Researcher at Center for Energy Studies
Based in Czech Republic
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New in #ERSS! With @KacperSzulecki and @jenk2021 we traced the development of #energyjustice and #energydemocracy research fields, asking which countries, topics, tech, and social groups are reflected, and how EJ and ED are defined.
doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2023.…
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31 European countries' air travel: flights shorter than 500 km account for 27.9% of departures but 5.9% of fuel burnt; vs. flights longer than 4,000 km account for 6.2% of departures but 47.0% of fuel burnt.
Might be of interest of @PetrOcelik
Banning super-short haul flights is getting a lot of attention as a way to reduce aviation emissions.
But how effective it would be in reducing emissions? In our new paper with Frédéric Dobruszkes & Laurette Mathieu we find: *very little*. doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2…
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Nechcete tam prosím prvně umístit stanici kontroly kvality ovzduší? Ať víme, jak moc dobrý nebo špatný nápad je budovat sportovní areál na křížení dvou čtyřproudovek.
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• Major threats stem from inaction and lack of coordination.
• EU's climate targets and social cohesion are at great risk.
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• Europe is well positioned to break free from the energy dependence on Russia.
• There may be less market, more state, and more Europe in energy affairs.
• Securitization of natural gas can boost renewable energy acceptance.
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"Russia has made natural gas what renewable energy used to be: unreliable and expensive."
- from our new opinion in #ERSS (with @cernoch_filip):
"European energy politics after Ukraine: The road ahead"
authors.elsevier.com/a/1fW1N…
Key observations follow.
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Trh s ropou je globální a flexibilní - když my koupíme jinde, Rusko jinde prodá. Embargo na prodej nebo koupi ropy nejde udělat jinak než blokádou přístavů. Takže to bude muset být plyn a v delším období elektromobilita, která srazí poptávku po ropě všude.
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TL;DR: uhlí jde vyřešit relativně rychle (do 2030), hlavní myšlenka v článku je to, že využíváme výrazně méně OZE, než bychom mohli, což teď není šťastné.
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In gas, therefore, we can both inflict and suffer bigger damage than in oil. That’s why we talk mainly about it.
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Finally, gas has a way stronger security vibe than oil. If you’re denied oil supply, your refineries are in trouble but you can still import oil products from elsewhere. If you’re denied gas and your households use it for heating, game is over.
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The dominance of pipeline transport makes bilateral ties are much more important. You cannot re-route the pipeline or replace the country at the other end of the pipe. That makes the trading partners much more exposed to each other’s home countries’ energy policies.
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Gas is super difficult to transport – especially via sea, it is very unevenly distributed, and it can be substituted (coal, oil). A few export it - mainly to nearby countries or to rich countries. 60% of the international trade takes place via fixed pipelines, only 40% over seas.
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Case in point: The ISIS was generating rather nice revenues by selling the oil they captured to independent traders who then brought it to the world market. Their oil could have powered your car for a while…
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It also works the other way round, though. No consumer can deny a producer access to the market (unless they use force to block their export terminals and pipelines but that’s way higher on the escalation ladder than the intended sanction effects).
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This is very convenient from the security of supply perspective for no producer can deny deliveries to specific customers. Someone else would buy from the producer and sell to the consumer without the parties even knowing this is happening.
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Extremely liquid trading has emerged and every single oil cargo is being constantly sold and bought by producers, consumers, traders, or speculators. There will be always some “Whatever, Ltd.” to buy from you or sell to you, if needed.
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After the 1970s, many new producers entered the picture and the market became (was made) highly fragmented (actor-wise) and highly integrated (pricing-wise).
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Oil is super easy to transport, it is very unevenly distributed across the world, and it has long been impossible to substitute. Every country buys it, a few export it. There are massive international and interregional trade flows and most of them take place via the sea lines.
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