Finding the best growth stock names by playing a positive sum game! Just my opinions and not advice. My Youtube, piped.video/@GrowthInvesting…
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New growth stock portfolio video is out! 🚀
piped.video/_ajtied1dlY
Top holdings at the end of the month were $ALAB $FIGR $SIMO $LIFE $CRDO $LITE $MU
A new stock in my portfolio that I'm excited about is Onto Innovation $ONTO. Their hardware + software based approach to semiconductor inspection is winning in the market place!
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My premium YouTube Membership on growth stocks is finally live! 🚀
piped.video/@GrowthInvesting…
Here's what the Membership includes: Weekly portfolio updates to see what I'm holding and why, in-depth earnings coverage to stay on top of company results, new stock ideas as I find them, and dedicated strategy videos to sharpen how you think about growth investing.
The first two Membership videos are live now: a mid-month portfolio update and earnings review, plus a strategy video on lessons from poker for growth investors.
Membership is $49.99/month. Sign up directly through YouTube for the best price — no added fees. (Apple/iOS adds their own App Store fee on top, so browser signup is the better deal)
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New video is out on Silicon Motion's $SIMO over performance on their earnings! 🚀
piped.video/-PvGbam6Y1Q
Headline numbers,
- Revenue guided from 393 - 411M, landed at 451M +32% qoq, +127% yoy
- GAAP gross margin guided from 48.5 - 49.5%, landed at 50.2%
- Operating margin guided from 21 - 22%, landed at 23.1%
- Analysts were looking for 2.04 of GAAP EPS, came in at 3.99 with a one time investment gain
- Next quarter Q3 is guided for 519 - 541M +20% qoq, +124% yoy
- Q3 adj operating margin guided from 27.5 - 28.5%
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Just had a great conversation with Drowsy and Bear on the Shooting the Bull Pod! 🚀
JUST RELEASED: “Episode 24: WPR on Finding The Next Great Thing” on Shooting the Bull with Drowsy and Bear
@investing_bear and I welcome @GIMastery to discuss the AI trade, growth portfolio management, and $ALAB, $SIMO, $NVDA, and More!
A must listen for all investors. 💤🧸
open.spotify.com/episode/4tS…
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GrowthInvestingMastery retweeted
JUST RELEASED: “Episode 24: WPR on Finding The Next Great Thing” on Shooting the Bull with Drowsy and Bear
@investing_bear and I welcome @GIMastery to discuss the AI trade, growth portfolio management, and $ALAB, $SIMO, $NVDA, and More!
A must listen for all investors. 💤🧸
open.spotify.com/episode/4tS…
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Here is my take on the Micron $MU earnings from this evening. The headline for me is that “supply is structurally constrained”. The management detailed how both DRAM and NAND supply will remain tight beyond calendar 2027. Later they detailed how they see tightness continuing beyond 2027. They said there is “no line of sight”, as to “when memory supply will be able to catch up with increasing demand”.
As Micron is partnering with customers more on their roadmaps, they have now signed 16 SCAs or long term agreements, with most of these deals having 5-year terms. The company is measuring RPO in regards to these SCAs, and that RPO metric is “approximately 100B”.
Micron’s expansion efforts are timed well with some new fab capacity coming online in mid-2027 and through 2028. The company is expanding massively with 10B of CapEx guided for next quarter and they projected 40B+ CapEx for the upcoming year, saying they will spend 10B+ per quarter. From my perspective, I like this aggressive expansion plan Micron has laid out as it does not seem like the supply shortage is going away any time soon.
Possibly even more impressive are the quarterly numbers and guide. I mentioned on Reddit I was looking for at least 36B of revenue this quarter, and that number landed at 41.5B. That revenue number of 41.5B is +74% quarter over quarter, and +346% year over year.
For the next quarter guidance I said I would like to see over 45B guided for, and the company guided for 50B. Stunningly GAAP gross margin came in at 84.6% when they had guided for 81%, and they now project 86% margins next quarter.
