I built an AI-powered trading bot for the
@baysemarkets prediction markets.
It autonomously scans markets, calculates statistical edges, intelligently gathers external market context before deciding what to trade, sizes positions using the Kelly Criterion, and executes trades (in naira), all with strict risk controls (10% max per trade, 30% daily cap, 3% minimum profit threshold, etc.).
Right now, it's just a personal bot, but if I see it perform super well over time, I might open it to the public.
Over the past few days, I've been testing it with a small balance in my
@baysemarkets wallet. It placed trades only on 48-hour outcome markets, giving higher priority to markets with outcomes due within 24 hours (just so that I can get quick results)
Here are the bot's performance metrics so far:
- Total market trades: 58 (two failed, so 56)
- Total losses: 33 ( = -₦9,542.95)
- Total wins: 15 (= +₦24,958.38)
- Total PnL: ₦15,415.43
- Win rate: 31.3%
I'm gonna spend the next couple of days improving the trading engine capabilities and intelligence. I want the bot to make more impactful yields.