David vs. the sportsbooks. AI model pricing every NFL player prop. Ex-Databricks, OpenAI, Meta, DK engineers. We’re not like the rest. Free → davidbets.com
New York, USA
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1/ Today we open the doors. David - an AI model built to beat the sportsbooks at their own game - is live at davidbets.com. First week is free for everyone. 🧵
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No bet on Steelers-Browns tonight. Nothing cleared the bar.
We'd rather post nothing than a pick we don't believe in. That's the model doing its job.
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One play so far for MNF.
Jalen Hurts OVER 212.5 passing yards (-115, BetParx).
David's line: 220 - 56% to clear it, needs 53%. Edge +2.8 pts.
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Nothing for SNF tonight. Went through the board and nothing cleared the bar for a posted play.
Closest was Kyren Williams over 49.5 rushing yards, but medium confidence doesn't get posted. We'd rather pass than force it.
5-1 on the posted plays today. Full report card tomorrow - wins and losses.
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Final: Jackson finishes with 50 rushing yards. Under 43.5 (-120) doesn't get there.
5-1 on the day.
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Final: Judkins finishes with 9 receiving yards. Under 14.5 (-113) ✅
That’s 4-0 to start the day.
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3-0 on the 1pm slate 🧹🧹🧹
Young 232 (o217.5) ✅
Goff 269 (o255.5) ✅
Burrow 249 (o245.5) ✅
Three 58% edges - today they all landed. Posted before kickoff, graded Monday with the rest, win or lose.
Looking at the 1PM slate and the graph net wants to talk about passing yards... Three QB overs cleared the top-tier bar:
Bryce Young o217.5 (-113) · David: 224 · 58.0% (+4.9)
Jared Goff o255.5 (-115) · David: 251 · 58.0% (+4.5)
Joe Burrow o245.5 (-115) · David: 251 · 57.9% (+4.4)
All three have the best line on BetParx.
Each needed ~53.5% to break even at those prices. Get them now before these lines move.
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Looking at the 1PM slate and the graph net wants to talk about passing yards... Three QB overs cleared the top-tier bar:
Bryce Young o217.5 (-113) · David: 224 · 58.0% (+4.9)
Jared Goff o255.5 (-115) · David: 251 · 58.0% (+4.5)
Joe Burrow o245.5 (-115) · David: 251 · 57.9% (+4.4)
All three have the best line on BetParx.
Each needed ~53.5% to break even at those prices. Get them now before these lines move.
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All three posted before kickoff, graded Monday - win or lose. Free all week at davidbets.com
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1/ Today we open the doors. David - an AI model built to beat the sportsbooks at their own game - is live at davidbets.com. First week is free for everyone. 🧵
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LIVE NOW: davidbets.com — first week free for everyone. Every pick published and timestamped, weekly report card win or lose. The books aren't cheating. They're just better armed. Until now.
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8/ It's live. The full model - every line, every edge - is at davidbets.com. First week is free for everyone, no code needed. Follow along and judge for yourself.
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