Map and thoughts for a wide-open Stradbroke. Thereās still a lot of play out conditions wise before I want to have a bet but be keen to have a go closer to jump time.
Eagle Farm R8 1400m
Early Speed:
Thereās no obvious leader in the field. It is generally a mistake to assume anything other than strong tempo in G1 Handicaps with big fields. Skyhook is unlikely to gain a start but was a clear leader setting a hot tempo over this trip 2 starts back. If he comes out then itās really up in the air. Transatlantic has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Spicy Martini, Private Eye and Headley Grange shouldnāt be far away from the low draws.
Prediction:
Headley Grange is the deserving favourite. He is bomb proof handling all conditions, has 4 wins from 9 1400m starts, gets a perfect map and is really well weighted dropping 3.5kg off his impressive G1 Kingsford Smith win. Taking away his last start win, his 5: 1-0-0 G1 record is the only negative.
I cannot let King of Roseau go around at the $25 mark without being on each way. He is racing in great form with 6 wins from 10 starts in the last 12 months. This is a step up in grade but he gets in really well with only 54kg. He gets map upside off his last start failure in the Kingsford Smith Cup where he just got too far back so Iām happy to put a line through that. He recorded 3 consecutive wins in the Gold Coast Magic Millions Cup, G3 Liverpool Cup and Takeover Target Stakes.