It seems the company is firing on all cylinders with practically every financial measure hitting a record. The transcript reads incredibly well, and I found this to be an exceptionally strong report. Here were some more details from the transcript,
- “Exceptional fiscal Q3”
- Data center revenue exceeded 25B, run-rate over 100B
- SSD revenue 5B+, more than doubling sequentially
- Now signed 16 strategic customer agreements SCAs, fundamentally transform our business model
- Smartphones, high end PCs, new consumer devices also driving demand with AI enabled features
- “We currently do not have line of sight as to when memory supply will be able to catch up with increasing demand”
- Memory process technology is getting more complex with every new node
- “Supply is structurally constrained”, “Despite our comprehensive efforts to increase supply”
- SCAs accelerate partnerships in technology and innovation, providing customers with supply assurance
- Working with automotive on shorter term 3-year contracts, “commitment to the important sector”
- Take or pay agreements, binding commitments (later detailed how customers give them unrestricted cash)
- SCA has “price bands”, “floor price enables a very robust gross margin for Micron, well above our peak quarterly margins in any past cycle”
- 1-gamma DRAM node, G9 NAND node both ramping well and on track to become highest volume nodes in Micron’s history, volume production 2nd half 2027
- Ramp of significant greenfield capacity in the years ahead
- On device AI for PCs and smartphones has “pent-up unit replacement demand”
- Automotive, ADAS remains a powerful driver of content growth
- Humanoid robots carry 10x the amount of memory as average L2+ vehicle
- On robotics, “We expect a sustained substantial multi-decade memory demand cycle to begin in the latter part of the decade”
- Acquired Tongluo site and production ramping in Taiwan, volume in mid calendar 2027
- Japan and Singapore expanding, Singapore building another center of excellence for advanced packaging
- Total revenue 41.5B, +74% qoq, +346% yoy
- DRAM revenue 31.1B +343% yoy, 76% of total revenue
- NAND revenue 9.9B, +361% yoy, 24% total revenue
- Cloud Memory Business Unit CMBU 13.8B revenue, 33% total, +78% qoq
- Core Data Center Business Unit CDBU 11.5B, 28% total, +103% qoq
- Automotive and Embedded sector 4.6B revenue, +71% qoq, gross margin 79%, up 11 percentage points sequentially
- Adj EPS +106% qoq
- Record cash balance 30.2B, reduced debt by 4.4B, now 5.7B debt, net cash 24.4B
- Guiding next quarter 50B rev, gross margin 86%, EPS $31
- “We hold the cash” in regards to SCAs, indication of a transformed business model at Micron
- Fabs that begin volume in mid 2027+ will bring on operating leverage
- 2027 overall tight supply, “tightness continuing beyond 2027”
- “So supply even in 2028, when supply begins to improve gradually, we see that demand will continue to be on a robust trajectory as well because these AI trends are very long-term trends. AI is still very, very early innings.”
The management added “we feel great about the trajectory of the business”. I agree with that take, and thought this was an incredible report from Micron. I had been adding to my position a few times before earnings, and still thinking to add again after this report to have them be a higher confidence position. It is incredible that even at Micron’s already massive scale, they have “no line of sight” when the increasing demand will end.
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Just created a Knowledge Base on Reddit for my investing philosophy! 🚀🚀
teddit.net/r/GrowthStockInve…
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New post about Astera Labs $ALAB at the JP Morgan tech conference 🚀 Full post is over on Reddit those interested check it out and join the conversion,
teddit.net/r/GrowthStockInve…
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New video on semiconductor stock Kulicke & Soffa $KLIC! They just guided for revenue growth over 100% and the market seems to have hardly noticed yet 🚀
piped.video/watch?v=dcLToah7…
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Posted some recent thoughts about $FIGR Figure Technology's recent earnings over on the new sub-Reddit!
teddit.net/r/GrowthStockInve…
I'm positive about Figure's report and added some shares back to get to around a 5% position. Some good takes there in the thread from a variety of viewpoints!
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Fun announcement that I am starting a sub-Reddit with @investing_bear! It is for in depth discussions of growth stocks. Feel free to drop by the sub-Reddit and introduce yourself in the welcome thread if you like 🚀
teddit.net/r/GrowthStockInve…
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This is my take on the $IREN earnings report! Some pros and cons there as they had a lot of big announcements but combined with financials which were not expected to impress yet.
piped.video/post/UgkxjGWzJt0…
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Monthly summary will be released tomorrow after market close! 🚀 One of the most promising new names in my portfolio is Allegro MicroSystems $ALGM
I've put together a quick write up for this company as I am expecting a promising earnings report later this week, piped.video/post/UgkxTMWaqWh…
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Silicon Motion $SIMO just posted some of the most impressive earnings numbers I have seen in awhile! They surpassed my wildest expectations with revenue coming in at +105% year over year! Here are my early thoughts on the headline numbers,
piped.video/post/UgkxBf31m-1…
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