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$BTC Bottom Predictions Are In!
Keeping it simple.
Using historical data, the monthly timeframe, the macro trendline, and the percentage declines from prior bear cycles, I am anticipating Bitcoin to bottom in the $29K–$37K range by October this year (2026), would love my average entry to be around 33k-35k.
That's the anticipated bottom zone. Anything below that? Bonus!!
Now lets hit the FAQs:
1) What if we hit the trendline BEFORE October?
Great question. That would likely mean price is actually below the projected range. I'd still expect a strong bounce from that level, but if we get there too early, that suggests additional downside pressure ahead 😉
2) What if we go below the box? Does that invalidate the bottom?
No. $29K–$37K is a probable range, not a guaranteed floor. With Bitcoin, I focus more on timing than exact price levels. If we dip below in Oct, I'd view it as an opportunity, and NOT invalidation (It's like I went to a 75% off sale but the shop decided to give me an 85% discount, can't complain, right? 😂)
3) What if we don't get there by October?
Then I shift focus to the percentage drawdown from the top. If the correction matches historical bear market declines, I am comfortable with that scenario as well!
Remember: Timing > Price.
That's how I nailed the top while everyone was calling for $150K.
4) What if the 4-year cycles are dead?
So far, they are very much intact.
2014 → Bear
2018 → Bear
2022 → Bear
2026 → Bearish so far with a clear top.
If, for some reason, the cycle breaks and there is no October low, the monthly trendline still suggests a meaningful bounce from that area.
5) Can price go below the trendline?
Absolutely. Liquidity needs to be swept.
But even then, Id expect recovery and a significant reaction off that level.
Simple thesis:
Macro trendline + historical % declines + cycle timing.
Lets see how it plays out 🔥🔥🔥
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