J@Jack1191450
Joined August 2025
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《Fooled by Randomness》Chapter One “This book is about luck disguised and perceived as nonluck (that is, skills) and, more generally, randomness disguised and perceived as nonrandomness (that is, determinism).”
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Chapter 1 asks readers to distinguish visible success from underlying skill, short-term profit from long-term survival, and actual history from alternative histories;
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in Taleb’s view, especially in finance, a person may appear rich and brilliant while actually being a lucky fool exposed to hidden risks.
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