Macroeconomic forecasting, models, data & research. Home of the GDP Dynamics Nowcast. Formerly Relearning Economics. members.gdpdynamics.com
New York, USA
- Tweets 126
- Following 84
- Followers 789
- Likes 3,713
GDP Dynamics retweeted
I'll be launching an online policy simulator based on the model from my upcoming book, Beyond Equilibrium: A Dynamic Keynesian Approach to Macroeconomics.
The simulator launches October 2nd on @GDPDynamics.
The book follows October 3rd.
3
14
105
4,432
GDP NOWCAST UPDATE
Our Q3 real GDP nowcast fell 0.19 pp today to 2.49% SAAR.
Consumer spending: −0.22 pp
Business investment: +0.02 pp
Residential investment: +0.01 pp
Strong capital goods data helped offset a weaker consumer signal.
Article below 👇
1
2
3
295
The GDP Dynamics Q3 nowcast edged up to 2.67% today, from 2.66%.
The small revision came from residential investment, while the rest of the model was essentially unchanged.
Housing data remain mixed, with stronger single-family starts but softer permits.
Article below 👇
1
4
5
718
The GDP Dynamics Q3 2026 Nowcast edged up to 2.66% SAAR, from 2.65% yesterday.
Net exports provided the small boost, while the broader growth outlook remained largely unchanged.
Another remarkably stable update.
Article below 👇
1
4
5
811
The GDP Dynamics Q3 nowcast is holding steady at 2.66%.
Consumer spending remains solid, while net exports continue to be the biggest drag on growth. Long-term rates remain a headwind for investment.
Full update + charts in the post below 👇
1
2
4
306
The GDP Dynamics Q3 nowcast edged up to 2.66% annualized.
Net exports provided the small boost, while residential investment was essentially unchanged.
Not a major revision, but the Q3 outlook continues to hold in the mid-2% range.
Full update below 👇
1
2
4
267
GDP Dynamics retweeted
Pre-order is now available for the Kindle edition of Beyond Equilibrium: A Dynamic Keynesian Approach To Macroeconomics.
Pre-orders will not be available for physical editions and will be released on Amazon and for order at bookstores on October 3rd.
a.co/d/0a8FoLLB
4
14
36
2,501
GDP Dynamics retweeted
Going live in 30 minutes for a little chat about the US Treasury and bond markets.
See the link in the post below👇
1
3
13
1,579
The consumer keeps spending, but the rest of the economy isn't moving at the same speed.
Retail sales surged, manufacturing weakened, housing stayed mixed, and the GDP Dynamics Q3 nowcast rose from 2.46% to 2.64% this week.
Full weekly analysis in the next post 👇
1
2
4
312
