Economista. Macro y Mercados Financieros. Socio en FMyA. Don’t Panic.

Medio cansador los 2 mundos economicos: Ni estamos en Disney, ni estamos al borde del precipicio. Así que me arme un canal en Youtube para hablar de lo que pasa. Aca m.youtube.com/@FernandoMarul… se suscriben, que se vienen cositas. 🇦🇷 Macro y Mercados financieros, como siempre
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Empleo Total en ultimos 3 años subio +465k, por independientes e informales (no solo uber) y mas que compensa baja de formales pero argentina en 3 años tenia que crear +600k por eso subio de desempleo a 8%, desde 5,5% aporte x que se escucha que cayeron 600mil o 300mil en 3 años.
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Lindo dia de Rebotes (despues de la horrible semana pasada) Top performer: SpaceX, EWZ, NU. GD35 rebotin
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con 750 me conformo
Elon Musk says he sees $SPCX annual recurring revenue to land between $500 billion and $1 trillion by the end of 2027.
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🚨 $SPCX earnings results 🚨 💸 Revenue: $14.58B vs $12.87B estimated 🚀 Space Revenue: $1.8B vs $1.4B estimated 🧠 AI Revenue: $7.56B vs $6.3B estimated 💰 Net Income: $4.40B vs $1.88B estimated
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Riesgo Pais Argentina vs Ecuador.
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Fernando Marull retweeted
Excelente explicación de @FernandoMarull de que no hay tal crisis de actividad porque las importaciones caen 21% yoy. Caen porque se compara con el pico antes de Sept 25 y porque nadie ve que el dolar vaya a subir. Con expo récord, que raro atraso @JMilei
🚨FERNANDO MARULL: "ESTA NO ES UNA ECONOMÍA EN CRISIS, ESTÁ ESTANCADA" @FernandoMarull en #AhoraPlay con @ClaudioZlotnik y @estebanrafele 💬"Si estuvieses en crisis, el dólar valdría $2.000". Mirá la entrevista completa en nuestro canal de YouTube.
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Las Impo de sept 26 en el mismo nivel que sept 2025, mes de maraton 21k pre elecciones (mama esas expo)
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FAL - Se posterga 1. Empieza 1 de diciembre (antes era el 1 de Noviembre) 2. Se puede usar RECIEN desde Diciembre de 2027 (antes era desde mayo 2027). Es decir, Periodo de Carencia, ahora es 12 meses y no 6 Meses. Es obligatorio para Pymes. Pasaron Cosas
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Fernando Marull retweeted
Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America. This will be the first of many.
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Aca tomando algo con el ingeniero (80años), @FRMarull; 2 conclusiones 1. Hoy compro AL30 "los vi baratos" 😂 2. Los 2 Ciclos Combinados "San Martin" (opera cepu) y "Belgrano" (opera Costanera), valen 400palenques cada una @juanjovazquez57
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Fernando Marull retweeted
hace meses con @mgonto pensamos arrancar un podcast de LATAM + tech. es de lo que hablamos y hacemos todo el día. somos nerds! sale natural en los asados y cenas, a la gente le divierte. y si lo volvemos show? se convirtio en @RadariaMedia. premiere: @mbeaudroit explicando como @belo_app se vuelve un banco que puede manejar tus agents ▶️ youtube.com/watch?v=tTxp08hn… x.com/RadariaMedia/status/21…
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Superavit comercial de usd3000m x mes y riesgo pais de 700pb. Raro
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Fernando Marull retweeted
Vercel CEO Guillermo Rauch (@rauchg) says the old work week is officially dead: “You would think, ‘AI has arrived, & we're all working 2 hours a week.’” “The opposite is happening. I get text messages at midnight from the CEOs and CTOs of these companies.” “It’s more like 7/7/7: 7 days a week from 7 AM to 7 PM.”
BREAKING: 60% of Vercel deployments are now driven by AI agents, up from 3% in Jan 2026. FULL INTERVIEW Guillermo Rauch (@rauchg), Founder & CEO @Vercel Stats: › 80% of AI Gateway token volume comes from open models › 10 years to reach 1B deployments, then another 1.5B in just 10 months "The machines have taken over." I sat down with G at Vercel's SF HQ to discuss how AI is changing software development, infrastructure & the economics of SaaS. Vercel has reportedly reached $600M in annualized revenue, up 148% YoY, with 485K+ paying teams and a $9.3B valuation. Customers include SpaceX, OpenAI, Meta, Stripe, Brex, Shopify, DoorDash, & Polymarket. P.S. Guillermo mentions "code" 145 times throughout our conversation. His thesis is that AI agents are making code effectively free, fundamentally changing what companies build versus buy. "You buy Vercel as the platform, & then you never have to buy software again because you can just generate it to your needs." We cover: › The shift from human-facing websites to agent-native interfaces, MCP & agentic commerce with Stripe, Shopify & DoorDash › Why free code changes SaaS economics for Salesforce & SAP, software development & the role of engineers at Meta, SpaceX & Mercedes F1 › Open vs. closed models, including why ~80% of token volume on Vercel’s AI Gateway now goes to open models like Moonshot’s Kimi & DeepSeek › Unpacking frontier: OpenAI, Anthropic, Gemini & xAI › Agent autonomy, prompt injection, sandboxing & enterprise security after OpenAI’s Hugging Face breach › Model routing, growing compute demand & the future of serverless infrastructure 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 (00:00) Guillermo Rauch, Founder & CEO at Vercel (03:32) The simplest advice for going viral (07:24) How Vercel became the index of AI (11:34) The CEO who still ships code on weekends (14:34) Robots writing code for robots (17:57) The web's next users aren't human (21:15) Is ChatGPT reading your website right now? (24:21) Minority Report is becoming real software (29:16) The end of SaaS & the rise of personal software (34:07) AI agents are soldiers with no frontal lobe (45:42) AI hackers & the coming cyber war (47:55) The $1M challenge to hack Vercel's sandbox (52:10) 80% of tokens now go to open models (59:00) The biggest risk for frontier labs (1:04:00) Can AI labs survive the public markets? (1:06:28) Why AI has Silicon Valley working 7-7-7 (1:07:23) "The thing you fell in love with is gone" (1:16:56) Your vibe-coded demo won't get you hired (1:22:22) The hardest part of running a company is keeping it simple (1:27:01) Why no company can run all its AI apps 24/7
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Rebote general Brasil estable Argentina; Rojoooo
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