Professional Problem Solver @ESPN & #MMA Insider, Science Nerd. Author: amazon.com/Fightnomics-Reed-… Pairing fine wine with #UFC
N. Virginia & Silicon Valley
- Tweets 10,374
- Following 604
- Followers 9,160
- Likes 6,225
Pinned Tweet
Fun Fact: Fightnomics book cover artist inspired by Jones-Rua. Who has more UFC fights left? amazon.com/Fightnomics-Reed-… http://t.co/50pNT2D6Ju
7
10
97
Main event stats.
I see Raoni putting up a solid fight. If he stays off his back, this is interesting.
#UFCVegas121
1
306
Montel Jackson is super rangy for a Bantamweight, fyi. A 6-inch reach advantage over the average division opponent. #UFCVegas121
People have asked for years... finally updated my chart: "How Big is the Average UFC Fighter?" This time with extra layers of detail. Some interesting differences from the version 10 years ago. #UFC
1
6
718
A lot of striking edges for Jackson, perhaps amplified by his usual size advantage. But if you factor in strength of schedule, I’d consider Simon a live dog. That guy will grind, even uphill. #UFCVegas121
331
Was just going to remind ourselves of how lopsided the striking matchup in this one is… And sure enough, it was over too quick for me to share! #UFCVegas121
2
338
Closer look at distance striking efficiency. The Dumont-Perez matchup remains interesting, while Jauregui-Demopulos looks like the mismatch the market has priced.
Rosas “Jr’s” standup not nearly as good as his ground game. #UFCVegas121
Strikers and Grapplers at #UFCVegas121
4 fighters are above average in both standup differential as well as ground control, and two of them are facing each other: Perez vs Dumont. We'll look closer at just standup KPIs later.
522
Strikers and Grapplers at #UFCVegas121
4 fighters are above average in both standup differential as well as ground control, and two of them are facing each other: Perez vs Dumont. We'll look closer at just standup KPIs later.
Now we're talking. Lots of fighters showing up above average in knockdown rate. And a few of these were also high on ground control below. That means we'll have several upper-right quadrant fighters when we look at the strikers and grapplers graph. #UFCVegas121
2
8
1,472
Now we're talking. Lots of fighters showing up above average in knockdown rate. And a few of these were also high on ground control below. That means we'll have several upper-right quadrant fighters when we look at the strikers and grapplers graph. #UFCVegas121
First glance at #UFCVegas121 performance stats:
the card is stacked a lot of good grapplers. Rosas Jr is no surprise, but then I remembered Nakamura. Both guys have averaged roughly 2.5 minutes of every round fought controlling opponents on the ground.
4
1,238
This is how you commit $2k to get a $1M headline. Clever.
But let me fix this headline.
"100 people will get cash worth a 12 pack of Hard Mountain Dew:"
foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/ha…
3
390
Rock 'em, sock 'em robots returns to the #DWCS
An old matchmaker once told me of the new talent: you have plenty of offense, but no defense. But usually fresh enough chins to survive brawls. Seems to be the theme for these cards.
3
555
First glance at #UFCVegas121 performance stats:
the card is stacked a lot of good grapplers. Rosas Jr is no surprise, but then I remembered Nakamura. Both guys have averaged roughly 2.5 minutes of every round fought controlling opponents on the ground.
3
977
Worthy main event. #UFC331
Both guys very fun to watch. Delayed gratification - let’s hope we finally see the fight we were expecting to see the first time around.
1
432
Co-main #UFC331
Classic striker vs grappler. It’s a pass on price. Would love to see another Ruffy KO upset but it could turn into a wrestling match.
1
566
Two very accurate offensive strikers, but the difference is that Choi is bigger and far more aggressive, while maintaining better defense. Pitbull more likely to go to ground, but if this turns into a standup duel, I like Super Boy #UFC331
450
That wasn’t a fight that could be data driven… But it was interesting that the under 1.5 was far more affordable than picking the favorite. Hopefully not every parlay in the world was busted if they saw that price difference.
2
455
Banger for sure. I don’t think Jourdain’s strategy of focusing on the body worked out here. His hands are unbelievably fast out of the gates, but I don’t know after this fight if his chin has much more longevity.
Featured prelim, this one should be a banger! Two very slick strikers.
I like Jourdain in exchanges, but I don’t like his chin. Adding the graph for reference.
#UFC331
517
Featured prelim, this one should be a banger! Two very slick strikers.
I like Jourdain in exchanges, but I don’t like his chin. Adding the graph for reference.
#UFC331
1
863
Next fight: Shahbazyan with a lot of advantages here. But I don’t see value in the price. Don’t think Bruno wants to spend much time on the feet but it’s an uphill battle. #UFC331
4
443
This is somehow the curtain jerker for #UFC331
Former headliner Chikadze is the striker vs a more eager grappler. Giga's accuracy of distance striking is hurt by his high mix of kicks, but clearly still dangerous on the outside. But he's also getting old, Brito is the heavy favorite.
1
420
Some thoughts on bets for #UFC331 sports.yahoo.com/mma/betting…
Distance striking assessment for #UFC331
Joshua Van shows up well thanks to high pace and accuracy. I foresee several potential shootouts on the feet.
1
601