On the lower timeframes, $BTC is still failing to find acceptance back toward the range highs. If we want to see the advance continue, reclaiming $85K is clearly the first step. As I mentioned yesterday, $81K–$83K is the liquidity region the chart is likely to hunt before making another attempt through the highs. Bitcoin already started hunting through that region overnight, but unless $85K is reclaimed, I expect price to continue hunting $81.5K and retest the breakout from the prior range. Hold that retest, and the next advance can begin. If it fails, we’re likely heading back into the $70Ks.

We're seeing $NEAR approach its first major weekly decision pivot at $4.70. If we clear that region, I’ll be looking for the macro expansion toward $6–$7. Personally, I don’t think price needs to break out immediately. NEAR has rallied from the blue cycle acceptance channel into an extremely hot region within a matter of weeks. That is very similar to the recovery from the 2022 bear market. Price expanded out of the blue acceptance channel, consolidated beneath weekly resistance and rebalanced the move before eventually continuing higher. A reversion toward $3.30–$3.60 at some stage would therefore make complete sense. It would clear some of the late leverage, rebalance the liquidity created during this rally and test whether buyers are willing to defend the move away from the lows. That would not invalidate the macro setup. In fact, it would create a far cleaner region to add to a higher-timeframe position. Therefore, the roadmap is relatively simple. Weekly acceptance above $4.70 opens the move toward $6–$7. Rejection around these levels keeps $3.30–$3.60 as the main rebalancing region below. We’re already positioned from $3.60 and up almost 30% from entry. Now it’s simply a matter of seeing whether weekly resistance at $4.70 breaks first, or the market gives another opportunity to add lower.

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beyond just their volume, kalshi is inflating their user metrics i noticed live chatter count only moves in increments of 5 so i took a look at their android app code they literally have an amplifier called “boost_strength” that multiplies the actual number of people chatting

This is the worst part of switching to a new phone What am i supposed to do for the next 30 minutes? 😭

I’m long eth rn stop 2586.75 stop me