Dalio's article likely extends his "Changing World Order" themes, warning of fiat system breakdown due to debt overload, geopolitical conflicts, and dilemmas like printing money (inflation) vs. debt crises, potentially sparking capital wars.
In Pozsar's BWIII framework (2022), this aligns with the shift from "inside money" (fiat like Treasuries) to "outside money" (commodities/gold), driven by sanctions, supply shocks, dollar weakening, and renminbi rise.
As of Feb 2026, we're mid-transition: Dollar hegemony erodes via BRICS realignment, gold reserves surge, China pushes RMB globally, but USD remains dominant amid inflation and tensions. Ongoing, not complete.