lot of investors have been waiting for early October to deploy, believing that is when the BTC bottom will be set for this bear market year.
But Bitcoin has clearly not been respecting its previous kind of seasonality and 4 year cycle movements for a while now. So those waiting for new lows by October might see their plans changed I would imagine.
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$ETH Broke its Weekly 200MA/EMA and has flipped its market structure to bullish.
It has tested the big $2.8K resistance level which has seen so many tests over the past years. Acting as resistance once again for now.
That is the last main hurdle to get back into the $3-4K region on the high timeframe.
$ETH Price action clean? Not at all on the lower timeframes.
But this still looks like it wants to go to $2.8K as long as this local support is being held.
Zoom out and have patience.
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Just like $BTC, the total crypto market cap has also broken out above its May highs this week.
The range high has confluence with the $83K level on BTC.
You don't want to see a break back into this range after the clean breakout it has just made. That is your line in the sand for the bullish momentum.
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The bottom always comes with a reason to wait. Bad news, ugly charts, everyone convinced there's more room lower. By the time that reason clears up, most of the move already happened.
The top works the same way in reverse. Every warning sign gets waved off because price keeps proving the doubters wrong, until the moment it stops.
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$BTC How quick things can change. Just over a month ago BTC was struggling in the low $60Ks as it was sitting at high timeframe support.
Now it has flipped all its weekly levels and any buys done last month are sitting very pretty.
That is why I always preach to stay level headed and don't count a level broken (both up and down) before it actually is broken.
A lot of people did not start buying in the months BTC spend in the $60Ks because the cycle "had to" bottom in October.
Meanwhile, price held its support and rallied almost 50% from its lows to the recent highs.
Averaging in low is always the way to do it. Even if you are not certain it is the final bottom yet.
For now, eyes on $83K to see if BTC can close the weekly above it and fully confirm the weekly market structure break.
$BTC Failing to push above the $65K mark.
Every attempt at doing so is being pushed back down. Stocks meanwhile at all time highs and crypto getting left behind again as has been the theme for a while now.
Just keep an eye on the high timeframe levels, there will be plenty of time to DCA or buy into momentum when the time is right.
Personally, I am still slowly accumulating spot but will keep dry powder on the side for if things turn worse over the next few months. Still doubt this will trade meaningfully below ~$40K or so which is about my lowest I'd see this go. Any black swan events aside.
So with that in mind, and my assumption that $BTC will head to $200K+ at some point, I already like my slow spot buys in this region.
It's just a matter of taking it slow until then.
My stock portfolio has been the savior in 2026 though, definitely happy to have some long term capital put aside there.
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Since the Fed Hike & Clarity lows, $BTC has taken in $2B+ in Spot ETF flows in just a few trading days.
This + shorts getting squeezed has been fuel for this recent $10K+ price rally.
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$BTC Green zone is the line in the sand for the bullish momentum.
Many that missed the breakout wanted a retest into the $83K-$84K region. The retest is here with a big leverage wipe.
If it still fails and trades below $83K anyways, then that is a sign of weakness and noteworthy. I'd personally see that as a reason to take the more cautious side into the end of the month.
As simple as that. Trend is up, but you need to maintain the breakout level.
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$BTC Open Interest flushed a lot on this little move down.
It never really got up during this rally, and now whatever longs were in also took profit or got flushed out.
Open Interest back to levels when BTC was trading in the low 60Ks.
There isn't a lot of leverage in this market as we speak.
The Coinbase premium has remained roughly flat during this move.
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It has been a big week for the crypto market.
The majority of coins is up 15% or more in the past 7 days. A pretty broad rally across the board.
It makes sense of course as $BTC itself is up 15% too. But usually you tend to see a more mixed picture with more stragglers.
Just keep an eye on things when the momentum starts fading. Because the market rarely has enough capital & fuel to keep every coin going for a long time.
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The goal isn't to be in every move. It's to not miss the ones that actually matter.
That is why spot and chill is the way to do it for many. That is how you catch the big moves and not get shaken out in between.
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$BTC We got our weekly market structure break and break from the range.
It is key that this ~$83K region is held by the bulls now.
Otherwise this would turn into a big liquidity grab.
But the trend is your friend until proven otherwise.
$BTC Been pretty confident that we'd see the $83K level broken at some point.
We finally did get that weekly higher high with this breakout.
Now we'll have to see if this can keep going and make for a solid weekly close. A rejection below at this point would not be great. But that is not my base case.
From a market structure perspective, all the signs are now on green.
I suspect that alone will see some capital flows come in from ETFs and such these days as long as price sustains above $83K.
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$ETH I remain bullish on this relative to $BTC the way it is moving.
Slow and steady grind up is the way you want it to be.
$ETH Still looking strong against bitcoin:native. Do believe this keeps going as long as 0.03 is held.
It has been trending up for months while breaking above all its major high timeframe levels. The market structure remains bullish.
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$UNI Has remained one of the best performing assets in this market. Trend remains bullish and the narrative is strong.
Closing in on its late 2025 highs and $10 mark.
Spot and chill has been the way to do it for this.
Just spiked because of a CME futures addition headline so keep an eye on that.
$UNI We are flying after breaking that last major resistance level.
Outperforming most coins. Very clean chart. Eyes on that $6.5 level next.
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Everyone wants asymmetric upside. Very few are willing to sit through the asymmetric drawdown that often comes before it.
That's why most people don't actually get the returns they talk about.
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It has been a long time since we have last seen a proper bitcoin or alt season.
Most of 2026 has been mixed with altcoins out and underperforming $BTC here and there.
The last "real" small altseason was in September 2025 right before the market topped.
To see a longer altseason we must go back over 4 years to 2022 and 2021.
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