Math + Research = Betting 📈
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Announcement ‼️
Sometime this week I will be starting a Substack that will be covering NBA, WNBA, and NFL to give you guys the best betting edge possible.
- I want to find more ways to help yall. Similar to how I do breakdowns for games for NBA and NFL through film and data, I'll be posting there.
- Minimum of 3-5 articles per week that should cover recaps, trends, game previews for all three sports.
- Any edge I can find, we'll talk about it through the Substack.
- Will try to have articles out each morning as I'll be putting a ton of time and effort into this.
- Will always try to answer questions to the best of my abilities whenever you have them.
Any other ideas you would like me to add to this to make the best experience, feel free to comment below and let me know!
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Full Game Breakdown of Buccaneers vs Cowboys Week 5
- Tough Javonte game?
- Pickens bounce back?
- Possibilities of Buccaneers RB splits and usage?
All this and more broken down using @MCAnalyticsHQ Data!
mcanalytics.co/articles/nfl-…
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JSleeprStats retweeted
Introducing NFL Player Cheat Sheets.
Receiving: route %, TPRR and YPRR vs 1-High and 2-High (or Man vs Zone), aDOT vs deep throws allowed, PROE (Pass Rate Over Expected).
Rushing: carry share, run scheme and favored gap vs this defense, RROE.
Every skill player on the slate.
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JSleeprStats retweeted
PrimeTime Parlays are BACK🎉
You guys know @DoctorProfit and @JSleeprStats were on fire before the break
Breakdown in comments💬
Will share lotto at 50 likes ❤️
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Went through @MCAnalyticsHQ FREE data tables of Advanced data and found 4 schematic matchups to attack for Week 4!
- Jonathan Taylor
- Chris Olave
- Isaiah Likely
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt
mcanalytics.co/articles/week…
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TNF Week 4 x.com/i/broadcasts/1lKQRWLQz…
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Monday Night Football Week 3 x.com/i/broadcasts/1nxnRBNZA…
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JSleeprStats retweeted
SNF PrimeTime Parlay +480🚀
An easy Drake London TD away from hitting 5 parlays in a row… let’s start a new streak here
No video today but @DoctorProfit and @JSleeprStats still Labbed something for the community!
SMASH the like button if tailing ❤️
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Tee Higgins o53.5 Rec Yds (-114 FD)
Higgins has had 6 and 10 targets to start the season. last season, he’s had 6+ targets in 12/17 games.
Patrick Graham, the Steelers defensive coordinator builds his schemes around his personnel and with knowing that, they should lean into single high looks similar to last week than Week 1 in which they relied more on two high shell.
That is something Higgins is familiar with when it comes to the Steelers, and this season against single high, he’s averaging 3.6 YPRR.
Outside of the numbers, this Steelers secondary does not look impressive in the film and look vulnerable deep. They've played a Cooper Rush led Falcons offense (checkdown merchant) and then Drake Maye without AJ Brown who still had 3 completions of 20+ air yards. I am looking for the Bengals to take some shots downfield here.
I am looking for another heavy dose of Higgins, similar to last week. In games with 6+ targets, he’s over this line in 9/12 games while averaging 68 ypg.
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Isaiah Williams o2.5 Rec (-118 FD)
The Jets have elevated two receivers from their practice squad which means AD Mitchell seems unlikely to play after getting his finger caught in a jersey during Thursday’s practice.
In Week 2, Isaiah Williams ran same amount of routes as Garrett Wilson, and had 6 targets. With Williams in that game though, he had a 0.3 aDOT and 2 total air yards. Williams will be playing in the slot. We should be expecting a pass heavy game script here as the Jets are 6.5 point underdogs.
The Lions already have a shaky secondary that is banged up even more heading into Week 3, so the Jets should be heavily leaning on the pass here. The Lions with how banged up they are in the secondary have been playing a lot of Cover-3. When they are in Cover-3 they typically play pretty far off the LOS, so this should give him the easy targets we want.
When we look at the primary slot receivers we see Vele (9 targets) with 7 receptions and Shakir (6 targets) with 3 receptions.
When Williams runs 15+ routes and faces a non top 10 blitzing defense, he’s over this line in 5/7 games dating back to last season.
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JSleeprStats retweeted
Best Receiving Data Tables AND IT IS NOT CLOSE!
