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๐Ÿ† WEDNESDAY TITLE ODDS How prediction markets price Americaโ€™s biggest sports titles this week ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿˆ NFL โ€“ LA Rams Kalshi 12% ยท NEW LEADER ๐Ÿšจ Buffalo led last week at 13%. ๐ŸŽ“ NCAA Football โ€“ Ohio State Kalshi 17% ยท NEW LEADER ๐Ÿšจ Georgia led last week at 17%. โšพ MLB โ€“ LA Dodgers Kalshi 38% (โ–ฒ8.9) ๐Ÿ€ NBA โ€“ OKC Thunder Kalshi 22% (โ€”) Still tied with San Antonio on Kalshi. ๐ŸŽ“ NCAA Basketball โ€“ Florida Kalshi 14% (โ–ฒ1) Florida breaks last weekโ€™s tie with Duke. *Movement vs. Sep. 30, in percentage points.
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๐Ÿšจ WHALE ALERT: $476K ON THE WHITE SOX ๐Ÿšจ 9 big trades on @Kalshi this morning backing Chicago in Game 3 vs Cleveland. Largest single trade: $98,417 at 52%. Total payout for these 476k if the White Sox win: $913,182. White Sox lead the series 2-0 and can close it out today at 4:00 PM ET.
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๐Ÿšจ WORLD SERIES ODDS SHIFT ๐Ÿšจ Dodgers to win it all on @Kalshi : 29% โ†’ 38% after beating Atlanta 3-1 last night. Braves crashed from 10% to 4%. Padres beat Milwaukee 4-3. Brewers slid from 26% to 20%, Padres climbed from 3% to 5%. Both series now stand 2-1.
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๐Ÿšจ ZHOU YI UPSETS BELLUCCI ๐Ÿšจ Zhou Yi to win was 24% at first serve on Kalshi. He won 6-4, 3-6, 7-6, taking the third-set tiebreak 7-4. 24% โ†’ 99% $3.6M traded on @Kalshi. Next up: Lorenzo Musetti.
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๐Ÿšจ ALTMAIER STUNS RUNE FROM 8% ๐Ÿšจ Daniel Altmaier to win was 35% at first serve on Kalshi. He lost the first set 6-1 and fell to 8% in the second. Altmaier took the second-set tiebreak and won 1-6, 7-6, 6-4. 8% โ†’ 99% $6.4M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ HANFMANN WINS IT IN A TIEBREAK ๐Ÿšจ Yannick Hanfmann to win was 41% at first serve on Kalshi. He later traded as low as 12%. He took the last two sets in tiebreaks to win 6-7, 7-6, 7-6. 12% โ†’ 99% $2.8M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ MACHAC ESCAPES FROM 12% ๐Ÿšจ Tomas Machac to win was 68% at first serve on Kalshi. He lost the first set 6-1 and fell to 12% early in the second. Machac took the second-set tiebreak and won 1-6, 7-6, 6-2. 12% โ†’ 99% $3.0M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ MERTENS KNOCKS OUT GAUFF ๐Ÿšจ Coco Gauff to win was 79% at first serve on Kalshi. Elise Mertens dipped to 17% early in the first set, then won 6-3, 6-3. 17% โ†’ 99% $4.9M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ PANTHERS FLIP IT IN LA ๐Ÿšจ Florida to win was 54% at puck drop on Kalshi. Down 1-0 late in the 1st, it fell to 26%. Seth Jones tied it early in the 2nd. Matthew Tkachuk scored the winner midway through the 3rd. Panthers win 2-1. 26% โ†’ 99% $2.5M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ BLACKHAWKS ROAR BACK FROM 15% ๐Ÿšจ Chicago to win was 44% at puck drop on Kalshi. Down 1-0, it fell to 15% when the Blues looked to go up 2-0 early in the 2nd. An offside challenge wiped that goal out. Chicago then scored the next three. Blackhawks win 4-2. 15% โ†’ 99% $1.3M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ HURRICANES COME BACK IN MONTREAL ๐Ÿšจ Carolina to win was 55% at puck drop on Kalshi. Trailing 3-2 after the 1st, it dropped to 30%. Then the Canes scored four of the last five goals. Hurricanes win 6-4. 30% โ†’ 99% $1.4M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ SABRES WIN IT IN OT FROM 10% ๐Ÿšจ Buffalo to win was 49% at puck drop on Kalshi. Down 2-0 late in the 2nd, it fell to 10%. Two goals in the 3rd tied it. Owen Power won it in overtime. Sabres win 3-2. 10% โ†’ 99% $1.4M traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ MAPLE LEAFS ERASE A 3-0 HOLE ๐Ÿšจ Toronto to win was 60% at puck drop on Kalshi. Down 3-0 early in the 2nd, it fell to 12%. The Leafs tied it 4-4, had a go-ahead goal wiped out on an offside challenge, then Auston Matthews won it in overtime. Leafs win 5-4. 12% โ†’ 99% $931K traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ $1 MILLION ON THE COWBOYS ๐Ÿšจ Over $1 million was bet on Dallas to beat Tampa Bay on Kalshi between 4:26 and 5:16 PM ET today. Four buys of $243,902 each, plus one of $95,790. All at 80%. The price didn't move. Dallas is still 80% to win. If Dallas wins Thursday night, the total payout is $1.34 million.
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๐Ÿšจ BELARUS SHOCKS FINLAND ๐Ÿšจ Belarus started at 23% on Kalshi. Artem Shumansky scored in the first minute, and Belarus never gave the lead up. 1-0 final. 23% โ†’ 99% $557K traded on @Kalshi.
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๐Ÿšจ SPAIN COMES FROM BEHIND ๐Ÿšจ Spain started at 79% on Kalshi. Croatia scored first. Tied 1-1 late, Spain to win was down to 28%. Then Mikel Merino scored his second. Spain win 2-1. 28% โ†’ 99% $26.3M traded on @Kalshi.
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Jacksonville keeps climbing on Kalshi. Jaguars: 69% yesterday โ†’ 77% now vs the Eagles Eagles: 31% โ†’ 24% 219k contracts traded on the Jaguars side in 24h.
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Ravens' Week 5 odds dropped hard on Kalshi. ๐Ÿˆ Ravens: 60% yesterday โ†’ 39% now Falcons: 41% โ†’ 61% 106k contracts traded on the Ravens side in 24h.
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๐Ÿ† TUESDAY TITLE ODDS How Kalshi prices Europeโ€™s biggest soccer competitions this week ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Premier League - Arsenal 62% โ–ฒ3 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga - Barcelona 78% โ–ผ1 ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Serie A - Inter 53% โ–ผ7 ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bundesliga - Bayern 87% โ–ผ2 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 - PSG 81% โ–ฒ1 โญ Champions League - Barcelona 24% โ–ผ1 ๐Ÿ† Europa League - Benfica 14% NEW Inter made the biggest move this week, falling 7 points. Arsenal moved the other way. *Change vs. Sep. 29, in percentage points.
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