WizBetz MLB Strikeouts Ladder⚾️💥
Chase Burns Strikeouts Ladder
🪜 6+ Ks (+100 HR | 1 unit)
🪜 7+ Ks (+202 DK | 0.25 units)
🪜 8+ Ks (+411 DK | 0.15 units)
❤️100 Likes for MLB POTD⭐️
Long-time WizCord members know my disdain for Burns. But man, this line is insane for someone with 10+ K potential every game. I’ll bite at the low line.
The main reason why I’m okay with this is that Burns has shown the ability to pitch into the 6th inning. He’s pitched in the 6th in 3 straight games for the Reds, including 6 full innings vs the Rangers and Giants.
Part of that is Burns not being the worst BB% pitcher in baseball, which I thought he would be.
But there are a few reasons why Burns is going to crush today:
First, no one on the Rays has ever seen Burns pitch before. All season, I’ll be targeting Miz, McLean, and Burns in games where no one has seen their stuff. There are 3 unique pitchers that batters struggle with in their first game against.
Second, the Rays have struggled vs hard throwing RHP all season. Schlittler and Miz both had 7+ Ks, while Skenes threw 4 scoreless innings with 5 Ks before getting rained out. The Rays rank
#28th against high-spin rate fastballs, and Burns is in the 99th percentile in spin rate on his 4-seamer.
Lastly, Burns proved last year that he’s a K Ladder machine. In starts with 50+ pitches, Burns had 8+ Ks in 5/6 starts (83%).