This week I deployed $0 in the market. Not because I'm bearish, but because I'm fully deployed.
Sold $0
Bought $0
In the past month, $META was my biggest gainer, up 30.65% and $FOUR was my biggest loser at -17%.
Fair value targets and DCF's in the thread below.
I don't short anything. I am Not trying to fool anyone, including myself, by claiming I or anyone else can consistently predict how people feel about a stock.
I invest in the business, not the stock. $PLTR is a great business, but what price are you willing to pay for it?
I am down 1.45% in pre market trading as $META and $FOUR lead the plunge.
The market is broadly down, with the $SPY, $QQQ, $IWM, and $BTC red across the board.
The people telling me I'm wrong about $META, are the same people telling you to buy $AAPL because their stock price goes up.
Meta will overtake Apple in OCF soon, at a much lower market cap.
$META TTM OCF: $130B
- Market Cap: $1.9T
$AAPL TTM OCF: $147B
- Market Cap: $5T
Bill Ackman thinks the AI bubble is mostly limited to the private market.
I think he's right to some degree, but not every company is priced equally.
$META is still very undervalued today. But there are plenty of euphoric valuations like $SPCX.
Cathie wood has beat out the S&P by a wide margin over the last 10 years.
364% vs 246% respectively.
However, if you bought during the 2021 euphoric cycle, you're still down today.
Valuation should ALWAYS matter.
I am down 1.45% in pre market trading as $META and $FOUR lead the plunge.
The market is broadly down, with the $SPY, $QQQ, $IWM, and $BTC red across the board.
$META is still one of the greatest opportunities in the market, even after this months +30% run.
The stock still trades at a 14.8x TTM OCF, with 24% YoY OCF growth in the most recent quarter.
There's a reason Meta is nearly 38% of my portfolio.
Bill Ackman explains that if a company consistently achieves high returns on capital, you should champion them employing their capital.
This is just one reason why $META is quite honestly one of the best companies in the world.
Anyone else having very frustrating experiences with google search AI mode?
They better get it together. I'm already using Muse and Grok more than Google products now. And that says a lot.
$CRWD is a phenomenal business.
But at a $258 billion market cap and only $2 billion TTM OCF, this stock is EXTREMELY expensive.
Are you buying CrowdStrike anyway?