MCAnalytics.co
This is just a glimpse at all the FREE data on the website.
• Usage Data
• Red Zone data
• Coverage Data
• Alignment Data
And that is just for the receivers. Don’t even get me started on the rushing stats!
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JSleeprStats retweeted
No names. No teams. Just data.
@JSleeprStats and @DoctorProfit each brought 3 mystery NFL players. We only got stats and matchup data, then guessed the prop line.
If it was way off from then we bet it.
Result: +671 Week 3 parlay
Watch the full video 👇
youtu.be/0w4y7zDYJl0
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JSleeprStats retweeted
advanced nfl data is weirdly hard to get. it's either buried or behind a subscription that costs more than most people's weekly bankroll.
so the tables are free. not a trial, not a teaser. free.
mcanalytics.co/dashboard/nfl…
the paid side is the research layer built on top. that's where the free week trial can come in. either way, this keeps more money in your pocket and gives you a better chance at winning more money
will be going live throughout the day demonstrating how to use this easily.
Advanced NFL data usually costs more than the bets you research with it. Ours is FREE.
All stats, from box score to air yards by defensive coverage or explosive rush rate by specific downs.
Filter by anything you could think of in a play.
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JSleeprStats retweeted
If only someone could have predicted that the great Green Bay run defense would struggle against the Outside Zone Rush scheme of Atlanta… oh wait.
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Make sure yall tapped in as we try to go for 4 straight parlay cashes 📈👀
TNF PrimeTime Parlay Week 3🔥
GOING FOR 4 STRAIGHT PARLAY CASHES👀
Like+Subscribe (Time stamps included)❤️ youtu.be/VO8d0Gbo3o8
@DoctorProfit and @JSleeprStats are going to try and stay hot for this one!
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Make sure yall tap into the Youtube as its been a great week for the channel ✅
WE CANNOT MISS A PARLAY RIGHT NOW💰
$50 giveaway to FIVE people who LIKE THIS POST and FOLLOW @MCAnalyticsHQ
Will be giving away ANOTHER $50 to YouTube Subscribers (check comments)📽️
✅TNF Parlay (+545)
✅SNF Parlay (+532)
✅MNF Parlay (+365)
✅MNF Lotto (+2562)
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JSleeprStats retweeted
GOING FOR 3 STRAIGHT PRIMETIME PARLAYS 👀
Like + Subscribe ❤️ and find the parlay here ⬇️
youtu.be/65AnOpa5wUo
@DoctorProfit and @JSleeprStats are feeding the community early this year and we are just getting started.
TNF ✅, SNF ✅, MNF ⏳
BACK-TO-BACK PRIMETIME PARLAYSSSS✅✅✅✅
@DoctorProfit and @JSleeprStats are hotter than the stove this week🔥
MNF Video/Parlay coming tomorrow morning!
Notis on so you don’t miss it🛎️
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JSleeprStats retweeted
PrimeTime Parlay for SNF🔥🏈
@DoctorProfit and @JSleeprStats going for B2B Parlay Cashes together‼️
Free month subscription giveaway if this Smacks❤️
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Packed out every time he touched the ball ❌
Breece Hall Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FD)
I said going into Week 1 that Jonathan Gannon’s defense would be susceptible to outside zone, and the tape backed it up immediately. Green Bay allowed the third-fewest yards per carry in the league overall in Week 1 (3.15), but specifically against outside zone runs they ranked 25th, allowing 5.67 YPC.
Hall had 28% of his own carries be outside zone runs in the opener and averaged 5.0 YPC on them. On top of the scheme matchup, Garrett Wilson has been talking about the Jets leaning into the run this week, going back to comments during camp about wanting a run heavy offense.
“We're able to run the ball. We know our identity. Breece and Braelon, I. D., our O-line, our front five—man, it's a special group up front. So we're gonna fully buy into that and lean on them.”
“I feel like we kinda know our identity. During camp, I remember looking around, we're like, damn, y'all would just run the ball, eight straight, nine straight times at practice. I'm like, bro, we finna run the ball. We had a game or a drive this past game where it's 19 plays, and I think we ran 15. Bro, it's old school.”
Dating back to last season, in games with 14+ rushing attempts and removing the top 2 teams in rushing yards after contact, he is over this line in 8/12 games.
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