🏈Thursday CFB Player Props Cheat Sheet —
Liberty at Coastal Carolina — 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
One FBS game tonight.
Ride the ones you like, fade the rest.
1️⃣) Bailey (CCU) Pass OVER 210.5
He’s at 826 yards through 3 games (~275/game) with 8 TD / 0 INT. Hit 373 and 250 in his two FBS games. 210.5 is a soft number even if Liberty’s pass D has been stingy — he lives on downfield shots and volume.
2️⃣) Jackson (LIB) Rec OVER 56.5
9-230-3 TD, 25.6 YPR, and he’s cleared 69+ in all three games. Purdie leads the country in ADOT and CCU is 109th in EPA/pass. He’s the clear WR1 and the matchup is there.
3️⃣) Hinton (CCU) Rec OVER 37.5
Team-high 196 yards and 3 TDs on 9 catches. Last three: 53, 101, 42. 37.5 is well below his season average and he’s Bailey’s most reliable target.
4️⃣) Purdie (LIB) Pass OVER 206.5
Just posted 211 yards and 3 TDs last week. High-ADOT guy (13.7, leads FBS) against a CCU secondary that ranks 109th in EPA per pass. Number is close to his season clip but the matchup and last outing support the over.
5️⃣) Coppock (CCU) Rec OVER 37.5
8-161-3 TD, basically Hinton’s co-#1. Went 2-52 last week and both he and Hinton are averaging 20+ YPR. Same script as Hinton — Bailey will keep feeding the outside guys.