Senior Analyst @theCCCuk - UK Climate Change Risk Assessment. Hydrologist and climate scientist. Opinions my own.

Newcastle Upon Tyne, England
12 month running average surface temperature now 1.6°C above the historical baseline!
The 12 month running average surface air temperature now up to 1.57°C relative to the historical baseline (1900-1850). Reminder: this does not mean the Paris target has been exceeded however, it does mean that we are getting closer. data: pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/
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Our ambitious experiment in the Amazon rainforest - ⁦@amazonface⁩ 6 rings of towers: 3 will keep CO2 levels within them high so we can study how rainforest trees respond. eg. does growth keep increasing at high CO2? Crucial knowledge for calculating future carbon budgets
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Our annual Progress Report is out today. The country’s 2030 target is at risk. It’s not too late to get back on track but now the Government needs to take urgent action in the next year. Let’s take a closer look at the analysis ->🧵
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Good to see global temperatures finally starting to fall. It will be interesting to see how temps respond to the next La Nina.
Global temperatures have finally started falling over the past few weeks, with the first week of July only 1.35C above preindustrial levels. Weather models expect a continued decline over the next seven days.
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In 2026, the CCC will advise the UK on the risks from climate change and the potential for adaptation to address them. We have now started the analytical work that will underpin this advice. theccc.org.uk/publication/pr…
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This week Dr James Richardson started in the role of Acting Chief Executive here at the CCC. Until Monday, James has been the Chief Analyst for the organisation. He is now posting from @ChiefExecCCC. Follow him for future updates and insights on our work.
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🌍🔬 Today, #CopernicusClimate and @WMO release the 2023 #ESOTC report. It details climate conditions, key events, their impacts, and discusses climate policy and action with a focus on human health. Read the full report here 👉 climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/…
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Chris Parker retweeted
'It's set us back' what the boss of the climate change watchdog really thinks of Rishi Sunak changing tack on net zero - watch @ChiefExecCCC here on PM and tomorrow on protests, and politicians' 'collective fear' #bbclaurak
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Chris Parker retweeted
Sorry to rain on your parade @Telegraph 1. We haven't issued a denial 2. We aren't cloud seeding in UAE 3. Our weather and climate scientists are providing evidence-based comments to explain what happened 4. Read more from them at rdg.ac/49GVsW3 5. Jog on
🔴 Reading University denies causing flooding in Dubai telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/04…
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Chris Parker retweeted
Is the ridiculous disinformation campaign around "cloud seeding causing Dubai floods" yet another note of caution for SRM? Even without any scientific evidence anything can be blamed for causing disasters elsewhere. Could become a strategy to distract from disaster mismanagement.
"Cloud seeding did not cause Dubai floods" @UniRdg_Met meteorologist, Professor Maarten Ambaum sets the record straight regarding the flooding in Dubai. Read his full expert comment at reading.ac.uk/news/2024/Expe…
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Chris Parker retweeted
Excellent. Have a read. @EnergySysCat
🎉 The wait is over! 🎉 Our ‘Innovating to Net Zero 2024' report is out now! 📋 Take a look at some of our key findings in the video below. 💡 Check out the full report here 👉 es.catapult.org.uk/report/in… #InnovatingToNetZero2024 #ITNZ24 #EnergyInnovation
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Since 1980 the number of weather disasters/year in the US causing more than $1billion in damages has increased- even when adjusting for inflation. @RogerPielkeJr has long been a critic of this dataset being used as a measure of climate change, and has a new article on this… 🧵
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Really interesting paper and very useful reference. I was surprised that a significant proportion (approx. one third) of the summer warming was circulation induced. Highlights the importance of internal variability which climate models struggle to reproduce.
Check our new study led by @dom_schumacher State-of-the-art regional climate models underestimate present & projected summer warming in Europe due to neglected long-term aerosol changes @jitendra_iitb @erichfischer @C2SM_ETH @usys_ethzh @ETH_en @CommsEarth nature.com/articles/s43247-0…
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How different ARE the extreme events you find from purely meteorological inputs (demand/wind/solar) vs. running a full power system model simulation? Well our new paper will tell you :) iopscience.iop.org/article/1…
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For sea surface temperatures the picture is even more extreme with 12 month running average currently at 0.53°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. data: pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/
The 12 month running average surface air temperature now up to 1.57°C relative to the historical baseline (1900-1850). Reminder: this does not mean the Paris target has been exceeded however, it does mean that we are getting closer. data: pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/
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This is even more stark in the ridges figure with 2023 a distinct outlier from previous years.
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The 12 month running average surface air temperature now up to 1.57°C relative to the historical baseline (1900-1850). Reminder: this does not mean the Paris target has been exceeded however, it does mean that we are getting closer. data: pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/
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Bonus figure using the same data
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Very interesting and timely commentary from @ClimateOfGavin. I think it is important to recognise the possibility that climate change is driving changes to internal variability. This has implications for climate climate impacts and risk.
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