An extremely exciting 16 days lie ahead. Four elections in 16 days.
This coming Sunday, the final round of the presidential election in Brazil takes place. A Lula victory signifies a stronger focus on the Global South and greater resistance to the US. A Bolsonaro victory signifies the consolidation of Latin America’s shift to the right, with the US remaining the dominant power in the Western Hemisphere.
Then, a day later, voters in Israel head to the polls to elect the 120 members of the Knesset. Will Netanyahu survive politically? Could a new coalition of diverse centrist and left-wing parties take power? The election is on a knife-edge. Regardless of the outcome, Israel will continue to defend itself against terror groups with great resolve.
The following week brings the US midterm elections. Can Trump and the Republicans pull off a surprise with a massive turnout and retain the Senate, perhaps losing only the House of Representatives? Or is it all over for the GOP, given high fuel prices and rising inflation? If the GOP wins, Trump will pursue his mandate with even greater vigor during his final two years. If the GOP loses, the Democrats will attempt to rein in Trump in every conceivable way.
And a day later, South Africans head to the polls. Will the ANC’s decline continue? Will the ANC cooperate with the DA in cities where the DA is the largest party, or will it opt for a left-leaning coalition? Will South Africa’s coalition politics deepen and mature, or are we facing another five years of chaos characterized by collapsing coalition governments?
An exciting 16 days ahead!