$btc - hourly timeframes So this is the channel scenario I already drew out but wanted to highlight. It's the reason why I am not as aggressive on longs because the market could be a lot weaker and expecting range high to short it is optimistic potentially. Simply because of my thesis on 75k, why I am high timeframe short etc. That's on the daily timeframe and the daily timeframe directly affects the hourly from a bias => execution standpoint. This scenario still obeys the $eth mmd + H6 sfp which played out, tapped weekly open (which already came close), and obeys my overall bearish bias. I am also leaning towards a move towards sub 82k by the end of the month which is why I mention this, why I'm not so aggressive on longs
$btc - hourly timeframes Market update Front run once, and now we are still running for weekly open imo. I don't see long opportunities present here and have been stopped out of the last after TP1. I'm more interested in playing midrange to range high. Why? Because we just deviated range low. Usually, that means deviation of range high is next, but it could also mean the range isn't a range and pa is shaping up into a down trending channel (which lower lows coming next), which wouldn't surprise me given overall bearish bias. Therefore, it's logical to await that confirmation, trade from midrange to range high/deviation, or even look to re-short range high or even midrange, rather than forcing a long here. Main execution job is done anyways of TP'ing once for the high timeframe shorts at 83k. New opportunities only arise when we trade higher from here for me, unless we get a very attracting pullback at a good time of day. So quite a simple plan with a few options to trade the range. Because indeed a range is what we are seeing here imo still, which I called before price even existed in this range. That is the point of a range, to expect it, and then the trade it both ways. But I warn you of an open mindset of price maybe not going that high as optimistically expected in this range.
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Replying to @astronomer_zero

ALT Im Not No Way GIF

Sep 29, 2026 · 8:59 AM UTC

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