🗳️ ELECTION NIGHT SITE LAUNCH 🗳️ EDG will be bringing you live results for all of the US senate races on election night straight to our dashboard here: ElectiondataGuy.com/live-res… Track the votes as they come in and follow through how accurate the EDG forecast is in real time. Right up until the last vote is counted. See below for a more detailed look at our live election night results page! Was

Good morning! It's Friday 30 October, and there are just 4 days left until polls close in the 2026 midterms. It's a full model day today, which means the forecast gets a complete update as each new batch of early vote data lands. electiondataguy.com

SOUTH DAKOTA 🗳️ South Dakota has 61,052 early votes in, with Republicans holding a 14,167 firewall. The party mix is about 53% R / 30% D / 17% other — a touch softer for Republicans than 2024 (55.1%) and in line with 2022 (52.8%), with Democrats above both years. Day-over-day added about 5.3k ballots, and the Republican firewall grew by roughly 1.3k.

RHODE ISLAND 🗳️ Rhode Island is up to 92,353 early votes, with Democrats holding a 32,123 firewall. Ballots break about 44% D / 9% R / 46% unaffiliated — softer for Democrats than 2022 (49.4%), with Republicans also below 2022 (12.7%) as unaffiliated voters make up a bigger share. Day-over-day added about 9.8k votes, and the Democratic firewall grew by roughly 2.7k.

Here is where we stand today: 🔵 20,061,996 - 47.2% 🔴 17,074,712 - 40.2% 🟣 5,356,144 - 12.6% Democrats lead Republicans by about 2.99 million party-identified votes, with nearly 42.7 million early ballots now in, up about 3.7 million since yesterday. The party split includes modelled figures for states without party registration, so no one knows the official vote counts per party until election day. electiondataguy.com/early-vo…

ILLINOIS 🗳️ Illinois has banked 1,267,319 early votes, with Democrats holding a 249,234 modelled firewall. The modelled split sits around 55% D / 35% R / 10% other — a little softer for Democrats than their 2024 share (56.1%), with Republicans slightly firmer (34.2%). About 103k votes were added since yesterday, and the modelled Democratic firewall grew by roughly 26k. Illinois: party shares are modelled (no party registration) — official vote counts by party aren't known until election day.

MINNESOTA 🗳️ Minnesota sits at 419,189 early votes, with Democrats holding a 33,847 modelled firewall. The modelled split is about 53% D / 45% R — almost identical to 2024 (52.5% / 45.1%) and a clear reversal from 2022, when Republicans led the early vote (52.3%). No new returns posted since yesterday's update, so the numbers are unchanged. Minnesota: party shares are modelled (no party registration) — official vote counts by party aren't known until election day.