The latest episode of the #Jets Collective is under an hour away! Join @BrandonTierney @JakeAsman @RichCimini as they provide a final look ahead the #Lions game! #JetUp

After watching the Falcons THRASH the Packers on the road this half, it makes the Jets blowing a 10-point fourth-quarter lead to this Green Bay team look even more disgraceful. The Jets should be 2-0.

Frank is awesome, but I believe the data he is being provided is incredibly misleading in this situation. You can’t simply exclude quarterback sneaks from the under center population and then conclude that shotgun is better. That removes a central part of what makes being under center valuable. I don’t buy the idea that only three or four teams can sneak effectively. Over the last eight seasons, 26 NFL franchises converted at least 81% of their QB sneaks on 3rd/4th & 1. In my view, forcing defenses to account for the sneak is a major advantage in short yardage. If they don’t defend it, take it. If they sell out to stop it, you’ve created opportunities to attack elsewhere. And being under center doesn’t mean you have to sneak. When defenses had defenders on the line occupying both A gaps and both B gaps, passes from under center on 4th & 1 converted 74.4% of the time and averaged +1.28 EPA/play. Against those same interior looks, pin and pull concepts and jet sweeps both converted over 82% of the time with one yard to go. These concepts illustrate the complementary options available. The defense’s commitment to stopping one yard inside can create an opportunity for a much bigger play outside. Moving into shotgun takes the conventional sneak off the table. The broader comparison matters: on 4th & 1, runs and passes from under center combined converted 70.9%, versus 65.3% from shotgun. Perhaps most importantly, not all shotgun runs present the same threats. Shotgun runs with a QB run, read option or RPO component: 73.2% conversion, +0.68 EPA/play. Shotgun runs without those components: 64.5% conversion, +0.08 EPA/play. That second group was also below runs from under center excluding sneaks: 66.2% conversion and +0.22 EPA/play. The Jets’ failed play was a simple handoff with no QB run, read option or RPO component. Applying the overall shotgun run average to that play glosses over a meaningful distinction. My preferred approach remains: line up under center, make the sneak a credible and frequent threat, and carry complementary plays that punish defenses for overcommitting inside. You want the yard. But when the defense sells out to take that yard away, your answer might produce the play that wins the game.

Yankees star Aaron Judge told @jorgecastillo today that he intends to play in the wild card series next week. Here’s the news from Jorge, free at ESPN: espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/5001…

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